'Red rag to a bull': New TTP chief could push army to military action

New chief Fazlullah, aka Mullah Radio, is enemy number one of the military: Analyst


Afp November 08, 2013
Mullah Fazlullah. PHOTO: FILE

ISLAMABAD: The Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan's (TTP) appointment of a new hardline leader opposed to peace talks and with a long history of attacks against the military could push the army into launching a fresh offensive, analysts said Friday.

The election of Maulana Fazlullah, notorious for leading the militants' brutal two-year rule in the Swat valley, is like a "red rag to a bull", one analyst said.

It could also raise tensions with Kabul at a critical juncture as US-led forces withdraw from Afghanistan after 12 years of war.

While Kabul has long accused Islamabad of supporting the Afghan Taliban, Fazlullah has orchestrated cross-border attacks from his hideout in eastern Afghanistan, and Pakistan suspects its neighbour's intelligence services of supporting him.

Fazlullah, nicknamed Mullah Radio for his fiery sermons over the airwaves denouncing polio vaccination campaigns and female education, is renowned as an uncompromising commander.

Intelligence agencies believes he is linked to the failed attempt to kill schoolgirl education activist Malala Yousafzai, who was shot in Swat in October 2012.

He was appointed chief of the TTP on November 7, nearly a week after a US drone strike killed his predecessor Hakimullah Mehsud.

Islamabad reacted angrily to the killing of Mehsud, with the interior minister saying Washington had "sabotaged" peace talks.

It is not clear what progress, if any, had been made towards meaningful dialogue - but the process lies in tatters after Fazlullah's election.

The militants dismissed the idea of peace talks with the government as a "waste of time", and said they would never negotiate until sharia law was imposed across the country.

Defence analyst Talat Masood, a retired general, said the TTP's choice of Fazlullah, whose men have carried out bloody and humiliating attacks against the army, was like a "red rag to a bull".

"This leaves no margin for negotiation and they will have to resort to a military operation and will have to be fully prepared to prevent terrorist actions in the country," Masood told AFP.

"He is enemy number one of the military."

In September, political parties backed the government's proposal for talks to try to end the TTP's six-year insurgency, which has killed thousands.

Fazlullah's men responded by killing two senior army officers, including a major general, in a roadside bomb - a galling blow to the military.

Fazlullah rubbed salt in the wounds by issuing a video message to claim the attack and to reveal the intended target was Chief of Army Staff General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani.

In 2009 a major military operation ended Fazlullah's rule in Swat. Later that year another offensive cleared militant hideouts in South Waziristan, one of the seven tribal areas along the Afghan border seen as a haven for Taliban and al Qaeda militants.

Washington has pushed for a similar offensive in North Waziristan, which has borne the brunt of the US drone campaign targeting suspected militants, but none has yet taken place.

A senior security source told AFP a military operation would "become inevitable" if, as seems likely, dialogue does not proceed, and warned of worsening relations with Kabul.

"The government and the military top brass in almost all previous rounds of meetings with their Afghan interlocutors have been pointing out Fazlullah's presence on Afghan soil and his activities against the Pakistani state," the source said.

Kayani is to retire on November 29 and his replacement as army chief has yet to be announced. The security official said Fazlullah's appointment would have a bearing on the decision.

"The priority will now be to have a person on this post, who has expertise in counter insurgency and related matters," the official said.

Correction: In an earlier version of this article, it was incorrectly mentioned that Fazlullah was appointed as TTP chief on October 7 instead of November 7. The error has been fixed.

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COMMENTS (47)

bigsaf | 10 years ago | Reply

@Gratgy:

That was a great read, thanks. Again, one cannot help but feel betrayed yet again by our military establishment with the news of where Mehsud was hiding.

Mehmood Ghaznavi | 10 years ago | Reply

@someone: I think you are only considering direct effects but it is imperative that we also keep in mind the indirect effects, even a fool knows that the spill over effects of war in FATA was witnessed more in settled areas. Every sector suffered, may it be destruction of infrastructure (a single attack on PNS Mehran costed $ 150 million, price of a P3 C Orion aircraft is around $ 50 million, Saab 2000 at Kamra is another example, 1,030 schools and colleges were destroyed also keep in mind the grid stations, electricity lines, bridges and millions of homes) , cost of war, destruction of tourism industry, Agriculture and sports, affects on Foreign Investment, Joblessness in affected areas, displacement of millions of people, expenditure on extra security for every installation and rehabilitation and compensation for families of all those who were killed or disabled in 235 suicide bombings, 9,257 rocket attacks and 4,256 misc attacks in the past five years. For 12 years we have suffered and $ 60 billion seems like a cooked up figure?. In 2001 IMF estimated the direct costs of 9 /11 attacks on US as equal to $21.4 billion while, Navarro and Spencer (2001) found that the loss of capital stock was $50 billion to $53 billion. (2 buildings and $ 74 billion, now that seems to be a cooked up figure). The point is not that we lost 60 billion or 125 billion, the point to ponder is that we are being destroyed and also given a lollipop to prove that they are our friends but infact they are not. Our economy cannot support this war anymore and we need to get rid of this trap as soon as possible,

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