In Malaysia, under a system known as Operation 1C, immigration is controlled so as to create demographics favourable for the incumbent party. And when it’s not possible to restrict the number of eligible voters, or to buy votes, preventing access to polling stations by intimidation and violence is always an alternative. In Bihar and Uttar Pradesh, party supporters ‘capture’ polling booths and cast every eligible vote for their party. Nor does cheating stop once the ballots are cast; the vote count can be inflated during counting, deflated or deliberately destroyed like in NA-250 in Karachi.
Just as democracies have worked out a myriad ways to make cheating difficult, politicians have ‘innovated’ any number of legal means to ensure they get a leg up on their opponents. The crudest way is to have party loyalists appointed as election officials. Another ploy is for incumbent regimes to encourage fringe parties ostensibly to promote a more responsive and vibrant political process but actually to divide the opposition vote. Tanzania’s parliament and presidency, which is perennially controlled by the Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM) party, goes even further and provides new parties with campaign financing. Actually in Tanzania, where elections are invariably free and fair, the incumbent party can sustain itself in office with as little as five per cent of the vote, which must be encouraging news for the PPP.
Another feature is bloc voting, that is, the ability of the local notables/the village patron (wadera) to deliver his community’s vote and obtain a reward for himself and his followers, or even get elected. The most egregious case of bald opportunism was spotted in Bihar, discovered by a researcher who was working on his PhD (1968-70). Apparently, the Raja of Ramgarh, who owned extensive mining interests, switched parties every few months. Having discovered that he could manipulate his bloc of backers to make and break governments, the Raja proceeded to do so with gusto. In the process, he enriched himself and his followers and was also able to have criminal charges dropped against him.
Then, of course, there is vote buying, which is very straightforward, as The New York Times reported on September 17, 2010, in an article titled “Afghan votes come cheap and often in bulk”. The article, however, noted that given the widespread fraud that occurred during voting, vote buying was really unnecessary.
But because there are so many individual voters, bribing voters works better at the bloc level. By rewarding support groups over others, individual voters are motivated to follow the choice of their group leader. Mayor Richard Daley’s corrupt party machine in Chicago worked that way. He handed out favours to leaders of the black and Hispanic communities who were willing to cooperate with him at the expense of other ethnic groups such as Germans.
Sticks as well as carrots can be used to persuade the electorate. The favourite ploy of the People’s Action Party (PAP), which has been in power in Singapore since independence, is to allocate funds for public housing only to those neighbourhoods which voted for the PAP. Robert Mugabe went one step further; he used bulldozers to demolish houses and markets in those areas which did not vote for him in the 2005 election.
There are a whole bag of dirty tricks to ward off defeat at the polls. One of the most popular, when an incumbent of the ruling party is in danger of losing an election, is to redraw the election boundaries to exclude opposition voters. It’s called gerrymandering and is especially popular in Karachi. Of course, it’s not confined to Karachi or to one country. The practice of gerrymandering, says an American researcher, ‘has made the odds of being voted out of a US Congressional seat no different from the odds of defeat faced by members of the erstwhile Supreme Soviet under the USSR’s one party rule’.
With regard to elections in Pakistan, on June 9, 2013, I wrote in The News:
‘The Kaptaan’s… error was to accept the rigged results (of the 2013 elections) docilely….There is no greater theft than stealing the vote, and to accept that with resignation is to accept a polluted democracy. It reveals a lack of will and a failure to be prepared to do all and more to become a leader. Worse it suggests that like your opponents you too are not in it to win or lose elections but to win the count.’
I went on to conclude:
“(True) this country cannot afford political upheaval at a time when it is threatened with enemies within and without. But in the end a leader must stand for something. Why sit in a parliament from which your own party men have been wrongly excluded? What kind of message does that send to the troops? Do you expect them to turn out and vote the next time knowing nothing much will happen if they are again cheated?”
The Kaptaan has belatedly made amends. He has stood up. And regardless of whether he sinks, or is sunk, no one will dare rig another election. Of course, many will say nothing will change as politicians will never forgo an attempt to cheat. Well, perhaps, but at least after the Islamabad showdown rigging won’t be the norm.
Meanwhile, as the Islamabad stand-off continues Pakistan appears a divided country. There is visceral loathing between the two sides. This mutual hatred and disdain may not lead to actual fighting but there is no doubt that each side looks on the other with absolute contempt. Opponents see the Nawaz regime as a sort of infection; a repository of wickedness and illegality. And Nawaz reciprocates these feelings. The division is a radical division. To some extent it’s a division about values and principles which, for the moment at least, removes any possibility of communication and of compromise. Soon we will have to take a stance. No doubt, for some, the stakes may be high and the decision difficult; however, for me it’s a no-brainer. I stand with the Kaptaan in his herculean endeavour to cleanse the election process. Pakistanis must stop believing that there exists an anthropological and sociological reason to bypass the law in Pakistan.
Published in The Express Tribune, August 29th, 2014.
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COMMENTS (19)
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@Jake Ruckman ....... This is a popular theme in the realm of conspiracy theories doing the rounds these days, though no one to my knowledge has yet explained as to why the "complex" will pull this off, the balance of power is and has been asymmetrical for the last 67 years. A group of allegedly smart men and women were recently found to be advancing a similar thesis which ended rather quickly as they could not come up with a coherent explanation as to why the army would be pulling the strings from behind the scenes to dislodge PM Nawaz Sharif's elected government?
@Gp65 and Sexton Blake, Admittedly India has moved forward and tried to ensure that elections are not rigged. Technological advances and the autonomous nature of the CEC has helped. Indians can be justifiably proud of their progress in that field. CEC's office and website give out a lot of information freely. However, the elections in India are not totally free from corruption. Votes are bought with goods, whisky and money. Indian Panjab is not too different from Pakistan's Punjab from that angle. Badals in Panjab have amassed huge wealth and they spend it freely to buy votes. Police officers show loyalties for one party or the other though the CEC can shift them whenever it feels that they are a problem. Using the website of Indian CEC, you can pick out the people who have got multiple votes from different constituencies though not always with mal intent. Candidates are allowed to stand from many constituencies (the constitution does not bar it- Modi himself is an example) but it does make a mockery of democracy. Pakistan's method of appointing a 'care taker' government itself is flawed as was proven by the prolonged 'talks' before such a government took office last year. Those appointed were rewarded afterwards by NS.
ET Mods- please allow response to someone who has written to me.
@Sexton Blake: I am not a technical person and hence do not the specifications of voting machines used in India but they have been used in 3 general elections and several state elections and no one has complained of fraud.
With Imran and his protest, people believe that the strength of the protest comes from the army. The reality is that PML-N was not in power when elections were held, while no doubt there have been isolated instances of rigging, no one including Imran has provided evidence of what he is claiming i.e. all stakeholders responsible for conducting a free and fair poll colluded o someow hand ober victory to Nawaz. This includes the interim CM of Punjab, the election commision, the former CJ and the returning officers ( who happened to be district level judges). It spuld be noted that it is Imran who went to the court and asked that the CJ allow the district judges o operate as ROs since he trusted the judiciary.
He complains that EC was not imely in responding to reviewing what happened in the 4 seats which he initially complained. Off. The point to note is hat ECZ does not report to PM nad is an independent institution, so how he lames the delay in EC on PM is unclear. Secondly, in one of he 4 cases, the PTI candidate refuses to show up repeatedly for the hearing claiming he is on an overseas tpur for business thereby delaying a decision. How then can you hold the EC desponsible for he delay?
@Gp65:
Electronic voting machine cannot prevent booth capturing in any way.
Booth capturing is only prevented by strict law and order maintenance.
And occasional booth capturing and other irregularities happen in India even today.
Only respite is that repolling is held usually within a week's time.
@Gp65: Dear Gp65, I am not questioning what you wrote, but am interested in the fact that India uses voting machines. The US uses Diebold voting machines, and although I do not wish to become overly involved in the pluses and minuses of voting systems it does appear that Diebold voting machines are open to hacking, and voting officials cannot check the software due to propriety patent laws. What is the situation in India in regard to safe voting procedures?
Moving on to IK.s protest in Pakistan it indicates to me that the voting system, which to my mind includes the law, politicians and the media cannot be too bad when a protest such as the current one can get underway. It is obvious that voting fraud takes place in many countries, but I am not aware of any protest ever being this powerful. Perhaps the protest is succeeding due to IK being such a popular figure from his cricketing days, although of course he has moved on since then.
Stop creating delusions! This drama was choreographed and enacted on behalf of the military industrial complex. They have been completely successful in their objectives and the nation as a whole and the masses in particular have lost.
@Dr Muhammad T Khokhar:
The pew survey was done in Apr-May, while model town incident happened in June. It is not timely, however the timing of the press release and the misleading language of the survey makes one wonder.
Logical, deep and convincing Must read to understand Kaptan's stance.
Not only an entertaining read but a serious one as well.....worth reading twice. The message delivered loud and clear by both Tahirul Qadri and Imran Khan needs to be seriously heeded by themselves and whoever holds power. The message being that ' the real power always rests with the people in a democracy '.
that was a no-brainer indeed for u , here is a riddle for u, which side of the line u stand with,a perfect dictatorship or a weak democracy?
Finally! A voice of political acumen and sanity :)
Who dug ditch for you? PM Nawaz as an honest and neutral person I am writing it in your favor despite the fact that I am siding with Imran + Qadri who are after your skin for so many long months and now it is a matter of just few hours, less than 12 hours, when perhaps your fate will be decided once for all. Anyway, at this point of time I want you to please be very cool and calm and look back as to who is your Aristotle and pr who acted as your Plato and to be truly honest to you I am not writing just for writing but for very specific purpose and that too in your greater interest and not mine if you realize. Why did you entangle yourself in number game? Win is winning even by 1 vote so from that point of view you even should not have thought of asking others fir casting bogus votes and or resorting to election rigging tactics. You are undoubtedly most popular figure in Pakistan political arena and had even been twice Prime Minister before so I am pretty sure that Pakistan Muslim League (N) under your command and control must had very easily swept in elections with all legal manners and there was absolutely no need to adopt some illegal ways particularly when Imran Khan was very much in cut throat competition with you which itself necessitated that you must have been extra cautious and alert not to be trapped today or tomorrow. You had been sworn in as Prime Minister of Pakistan and had continued alike for the stipulated period of time but Imran had been after your blood because he wished to be PM instead of you and therefore he very politely but publicly pronounced that there had been mass rigging in elections and thus about 14 months back he demanded through investigation in at least 4 constituencies of National Assembly to find out as to who is the real winner and with how many votes. Very sad to pen that you just ignored and underestimated Imran out rightly without realizing that your such like attitude could fire back on your face. Incidentally Dr Tahir Qadri realizing the gravity of the situation also jumped in the arena and queued up saying that elections were rigged and demanded thorough investigations but you brushed aside Qadri alike Imran which is the biggest mistake of your life to be honest to you. PM had you truly gauged the situation and realized the gravity of the opposition of Imran and Qadri you had saved at least your reputation if not Premiership but you cared too hoots because your so called advisers whom I am naming as Aristotle and Plato had advised that they will inflate Imran so why to listen to him which as such led you to so much cornered that you are not enjoying the powers vested in you by the constitution of Pakistan. You had to lower yourself when you sought help from Zardari and Altaf etc but still you utterly failed in such like desperate movement and could not sail over the biggest humiliation of your life as your both enemies namely Imran and Qadri having embarked upon anti Nawaz movements which over the last few days have gained sufficient strength and public sympathies did not budge whatsoever. PM Nawaz, in your greater interest I would very sincerely wish you to take them to task who not only ill advised you but also put your life at risk. Personify them whosever they are even if your relatives and or bosom friends so that at least I know our Aristotles and Platos (I read true Aristotle and Plato in MA Pol Sc 1996 at PU). Iqbal Hadi Zaidi / Former Diplomat / Kuwait / Mobile 00965-66229897 / zaidiformerdiplomat@hotmail.com / Fri 29th August 2014 at 0808 hours Kuwait time and 1008 Pakistan Time
Great insight on the shades of dhandli, and this could only come from a man of public intellect.
keep raising your voice, sir. It is always great reading, listening and watching you!
Bihar and UP are part of India. All over Ondia, we now have the electronic oting machine. So 'booth capturing' is no lnger possible. Furthermore, elections are staggered over a month to allow adequate policing in each booth.
By the way if you go by complaints of rigging, every party has had such complaints not just PTI. Further PML-N was not even in power in the center when the election was held. All the people Imran now blames - THE EC, former CJ and interim CM of Punjab of systematically colluding to faor PML-N are in fact people that Imran had welcomed in their role. One of the reason for delay in decisions on the 4 seats Imran wanted is that at least on one of them, the PTI contestant repeatedly failed to show up at the time of the hearing and sought adjournments on the plea that he is traveling overseas for business. It is no one's case that there was no dhandli. But Khan after claiming to provide evidence of collusion has failed to do so.
Not accepting the election would have put the Khan in a much worse position, almost similar to that of Tahir ul Qadri, having no legitimate or a strong ground to contest the results. Now, having, not vast, but some representation in the NA, this does seem like a smart move, A move, which maybe he had planned from the start ?
While I am on board with your article, you must mention that "Booth Caturing" in India is a thing of the past. The last such incident was perhaps recorded about 10 - 15 years ago. The Election Commissioner Seshan carried a big stick and was determined to rid the country of the malaise and was successful. Along with electronic voting, elections in India are the fairest of all (even developed countries have not yet adopted electronic voting machines). Not a single complaint was raised on the voting process inthe last general elections.
As per your theme, politicians are finding new ways to work. For example, in East India, millions of illegal migrants from Bangladesh are becoming registered voters. They simply vote for those who helped them.
One wonders
Who paid for the very timely Survey by PEW ??
A challenge for the Investigative Journalists
Only Kaptan is out and has challenged the system rotten from top to bottom. We too stand with our leader
Under the guise of serving the interests of poor masses IK and Qadri are bring more power to the generals. There would be the same corruption, same poverty, ignorance and diseases but PM powers would be transferred to the general either openly or clandestine fashion. No wonder the lifelong servants of establishment are all for this agitation.
Let us see what would change for the poor masses and naïve people who have been hoping to better their lives. Generals have been in power for better part of the history but same feudal, pir, lotas have been with them to perpetuate their powers. Even a rightwing leader like NS with common interests has been too much for the generals. They would reduce his powers and make him impotent. That should solve all the problems just like these leaders used to say "if only CJ is restored" everything would be fine.