Muslim voters reportedly divided between Jill Stein and Kamala Harris

A recent poll by the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) reveals a significant split in the Muslim vote for the upcoming US presidential election, with Green Party candidate Jill Stein leading slightly over Democratic nominee Kamala Harris.

Conducted among 1,449 verified Muslim voters from October 30 to 31, the survey shows Stein with 42% support compared to Harris's 41%, while former President Donald Trump remains at 10%.

This polling data highlights a notable shift since CAIR’s August survey, which recorded Stein and Harris each at about 29%.

The decrease in undecided voters, from 16.5% in August to just 0.9% now, indicates a consolidation of support among those who have made their choices clear.

CAIR officials attribute the candidates' fluctuating support to concerns within the Muslim community regarding the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

Stein’s vocal opposition to Israeli military actions, which have resulted in over 43,000 Palestinian deaths since October 2023, resonates strongly with many Muslim voters.

In contrast, Harris has faced criticism for perceived ambivalence regarding U.S. support for Israel amid the ongoing conflict.

Hussam Ayloush, CEO of CAIR's California chapter, expressed that Harris is seen as "sitting on the fence," having shown some sympathy towards Palestinians while refraining from explicitly condemning Israel's actions.

This has likely contributed to a significant portion of the Muslim electorate leaning towards Stein, who has taken a more definitive stance against the conflict.

The Muslim population in the US is estimated between 2.5 to 3.5 million, with many residing in pivotal swing states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Georgia.

Given that these states could determine the election outcome, the Muslim vote's significance is amplified. Michigan, in particular, is home to a large Muslim community, especially in the Detroit area, making it a key target for campaign efforts.

Both Trump and Harris have ramped up their campaigning in Michigan ahead of the November 5 election, with Trump recently visiting suburbs of Detroit and urging his supporters to vote.

Harris, having campaigned extensively in Michigan, aims to solidify Democratic support in a state that is crucial for her campaign.

The CAIR poll indicates that 95% of Muslim respondents plan to vote, emphasizing the community's engagement in the electoral process.

Leaders within the Muslim community are encouraging high turnout to ensure their voices are heard, regardless of individual candidate preferences.

As the election approaches, the dynamics of voter sentiment could still shift.

Analysts suggest that the increasingly polarized views regarding Gaza will likely continue to play a critical role in influencing Muslim voter decisions.

With both major parties making efforts to connect with Muslim voters, the outcome remains uncertain but pivotal for the overall election landscape.