Blackout to continue for 7 years: WAPDA chief

No respite from power outages before 2018.

Express June 29, 2011

Amidst rising temperatures and daily, protracted power outages, the Water and Power Development Authority (Wapda) has dropped another bombshell: The electricity crisis will persist for at least another seven years.

Wapda Chairman Shakeel Ahmed Durrani told the National Assembly standing committee on water and power on Tuesday that power outages could not be stopped till 2018 due to the imbalanced utilisation of power generation resources.

While the session was in progress an irate member of the committee from Okara – Sajjadul Hassan – strongly criticised the state-owned power generation companies for 22 hours a day blackouts in his district. “It is unacceptable,” Hassan said and threatened to set the office of Pakistan Electric Power Company (Pepco) on fire, if the situation did not improve. “The electricity demand could swell up to 130,000MW by 2030,” Durrani said. However, the government was committed to shifting power generation from thermal to hydel by 50 per cent to overcome the crippling crisis.

According to him, the Gilgit-Baltistan region has the capacity to generate 60,000 to 100,000MW electricity. Therefore, he said, this potential must be tapped to add more megawatts to the national grid.

Durrani said his authority has started work on Diamer-Bhasha Dam and that its ground breaking ceremony would be held next month in the presence of President Asif Zardari. Other than that, he said the overall power generation capacity would increase by 15 per cent after the upgradation of Mangla Dam. The Wapda chief said that per unit generation cost of thermal power was Rs10.18 per unit – 870 per cent higher than power generated through Hydel sources which costs Rs1.05 per unit.

When asked about the current status of the Neelam-Jhelum hydropower project, Durrani claimed a 16-kilometre-long tunnel of the project being built near Muzaffarabad had been constructed.

The Wapda chairman informed the committee that the overall power generation capacity was around 13,669MW against the demand of about 18,114MW, showing a shortfall of 4,445MW. He added that 600MW could be added to the national grid if the adequate furnace oil was made available to the companies. Currently, the power sector is receiving 20,000 tons of furnace oil per day against the demand of 28,000 tons.

“The power companies cannot pay off their oil bill to the suppliers due to circular debts,” he said and added that around 500MW shortfall could be overcome if the gas companies ensured proper supplies to the power generation companies. However, in a statement issued later in the evening, the ministry of water and power said the government has added about 3500MW to the system thus far, which helped bridge the supply and demand gap and reduces power cuts. It added that the statement was being wrongly projected that load-shedding will not end by 2018.

Published in The Express Tribune, June 29th, 2011.


Hedgefunder | 11 years ago | Reply @Ammad: I am not an expert on this technology, and am quite sure there may be some flaws, but what i saw in Namibia and also in Angola last year was very impressive, as a friend of mine's company was involved in the project to supply street lighting and basic power units and panels some houses in an villages of one region for initial test case with the view to ferther expansion of the schemes. I have also seen such schemes on smaller basis taking off in remote and rural area in India, and i must say i was impressed, as without grids in these area this is one sure way for the people to obtain electricity in their homes and farms. There no doubt that this is the future, as the dependency on Oil & Gas is simply not going to be viable in long term, due to cost elements.
Ammad | 11 years ago | Reply @Hedgefunder WB, ADB, IDB, DFID & JICA are extremely active, in-fact they are running around trying to find projects to finance. Take a look at the tenders section in our newspapers, it's like summer sale these days! Due to my line of work I run across IFIs all the time.. so this I can tell you personally is true. That's why I laugh at our intellectuals and media - anything that I personally am involved in, when I read about it it's all nonsense! Going by that, I assume everything else is also nonsense, since I am not an expert on those things I wouldn't know! Have you read anywhere in the news why our Exports have gone up? (and that too considerably)... no. They is no journalistic element in our media. Solar Energy: PV technology has had some good breakthrough's in the recent years, but it's still not viable on a large scale. I think the government should try and get grants for this sort of thing, or to only implement it for the sake of R&D or on a very small scale for remote areas where all they need is 100watt per house. Solar thermal is not picking up as it should (around the world, that would be more suitable for places like Pakistan). I am not a technical expert on PV technology but from what I undestand, as temperature goes up, efficiency of the PV cell goes down (it needs light). I am sure with advanced technology you could minimize this effect. Nonetheless, practically i've heard they work well in our Northern areas. Yes, I agree with you, these type of technologies should be encouraged by government, not only in this region but around the globe, this is the future.
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