SBP data: Eight-month current account deficit widens to $2 billion

Figures for February show improvement month-on-month.

Shown as a percentage of the gross domestic product (GDP), the current account deficit widened to 1.2% in July-February as opposed to 0.5% in the same period last year. CREATIVE COMMONS

KARACHI:


Pakistan’s current account deficit in the first eight months of the current fiscal year increased to more than $2 billion as opposed to a deficit of $831 million in July-February of 2012-13, according to data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Tuesday.


However, the current account balance for February remained positive ($164 million). In contrast, the current account balance in January was a negative $427 million, the SBP data shows.

Shown as a percentage of the gross domestic product (GDP), the current account deficit widened to 1.2% in July-February as opposed to 0.5% in the same period last year.

The country’s balance of payment (BoP) position was particularly vulnerable until recently mainly because foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank had declined to a critical level of $2.8 billion on February 7. In practical terms, it meant the reserves provided less than one month of import cover. However, SBP-held foreign exchange reserves increased to $4.6 billion by March 7, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 62.7%.


Pakistan exported goods worth $2 billion in February as opposed to exports totaling $2.1 billion in the preceding month, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 4.1%. For the July-February period, however, exports increased to $16.7 billion, up 3.7% from $16.1 billion recorded in the corresponding eight-month period of 2012-13.

The country’s total imports of goods in February were $3.1 billion as opposed to $3.5 billion in January, which means a decrease of 12.2% in one month. For the July-February period, imports increased to $27.6 billion, up 4% from $26.5 billion in the corresponding eight-month period in 2012-13.

Workers’ remittances remained $1.2 billion in February, slightly down (2.9%) from the preceding month. Workers’ remittances in July-February increased to $10.2 billion, registering an increase of 10.9% over the corresponding eight-month period in the preceding fiscal year when they totalled $9.2 billion.

A favourable current account balance in the last month can partially be attributed to an improvement in foreign investment flows. Pakistan received foreign direct investment (FDI) of $606.3 million in the first eight months of 2013-14, which is 17.9% higher than the amount it received in July-February 2012-13.

Just like the current account balance that improved significantly in February, FDI also recorded a sharp increase last month. It amounted to $79.2 million in February as opposed to an outflow of $14 million in the same month of the preceding fiscal year.

Published in The Express Tribune, March 19th, 2014.

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