There were genuine expectations that the energy situation would get relatively better and the overall law and order situation would stabilise. Above all, there would be a firm commitment to lift the country from the current phase of decline by addressing the deep structural problems that require major reforms and restructuring. Instead, these weaknesses are being dealt with in an ad hoc manner in which only the symptoms are addressed to provide temporary relief that results in their recurrence in a more serious form. This is what we experienced in the form of the energy crisis and fuel shortages.
There are several other areas in which reforms are long overdue. High priority should be accorded to tax reforms and efforts should be made to improve the electoral system. Politicisation and patronage has weakened the bureaucracy and the government needs to focus on building a strong cadre of competent and honest bureaucracy.
The government, instead of undertaking the restructuring of PIA, the Pakistan Steel Mills and other public-sector enterprises, has adopted the same short-term approach of addressing symptoms that plague these institutions. The privatisation programme has failed to make any progress. Unless the government acts boldly and undertakes reforms, these organisations will continue to bleed the exchequer and keep struggling to survive.
Solving the energy crisis was supposed to be Nawaz’s main agenda. As it is a long gestation project, we have to wait until 2018 to see if the government is able to meet its declared milestones. In the interim, it should focus on improving the management of existing power, distribution and transmission sectors.
In the realm of foreign, defence and security policies, Nawaz is now resigned to the idea of conceding responsibility to the military leadership. General Raheel Sharif’s recent visits to Afghanistan, the US, the UK and China bear testimony to the military’s unabashed acceptance of this role. Nawaz’s earlier initiative to improve relations with India was sound policy. In that, he had the support of all political parties but the government’s poor performance and the crisis generated by Imran Khan’s protest movement reduced his political space in foreign and defence issues. Narendra Modi’s attitude was also a major impediment in the way of promoting dialogue with India.
To make matters worse, the civil-military divide and the handling of defence, foreign and security policies by the military creates its own dynamics that generate policies that are linear and do not have the benefit of a decision that is holistic as the civilian input is undervalued.
The military is still ambivalent on the Jamaatud Dawa and Haqqani network. What are the implications of this policy on the internal security situation and on external relations with India, the US and the Western world in general? These groups are supposed to keep pressure on India and act as a support base for the Kashmir resistance movement. If we were to draw a checklist of the gains and losses in pursuit of these aims, it would soon be evident that the balance sheet is heavily in the negative. With regard to the Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ), it was initially encouraged to target the Baloch nationalists and what we have instead is a highly organised militant group that has taken on the role of targeted killing and mass murder of Shias, and minorities as a religious ritual. Besides, it is waiting in the wings to play second fiddle to the Islamic State (IS) as and when this group makes an entry into Pakistan. The LeJ operates brazenly in Balochistan, Karachi and several other cities, and the government seems helpless and its response is pathetic.
Similarly, what efforts has the government made in rehabilitating the displaced people of North Waziristan and other agencies? Is there any attempt on its part to improve the lot of the tribal people? Even the development and rehabilitation work has been left entirely for the military to undertake.
Nawaz’s focus essentially centres round Punjab and that, too, mostly around Lahore and its vicinity. At best, the horizon would occasionally extend to Islamabad. The institutions of governance — cabinet, the cabinet committees and the national committee on security and foreign relations — remain dormant. Nacta, even after five years, has still to become fully functional despite its critical role in the fight against terror. Parliament has become a toothless organisation with little interest on the part of the ruling party or the opposition to make it more effective. The PTI’s parting kick to parliament has further diminished its role.
What is the genesis of this style of governance that is so highly personalised and coterie-centric? Several explanations could be offered for this behaviour. Primarily, it is the lack of confidence that keeps our leaders away from institutional decision-making. They feel the military hierarchy would dominate the meetings and they would have little say in it. As the military already has a monopoly over security and foreign relations, institutional decision-making would leverage rather than undermine their position.
But not all is lost. The civil society is energised and the people, despite heavy odds, are showing extraordinary resilience and the private sector is booming. The consumer market is growing against all odds and multinationals and local companies are making record profits. The key to overall recovery is to strengthen state institutions so that militancy can be countered, the economy is able to realise its potential and democratic consolidation can occur.
Published in The Express Tribune, February 4th, 2015.
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COMMENTS (6)
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respected editor, I have written the attached,small comment,artical on governance,if you take it as a independent artical,it may be published accordingly other wise put as comment on the above artical.If you have some suggestion,pl convey on mail address.
Is dilution of governance the real problem?
These days people of Pakistan are really suffering from a score of problems, on one hand unemployment is rampant evident from the growth in manufacturing sector, which is haplessly in negative, scarce energy availability on the other, coupled with worst law and order situation, particularly in big industrial zones. Which traditionally provided great number of jobs. Simultaneously ,public sector amenities are also badly affected, hospitals and allied health sector services are firstly not sufficiently available, if so, then either not equipped with required gadgets , instruments and medicine or understaffed as observed in Shikarpur. Similarly, educational institutions number and students capacity is not up to the requirement if so, then teaching staff and other paraphernalia is absent. Same is the case in other services delivery centers.
Story of development is also not different from the above, everyday quality of new constructions is degrading, billions of rupees are spent in the name of the PSDP, but on ground. You don't see a big leap, because quality of the construction is so poor that roads don't exist for longer than three years, whereas the buildings stay is not longer than ten years on average. Unfortunately, most of government servants are not less than thieves, if you want to experience just visit the nearby police station, if you have an experience of dealing with the dacoits, you would observe police worst than them. Similarly, people have started attacking police, in response police is settling score by killing usually poor laborers in forged encounters. Public and media is mum because situation is made such that, they believe , as their voice is to no avail.
In such a milieu the public is in anguish to ascertain the situation and draw a conclusion. Whether, they blame the foreign enemy hands for cropping all factors in an engineered organized manner,which lead to simultaneous collapse of most sections of the system. or they search the causing factor, in the political ranks and files, or pray to God for better days. The situation was better portrayed by a Cartoon published by an English newspaper ,showing a group of people carrying the flags of their relevant countries and climbing on the stairs of an aero plane, whereas another is coming down with Pakistan's national flag in hand. I believe it could be any of the above, along with diluting governance in our country, finding the cause of the failing governance is a hundred million dollars question. Its cause could be the availability of insufficient space to its institutions for growth . The rampant corruption and nepotism, the excessive leverage to the politicians in the structure of administration and the sharpening of the ethnic and sectarian attachments, etc. Degeneration in the quality of bureaucracy is indeed a major factor, which has over the time reached to the level of almost inefficiency, no government has come forth to its rescue. Perhaps the repeated army take over and depleting quality education are the major reasons. To me the biggest cause is stalked in the national identification and few other very basic factors, which we usually avoid to face, so prefer to compromise with situation exploiters to ease for the short period till the term of the incumbent is over. It has opened the vicious cycles of several types. Situation seems still in hand, we should minimum take the following steps; we should declare our national identification as it was for centuries, give appropriate representation to the people in an area according to their presence. For example Pashtu speaking Pathan are around 25%of the population in Karachi and about ten million in Sind as stated by the PPP stalwart Syed Khursheed Shah in a recent interview, since they are all around the city therefore in prevailing system, they don't get due representation. That lead them to deprivation and allied psychological social state. same is true for others in other parts of the country. Institution of civil administration need to grow according the challenges, their selection process may be turned more transparent and in service training may be increased and improved. No leniency should be afforded to the even minor mistakes by the public servants. They may be saved from the unnecessary intervention of elected executive. Their salaries and perks may brought closer to the private sector.
The Kashmir elections was entirely based on governance. From India's perspective, and this articles perspective as well, there is a signifcant progress in widening the politial process in Kashmir. But Pakistan repudiates it. Not sure this article is aligned with Pakistans position. Pakistan sees identity politics are paramount to governance that too within the context of the state having an identity buillt around religion.
As quoted by the author "Nawaz’s mode of governance is far too personalised and completely out of sync with the way modern states are administered" My question to the author is that can you plz name any of the modern states where the elected prime minister has no space except that of shouldering all the blames of incompetency and non performance, whereas, operating from the background, the mighty army chief is the actual and all in power prime minister. The answer is a big fat NO! Criticizing and giving un asked free suggestions from ones comfortable, cozy and lavish farm house is very easy, while, its not that easy for the incumbents to translate these suggestions into reality provided the level of power they have.
@Raj: You just can't fathom the resilience of Pakistani nation. Do you really think that India will go unscathed if Balkanization ever happened to your neighbor. I don't think you want to wish that scenario. The tragedy with Pakistan seems to be corruption, it has seeped in every institution including the military. Above all foreign countries start pumping petro dollars into our mosques and madrassas to impose their brand of Islam while the responsible watch keepers looked the other way because they were getting their share of the loot. More over the ruling class which includes the Army siphoned off monetary aid and loans coming from different international sources without showing any accountability. Nawaz Sharif is the product of that military dictator Zia who was short sighted in every way possible. When I look around in the Western Democratic countries, what I see highly educated politicians running their countries where as in Pakistan the leadership, well, less said the better. It all comes down to education and education, if masses were educated we won't have the likes of Nawaz Sharif running the country. By the way incompetent leadership likes to hire incompetent people which in turn makes them look good and feel good. Pakistan does have some very honest and competent people who are being shunned because they might just awaken the sleepy nation. Personally I think and say because I am looking in from outside that change for the betterment is already taking place in Pakistan and the young generation will not accept the status quot any longer and they are the ones who will build this nation of Pakistan and hopefully even surpass our neighbors to the east. It is said that demographically India will sink with it's billion people and can't sustain itself for longer periods while Pakistan with smaller population, younger and educated has the potential to do wonders.
Why worry? pakistan will soon be divided into smaller countries making governance easier.
True that the civilians' governance is abymal, be it NS or AZ. But their share in the blame for Pakistan's miseries is still a minority share. The major shareholder of that blame is by far the Army Party, the largest and most dominant political party of the country. The four leaders of Army Party who directly ruled Pakistan - and its other leaders who ran the show from behind-the-scenes for several decades - are the ones whose actions, decisions, policies, follies, and blunders have brought Pakistan to its knees. One of those thousands of actions was to pick up Nawaz Sharif from anonymity and make him our 'mahboob siyasi rahnuma'. Another decision was to write to Swiss courts to let AZ go. And the list goes on ........(military action in 1971, jihad project, etc. etc)