Harris's lead over Trump narrows to just one point: Poll

Kamala Harris's lead over Donald Trump has dwindled to a mere one percentage point in the final days leading up to the US presidential election, according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll.

The survey, completed on Sunday, indicates Harris at 44% and Trump at 43%, suggesting a near tie ahead of the November 5 election.

The poll has a margin of error of approximately three percentage points.

Since Harris entered the race in July, she has consistently led Trump in Reuters/Ipsos polls, but her advantage has steadily decreased since late September.

A previous poll from mid-October had her leading by two points.

The latest poll, which surveyed 1,150 US adults, including 975 registered voters, highlights Trump's notable advantages on key issues that voters prioritize.

When asked who had a better approach to the economy and job creation, 47% favored Trump compared to 37% for Harris.

The economy continues to be a major concern, with 26% of respondents identifying it as the most pressing issue, followed closely by political extremism (24%) and immigration (18%).

Trump's strongest position appears to be on immigration, where 48% of voters believe his hardline policies, including proposals for mass deportations, are more effective, while only 33% preferred Harris's approach.

Meanwhile, Harris's lead on political extremism has also decreased; 40% of respondents now favor her stance on this issue compared to 38% for Trump, down from a seven-point advantage she held in October.

In her campaign, Harris has focused on Trump’s involvement in the January 6 Capitol riots, emphasizing threats to democracy.

On Tuesday, she is scheduled to deliver what her campaign has labeled her final major speech before the election at the site of a previous Trump rally.

Trump has countered by portraying Harris's views as extreme, alleging they would lead to a socialist takeover of U.S. institutions.

Despite her marginal lead, analysts caution that it may not be sufficient to secure victory, as the winner will ultimately be determined by Electoral College results, particularly in critical battleground states.

Historical context is significant; in the 2016 election, Trump won the presidency despite losing the popular vote to Hillary Clinton.

Current polls suggest that both candidates are closely matched in these pivotal states.

With the race tightening, the candidates' abilities to motivate their supporters to vote will likely be decisive. In the 2020 election, approximately two-thirds of US adults participated, marking the highest turnout in over a century.

Encouragingly, the latest poll indicates strong enthusiasm among party supporters, with 89% of registered Democrats and 93% of registered Republicans expressing certainty about voting.

Among likely voters in the recent survey, Harris maintains a slight edge over Trump, leading 47% to 46%.

Previously, shares of Donald Trump's social media company, Trump Media & Technology Group, surged over 21% on October 28, 2024, following a lively campaign rally at Madison Square Garden, closing at $47.36 per share.

This rebound surpasses its mid-summer high, which was influenced by intense media attention after Trump survived an assassination attempt in Pennsylvania.

The New York City rally attracted thousands of supporters, highlighting Trump's strong appeal among his base.

Furthermore, at a rally in Washington, Kamala Harris warned over 75,000 supporters about Donald Trump, asserting that he seeks unchecked power as the election approaches.

Speaking near the White House, where Trump addressed his supporters before the Capitol attack on January 6, 2021, Harris labeled him “unstable, obsessed with revenge, and consumed with grievance.”

As the campaign heads into its final week, both candidates are ramping up efforts to secure every possible vote, underscoring the high stakes of this closely contested election.