30 years of experience: US professor foresees Trump win
Allan Lichtman predicts Republican nominee is set to enter the White House
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump holds a rally with supporters in Aston, Pennsylvania, US September 22, 2016. PHOTO: REUTERS
While many may not wish to see Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump win the upcoming US presidential elections, there is a man who firmly believes the extremely controversial candidate may land in the White House.
Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984, is sure Trump will be the next US president, according to The Washington Post.
A distinguished professor of history at American University, Lichtman calls his system to predict the winner of presidential election, “Keys to the White House” and contends that it is not based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions.
Hollywood stars urge Americans to dump Donald Trump
Explaining the 'Keys', the eminent professor said: “‘The Keys to the White House’ is a historically based prediction system. I derived the system by looking at every American presidential election from 1860 to 1980, and have since used the system to correctly predict the outcomes of all eight American presidential elections from 1984 to 2012.”
“The Keys are 13 true/false questions, where an answer of ‘true’ always favours the re-election of the party holding the White House, in this case the Democrats. And the Keys are phrased to reflect the basic theory that elections are primarily judgments on the performance of the party holding the White House. And if six or more of the 13 Keys are false — that is, they go against the party in power — they lose. If fewer than six are false, the party in power gets four more years,” he upholds.
Lichtman argues Trump has made upcoming polls the most difficult elections to assess since 1984. “We have never before seen a candidate like Donald Trump, and Donald Trump may well break patterns of history that have held since 1860. We've never before seen a candidate who's spent his life enriching himself at the expense of others. He's the first candidate in our history to be a serial fabricator, making up things as he goes along. We've never had a candidate before who not just once, but twice in a thinly disguised way, has incited violence against an opponent. We've never had a candidate before who's invited a hostile foreign power to meddle in American elections. We've never had a candidate before who's threatened to start a war by blowing ships out of the water in the Persian Gulf if they come too close to us. We've never had a candidate before who has embraced as a role model a murderous, hostile foreign dictator.”
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The US professor, however, says: “Given all of these exceptions that Donald Trump represents, he may well shatter patterns of history that have held for more than 150 years, lose this election even if the historical circumstances favour it.”
Professor Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984, is sure Trump will be the next US president, according to The Washington Post.
A distinguished professor of history at American University, Lichtman calls his system to predict the winner of presidential election, “Keys to the White House” and contends that it is not based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions.
Hollywood stars urge Americans to dump Donald Trump
Explaining the 'Keys', the eminent professor said: “‘The Keys to the White House’ is a historically based prediction system. I derived the system by looking at every American presidential election from 1860 to 1980, and have since used the system to correctly predict the outcomes of all eight American presidential elections from 1984 to 2012.”
“The Keys are 13 true/false questions, where an answer of ‘true’ always favours the re-election of the party holding the White House, in this case the Democrats. And the Keys are phrased to reflect the basic theory that elections are primarily judgments on the performance of the party holding the White House. And if six or more of the 13 Keys are false — that is, they go against the party in power — they lose. If fewer than six are false, the party in power gets four more years,” he upholds.
Lichtman argues Trump has made upcoming polls the most difficult elections to assess since 1984. “We have never before seen a candidate like Donald Trump, and Donald Trump may well break patterns of history that have held since 1860. We've never before seen a candidate who's spent his life enriching himself at the expense of others. He's the first candidate in our history to be a serial fabricator, making up things as he goes along. We've never had a candidate before who not just once, but twice in a thinly disguised way, has incited violence against an opponent. We've never had a candidate before who's invited a hostile foreign power to meddle in American elections. We've never had a candidate before who's threatened to start a war by blowing ships out of the water in the Persian Gulf if they come too close to us. We've never had a candidate before who has embraced as a role model a murderous, hostile foreign dictator.”
Trump used charity funds to pay legal settlements
The US professor, however, says: “Given all of these exceptions that Donald Trump represents, he may well shatter patterns of history that have held for more than 150 years, lose this election even if the historical circumstances favour it.”