Currency: Rupee strengthens against dollar

KARACHI: Pakistani rupee strengthened to 96.50/57 to the dollar, compared to Monday’s close of Rs96.57/62. The currency has remained under pressure due to debt servicing to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Pakistan recently repaid $394.3 million on an IMF Stand-By Arrangement loan. The country has to pay $3.4 billion in 2012-13, $3.43 billion in 2013-14 and $1.35 billion in 2014-15 to retire the loan. The country’s foreign exchange reserves will continue to face pressure due to debt servicing in the next three years. According to reports, a balance of payment crisis is being predicted after March 2013, as country’s forex outflows are likely to remain at $1 billion per month, which may force Pakistan to negotiate a fresh IMF programme if pressure is not arrested. Pakistan is due to repay around $700 million in January and February next year. Overnight rates in the money market remained flat at 7%.

Published in The Express Tribune, December 5^th, 2012.