Relief at the pump

Reduction in fuel prices, if sustained, could potentially decrease overall inflation rate

In a welcome move, the caretaker government has taken a decisive step to alleviate the burden on the common man by slashing the price of petrol by Rs14 per litre and that of high-speed diesel (HSD) by Rs13.5 per litre for the next fortnight. This reduction, as announced by the Ministry of Finance, brings the new price of petrol to Rs267.34 and HSD to Rs276.21.

The rationale behind this significant cut lies in the international market dynamics, with officials citing a nearly 5% decline in crude oil prices. Simultaneously, the rupee has experienced a marginal gain against the US dollar, contributing to a reasonable drop in domestic prices for consumers. The reduction in fuel prices, if sustained, could potentially decrease the overall inflation rate and have a cascading effect on various sectors of the economy. However, the broader economic context must be considered. Pakistan is currently juggling a complex economic situation, with the central bank actively involved in maintaining reserves above a certain level, but debt servicing obligations limiting its ability to accumulate reserves swiftly. Therefore, there is an urgent need to fast-track SIFC to address external financing concerns to expedite economic recovery. The country remains at the mercy of the international market, but the anticipation of improved inflows post the IMF review in January is a beacon of hope.

Additionally, regulating and reducing transportation prices at the grassroots level is crucial to ensuring that the benefits of reduced fuel prices are effectively passed on to consumers, contributing to a more balanced and stable economic landscape. This fuel price reduction serves as a melodic note in the economic symphony of Pakistan. Yet, it is the harmonisation of this relief with broader economic reforms that will compose a resilient economic future for the nation.

 

Published in The Express Tribune, December 18th, 2023.

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