The book is mainly a discourse on capitalism in the West but it has a number of lessons for the developing world. In the last few decades, emerging economies have shown strong growth. However, this growth has also been accompanied by rising inequality and recent protests in Turkey, Brazil and other emerging economies as signs of this growing divide. The situation in Pakistan has been similar, where high inflation and a stagnating economy has dealt a great blow to the majority of the population. Even during Musharraf’s era, where the economy grew by leaps and bounds, incomes primarily rose for the urban populace belonging to the upper echelons of our society. During this period, real incomes for the rural poor fell, and this trend has increased over the last few years.
The business-friendly and industry-oriented government of Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has made economic growth a fundamental priority. However, like the capitalist elite all over the world, the cabinet and close advisers of the prime minister believe in trickle-down economics. Their belief is that growth led by capitalists, will trickle down as growth for the less privileged in due course. While inequality will rise in the short-run, the medium and long term will usher in an era of prosperity for the majority of the population. This policy has been in action since the new government took power and gave Rs.477 billion in tax exemptions to the elite, a 100 per cent increase from the last fiscal year. Reports indicate that the new budget will continue this trend and continue to give exemptions to those that need them the least, while using regressive forms of indirect taxation and cutting subsidies to break the back of those that need monetary relief.
For a feudal society like Pakistan, where a small moneyed class has reigned supreme for decades, such a policy will reinforce the status quo and increase the divisions within our society. The inequality of the Musharraf era was largely visible in urban centres like Lahore and Karachi as expensive imported cars, designer clothing, and fashionable malls catering to the elite popped open in every nook and corner. During this same period, the average Pakistani has been placed under increasing fiscal strain, struggling to even properly feed his or her family. The result has been a rise in malnutrition, with about 1.5 million children in Pakistan suffering from it. Both women and children suffer from this epidemic and estimates say that more than half of women and over 60 per cent of children under five years of age are anaemic in Pakistan.
For an economy to grow, investments need to be made in developing human capital through education and healthcare. The provision of these services rests on effective taxation and redistribution of wealth as it allows money to flow from the elite to the less privileged in society. With one of the lowest tax-to-GDP ratios in the world, Pakistan needs fundamental taxation and economic reforms. Taxing the elite is the first step in fixing this growing problem and this is what Piketty argues for in his book. Sadly, for a government whose power base is the moneyed class, fundamental reforms that seek to reduce inequality and establish a more equitable taxation system will not be a priority. Economic growth is indeed a priority, but the economic growth model being followed by Nawaz Sharif’s government seeks to benefit the owners of capital and those who have already accumulated vast amounts of wealth. Growth is indeed returning to Pakistan, but the fruits of this growth will largely enter the coffers of the elite and this will only reinforce the growing divisions within our society.
Published in The Express Tribune, June 5th, 2014.
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@Kahna Kacha: Thanks. The problem of tax revenue in PAK is govt inefficiency, corruption, poor statistics, poor means of collection system and no concrete policy and poor enforcement mechanism. All will only amplify the income inequality and create inflation. Govt should function efficiently in all aspects without corruption for proper tax rate acceptance by the people, and for proper collection and distribution by the people.
Given a choice everyone including the poor will not pay tax. But in an efficiently run governments people pay taxes sincerely, voluntarily and grudgingly. This argument Piketty fails to make.
@John B:
Very well written comment. I Agree that an investor or industrialist who invests and create jobs should not be taxed too much. He has to have an incentive to become more rich, only then he will continue to invest and create jobs. However we have another problem, which is tax base. hardly 1% of the population pays taxes. It has to be 10% or more. Many super rich do not pay taxes at all. We need to increase tax base by creating more jobs as well as by bringing both rich and middle in the tax net.
The writer is completely ignorant of the fact that what happen in bhutto era when he adopted socialism? a big mess was made of the economy.Capitalism on such small scale and on a weak economy like ours is need of the hour.We don't want a socialist regime which distributes money amongst the masses which already thinks they are entitled for everything this country have.
@John B:
I fully endorse your views & analysis....I wish you could propose your valuable analysis to our govt & see its reaction. There are few other professionals in our country with similar views, who have been very patriotically vocal on such important issues but all seem to have gone to deaf ears. One fails to understand " why our subsequent govt policies not people friendly, but certain class friendly ". Our PM is requesting his foreign friendly countries to invest, while he does not bring his foreign kept money to invest in his own country. Will anyone in his right mind not put such question across our PM Sb ? FDIs were down since last 6 years....according to our own Mr Dar claiming that our ultra-rich people have $ 200 billion in Swiss & off-shore account while we go on begging the world over. Is this not an irony ? This $200 billion is enough to payback all our loans of the past 65 years & yet will have enough to take care of our other pressing issues.....but who cares ?
Writer needs to add some supporting material for his proposal of redistribution of wealth through taxation. Like a) What has been the result in other countries who tried wealth redistribution b) Source of information on the Inequality figures and rural incomes during Musharaf era c) The Tax potential of Pakistan's wealthy. Can government generate enough revenue to spend on education and health of 50% poor population?
Discussed the following comments under previous opinion column on the same subject.
Piketty is wrong in his conclusion but his observation is correct. He is much more concerned about the income inequality than appreciating the fact that the low income group /poor who once stuck in menial job without any mobility now have options to move to better paying job due to rich man's capital and are relatively better than they were before.
Money makes more money and this is the fact and it is the monumental curse of human civilization. Granted that may be in philosophical terms, what can we do about it?
Rob the Peter and pay Paul ? Communism, socialism, nationalism, or outright robbery ?
"The provision of these services rests on effective taxation and redistribution of wealth as it allows money to flow from the elite to the less privileged in society"
This is what communists and socialists did and when we look around the economies who followed this course they never made any economic strides.
What is essential in growing economy is how to make sure that the capital stays in the economy and is not under the mattress or elsewhere. That is a policy decision and it has nothing to do with the current model system.
As a policy maker I have no concern or worry if a rich man makes more money with his capital. I am not envious.
My only concern here is "are the poor earning better than they were doing a year ago and are they on right track." Even 2.5% of growth in their life is better than none at all and I am not envious that the rich men capital grew faster than the poor man labor capital. Today's laborer is tomorrows capitalist. Ask any street vendor -is he a capitalist or a laborer!
What are the rich growing to do with all the gained capital? Spend and invest and save. In all the cases, their capital gain is returned to the circulation in terms of taxes, wages, credit through savings to the poor, and purchase of goods and services made by the poor.
The policy should be such that taxation is not taxing on the capital gain. Otherwise, what is the incentive for the rich fat greedy man to invest his capital?
The probability statistics states that there will always be a bell shaped income distribution in any society, and any tax collection data can support that. As a policy maker, one should make sure that the amplitude of the curve stays high by proper taxation policy and controlling inflation and attracting capital.
In the case of PAK one only has to analyze this issue in a different perspective of every day observation. How many people have shed their bicycle to motorcycle and how many people have shed their motorcycle to car. Obviously, one can see that those who could not afford them yesterday are now able to manage the motorcycle or car (purchase and maintenance cost). Naturally the question is how are they doing it.
The obvious answer is their income has risen now, they can save and buy or borrow and pay with their disposable income.
The poor of yesteryear is rich today and the rich of yesteryear is richer today. Piketty's concern is that poor are not rich enough at the same rate as the rich. That is not going to happen unless you kill all the poor in war or rob the rich or confiscate their capital and redistribute to the poor at the perils of inflation-the poor after an initial high with the money will stay poor and there is no more capital or capitalist and the growth is no longer possible.
Sounds familiar.?
My concern is only for the poor. Are they better of today than they were yesterday in terms of life expectancy, health, education, food, shelter, access to various occupations and resources, opportunities etc. The answer is yes.
Ask anyone in Bangladesh, Pakistan, India, Vietnam etc. The older generation will answer it better than the younger generation since the younger ones have not seen the poverty of their fathers.
The take home message from Piketty's argument however is that we need to increase the rate of growth for the poor. That should be effectively done through policy decisions by reducing government waste, expenditure, reduced defense expenditure, eliminating subsidy (so the rich can pay the real cost of the fuel for their gas guzzlers), proper allocation of tax revenue towards human capital development, increased efficiency in government policies and in human labor, effective law and order and justice system etc.
Taxing the capital gain of the rich is not the solution as Piketty advocates Why waste government money- just rob them. It is easier !