As far as providing alternative solutions to this problem are concerned, they suggest military operations, continuing with IMF/US funding as Pakistan has to abide by MoUs to save the economy, and continued pressure on the US to stop drone attacks. Each of these solutions has been tried, tested and has failed. Military operations have been going on in Fata for almost a decade. If military operations were the answer, then the problem would have been solved a long time ago. Fata has 100,000 troops on ground, with almost 11,000 bomb sorties being thrown at the suspects to date and yet, militancy has increased multifold.
Both the US and the Taliban have used drones for their own self-interest. For the US, it is the control of this region and a sales market for their 94 billion dollar drone industry. For the terrorists, it is the jihadi narrative being used by them to convince innocent people to lay down their lives against US designs. Thus, drones, either way, are being used to take thousands of innocent lives, besides now being declared war crimes by all international reports. All the political parties and analysts agree they are a violation of our sovereignty, so what is their solution? None. All over the world, injustice is tackled progressively through talks, protests and pressure tactics that make the other party feel the pinch as well. Nato supplies are the only pinching point we have on ground. It may not stop the US from droning Pakistan but it will certainly send a stronger message than merely conveying a condemnation to the US envoy. Recently, when India violated our territory and shot down our people on the border, we condemned it and put pressure by holding back the MFN status that we were about to award them and later, we shot down their soldiers. So, if these steps are fine for India, why not for the US?
The rationale given by the US apologists will be that India does not give us aid while the US does; and as the political parties very shamelessly say on talk shows, beggars cannot be choosers. Let me clarify the picture on whether the US is providing us aid or we are providing aid to the US. According to government estimates, the war on terror has cost Pakistan $90 billion since 9/11. According to reports published between 2002 and 2010, the US Congress approved $18 billion in military and economic aid from the US. However, the Pakistan treasury only received $8.647 in direct financial payments. Add the $1.5 billion from the Kerry-Lugar-Berman bill and we have received barely $10 billion while we have spent $90 billion for the US war on terror. It is the US that actually owes $80 billion to Pakistan. According to the latest study of Congressional Research Services published July 1, 2013,“International, particularly US, military and civilian aid has failed to improve Pakistan’s performance against jihadi groups operating on its soil or to help stabilise its nascent democracy. Lopsided focus on security aid after the 9/11 attacks has not delivered counterterrorism dividends, but disturbed control over state institutions and policy, delaying reforms and aggravating Pakistani public perceptions that the US is only interested in investing in a security client.”
As far as the IMF is concerned, the alternative is there. Only 0.8 million people pay their taxes and if we broaden our tax net to include the data of 3.2 million taxpayers provided by the Federal Board of Revenue, the indigenous tax potential is about $3 billion. But the government either believes in doing nothing or doing exactly as they have always done, leading to exactly the same results. Like Hamlet, the choice for us is, to be or not to be a status quo worshipper.
Published in The Express Tribune, November 29th, 2013.
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COMMENTS (56)
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PTI will be the last to figure out, too late, that TTP will treat them just like all other kafir.
@FactCheck:
If ever anyone wanted to look up a poster child for medeival misogyny, rank stupidity and putrid hater, all rolled in one, look no further: @FactCheck is there!
Some mothers do have 'em....
Pakistanis hate Amreeka.... but ++++++++++++++++++++++++ love the greenback;:)!
Great article. Don't mind these Indian haters abusing you. We Pakistanis know and appreciate your presentation of facts. Keep up the good work.
As a proud Pakistani, I believe in the need for self-reliance and independence as a policy for Pakistan. Imran Khan is doing the job which every single Pakistani should be doing. He is a true patriot. Time for us to stand up for Pakistan together, regardless of party affiliation.
@Pak10: Any thing bad in wishing good for the estranged half brother that is what Pakistan is to India. Think over........
@prabhjyot singh madan: I wonder how have you missed the truth that maximum support vocally and in the form of cash, to Hindu organisations and also Khalistani organisations come from Indians living abroad. This is some thing I fail to understand.
one mans combatant is another man shephard
Finally, I find someone with a brain.
@Bala: End of the day, you are an indian who is thought to hate Pakistan, supported by 1 billion+ population who have nothing to do than comment on pakistani news
AND American apologists bombard comments
Some people can never gain independence.
The rationales quoted in the article may not support it's overall theme however the author is right in reaching to the conclusion that the war on terror must be settled through negotiation.
War kills the investor confidence and investment disappear. It wastes the military resources of the country and economy suffers. War is not the answer to settle the difference of opinion in interpreting Islam.
10 years war has been unfruitful with no conclusive results. Those advocating the continuation of the war, how long do they think economy can support the current war?
There is no doubt that economy will dwindle, brain drain intensified, poverty ratio increased, rupee will drop in value, infrastructure will ruin and general state of mind in economy will despair leading to generally unhappy nation. The war must stop unless there are compelling and cogent reasons.
@Bala: man she was ACCA's P3 paper (business analysis) best teacher resigned because of politics so she do have good know how about financial stuff .
@islooboy: We know how it feels because throughout the 90s, Pakistan would arm, train, fund and send foreign jihadis to India. Tens of thousands of innocent civilians were killed by them and hundreds of thousands of Pandits became homeless. This is why we have fenced the LoC. this is why so many Indian soldiers are on the LoC which was never the case before 1989.
Even now Pakistan tries to facilitate jihadis coming to India by providing cover fire which is precisely the reason for the problems on LoC.
Unlike drones which are accurate and kill terrorists, these human drones in the form of jihadis attacked innocent civilians. Apart from Pak army you know who else funded hem? Ordinary Pakistanis. There used to be boxes outside mosques for jihad for Chanda - remember?
@MA: No one killed any leader in 2009. The Nizam-e-Adl with Fazlullah came o an end because they broke their agreement.
All the people supporting the authoress are expatriates in foreign countries and those criticising the government policies are living in pakistan. Does it feel good to have chicken tikka in Bradford and Vancouver and be patriotic Pakistanis even if it is going into a abyss. I value a comment of a resident pakistani more than the dual nationality people on the net. I am a Indian but a dual national is a hypocrite and luckily we don't have it in india. Rab rakha
@FactCheck: Besides putting out crap, do you realise that you are a rude person? One does not talk to a lady like you did.
Rex Minor
Great start with Einstein’s quote on insanity. Then, the article fell into insanity of its own. Didn’t the previous government suspend NATO supplies more than once? What happened?
100,000 troops in FATA but terrorist leaders are roaming free, how and why?
Attack on sovereignty, it is well known fact now that, both; Commando and the previous government had an agreement in place. The agreement is still in effect. Agreements between countries does not expire because you happen to elect a different party to govern the country.
As someone previously said, giant waste of pixels and energy to display this nonsense on the screen.
Lady, please do get your head examined, there some alien life in there.
@Tony Singh: This great analysts basic argument is that since we can not fight the talibans let us be friendly with them. Remember what would happened if this argument was applied for Germany.
Each of these solutions has been tried, tested and has failed.
This gives the impression that 'getting down on your knees and waving the peace flag' is one solution which has either not been tried or has not failed. A quick recap of recent history is in order at this point
A. A 'peace deal' with Nek Mohammad handed over South Waziristan to the Taliban.
B. By another 'peace deal' in September 2006 North Waziristan was surrendered in another peace deal.
C. And then of course there was a 'Nizam-e-Adal' deal in Swat, which is only too well known to be recounted here. In fact the current TTP chief was also the Chief beneficiary of the Swat deal.
http://san-pips.com/download.php?f=140.pdf
http://www.pvtr.org/pdf/GlobalAnalysis/MakingPeaceWithTheTaliban.pdf
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WarinNorth-West_Pakistan
The TTP has never ever said that their aim is limited to end of Drones and the presence of USA. They assert that their aim is Nizam-e-Sariah as displayed in Afghanistan and Swat .
@Ali Ammar: Dear Sir, You have asked where the lady has gone wrong? In my opinion she has gone wrong on many counts specially on the elementary basics. First. She says "“…we have spent $90 billion for the US war on terror…” and despite losing thousands of civilains and military personnel to the ‘jihadists’, it is still the US war on terror?" Dear Sir, the very refusal to accept that it is Pakistan's' war on terror is misleading people and justifying all the killings and blood shed of people of Pakistan. Each Pakistani will have to accept a bitter truth that the TODAY the war on terror is the war to save Pakistan a Pakistan that aspires to join the world of today. Forget how and in whose initiative this war came to Pakistan TODAY it is there and destroying peace and tranquility of Pakistan. America is far far away. Second Sir, I wonder if any women in the Jihadi Khalifat will be writing like this lady author is doing today. Does she realize that by talking to them you will be providing them legitimacy? Also the truth is that no concentrated operation has ever been launched against the TTP except for Swat Operation.
@Rex Minor:
An what should the Saudis or the chinese do, each holding a note of one trillion dollars each. The economy is imsolvent hile the dollars printing goes on unchecked.
Looks like you did not tell the Chinese and the Saudis about this. And since they have appointed you as their investment advisor, this smacks of breach of trust.
And how much are they paying for your consultancy services?
What kind of "analysis" is this? The author's argument is " We will not clean the filth (Taliban). We will let this filth spread to other nations as this filth is our strategic asset" Remember if Pakistan does not clean the mess it has created and now that this mess is spreading and affecting other nations, naturally other nations will take care of the mess before it reaches their shore. That's the USA's philosophy. The logic is simple. Either you stand up and take care of Taliban or others will do the job.
@polpot: An what should the Saudis or the chinese do, each holding a note of one trillion dollars each. The economy is imsolvent hile the dollars printing goes on unchecked.
Rex Minor
@ET u r not printing my comments, it was not offensive and off the issue too
This 'Madam' made millions from selling Steven Covey's '7 Habits of Highly Effective People' workshops here in Pakistan and still she found courage to call others 'America's Apologists'. Bravo Madam - BRAVO
What a refreshing analysis. Who says Pakistan does not produce analysts who can tell night from day. May Allah keep you safe from American apologists.
@billo: you did not mention the reason behind the failure of those accords. (Hint: Who killed the leaders just before the peace process was about to took off?) Please finish your argument with complete background. We all have short memories.
US $ 90 Billion spent on the "War on Terror". Where did all that money come from 'Swiss Bank accounts"
@Author. You do realize that by talking to them you will be providing them legitimacy? Also no concentrated operation has ever been launched against the TTP except for Swat Operation. All the others were only half hearted attempts. On the other hand numerous accords were signed but they were proven to be of little value beyond the value of paper they were printed on. So Pakistan is facing an existential issue today. It is up to the people to either blame the world for the problems they themselves created and go to negotiation table asking for mercy from the butchers, OR we can go actively solving our problems. By the way you do realize that there is a system of punishment in this country for crimes some one commits. Why are you insisting on negotiating with murderers of thousands but can't wait to punish the murderer of one? Also I know it will come up so here is the answer. US is negotiating to Taliban to leave Afghanistan as they are an opposing force but both parties have a lot to lose so the negotiation is at least a bit on equal footing. You do not have the luxury to leave Pakistan. So yes eradicating the mindset and the current crop of the terrorists is the only solution.
@billo: well said billo
Thankfully that brought some balance to the discussion. Had stopped reading ET due to barrage of US apologists concocting new explanations for Pakistanis to kneel at the helm of US masters.
Bravo Andaleeb!
Well said and brilliant analysis. All the people complaining here in the comments first bring their leader back in Pakistan who is hiding in the UK
@csmann: its not that we want taliban to rule but we our selves want to rule and if the natives of that area even want the taliban to rule then so be it there land there way
@numbersnumbers: how would you like if every day some army tank crossed youre field youre orchad a has troops or your house is raided
"It is the US that actually owes $80 billion to Pakistan. " ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Stop all NATO supplies till US settles this amount.
The statistis provided in the article are more or less credible! The mission that Imran Khan has undertaken is an admirable initiative which will ugrade his leadership status in the country.
Rex Minor
The keyboard warriors in full throttle mode.
This is a fantastic and manufactured claim - the USA "owes" Pakistan! Really!? If that is the case, amazing how Pakistan slavishly craves for every US dollar of aid and arms. If Pakistan is the creditor nation, and that too by a whopping margin, it should be able to demand up immediate payment and stop drone attacks from the debtor. It can't. Given the animus all of Pakistan has for its largest benefactor, if it could stop the "Satan" it would.
Your pinch point politics is going to end soon lady. Americans are talking to Iran.
Kerry-Lugar is $1.5 Billion per year for 5 years. PTI 90 day performance like error as always.
With such incompetent and cluless authors no wonder pti (political wing of ttp) is a disaster.
Its funny how the comments above have simply laughed off the analysis but said nothing about where she's wrong and what the solution in their mind? I've seen a bizzarre string of US apologist comments on ET lately. Just me?
@Author : "...put pressure by holding back the MFN status that we were about to award them..." And meanwhile in India, business has come to a standstill and grief stricken Indians are dying of broken hearts at not being awarded the MFN!!! Lady, you are doing no favour by awarded India the MFN - it is your obligation; as India has awarded you MFN many many years back. You should be thankful that India has not dragged you to court for not fulfilling a sovreign nation's duty. Imagine the hue and cry; and the very real hardship Pakistan would face if India were to renege on its part of the Indus Treaty!
"...we have spent $90 billion for the US war on terror..." and despite losing thousands of civilains and military personnel to the 'jihadists', it is still the US war on terror?
As one of the commenters above has said, better get the burqua washed and ironed - you're going to need it soon!
Very well said maam may allah bless u and the truth.
So!!! As per your (dear author's) "analysis" it is actually the USA (and the rest of the world, presumably) that owes Pakistan a living (rather than the other way around) ... I would really love to see this theory put into practice (e.g. by cutting off ALL "aid" Pakistan receives, esp from the IMF, and USA and its agencies whether 'X' or 'Y' or 'Z' and whether govt or non-govt) .... and (though I am not a fan of this concept) ... what's gonna happen... (??).... Other than to watch Pakistan (almost) literally vanish off the map....!!!
This was poorly written, flawed in logic and flawed in substance. How is it that the PTI points a finger at America but not at Saudi Arabia and Gang ....... the two are different faces of the same coin. Will agree with your stand that the government and the powers that be, have failed to deliver.