Pakistan will become fifth largest nuclear power by 2025: report

Published: October 22, 2015


Pakistan could turn into the fifth largest nuclear weapons state in the world by 2025, a report by a top US think tank has predicted.

“Pakistan has a nuclear weapons stockpile of 110 to 130 warheads, an increase from an estimated 90 to 110 warheads in 2011,” the report titled ‘Pakistani nuclear forces 2015’ read.

Pakistan on its way to becoming ‘mini superpower’ by 2025

While those figures show a steady but expected increase, the report authored by Hans M Kristensen and Robert S Norris estimated that by 2025 the figure would rise to 220 to 230 warheads. The estimate is based on Pakistan’s record over the past 20 years and its current and anticipated weapons deployments.

“With several delivery systems in development, four operating plutonium production reactors, and uranium facilities, the country’s stockpile will likely increase over the next 10 years, but by how much will depend on many things,” it added.

The important factors will be the number of nuclear-capable launchers Pakistan plans to deploy and how much India’s nuclear arsenal grows, the report further said.

PM to tell US it won’t accept limits on tactical nuclear arms

“India is paying more attention to China in its nuclear planning than Pakistan,” Kristensen said, adding that he hoped Islamabad’s “nuclear plans does not set off an action-reaction route”.

The report further added that Pakistan currently has six types of operational nuclear-capable ballistic missiles, adding at least two more are under development – the short-range Shaheen-1A and medium-range Shaheen-3.

Further, it said Pakistan is developing two new cruise missiles, the ground-launched Babur (Hatf-7) and the air-launched Ra’ad (Hatf-8). It also claimed Pakistan is developing a sea-based nuclear capability, referring to a submarine that could carry nuclear warheads.

No compromise on Pakistan’s nuclear programme: foreign secretary

The report comes a day after Pakistan admitted having developed “low-yield, tactical nuclear weapons” to deter an attack by India and coincides with Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s visit to the US. The premier is due to meet US President Barack Obama and, according to Pakistani officials, he is expected to tell the president that Pakistan will not accept limits on its use of small tactical nuclear weapons.

This article originally appeared on NDTV

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Reader Comments (24)

  • Neutral
    Oct 22, 2015 - 11:56AM


    Oct 22, 2015 - 12:08PM

    FOR undernourished, unemployed and without electricity society, is it matter of pride or grief??Recommend

  • Parvez
    Oct 22, 2015 - 12:44PM

    Sometimes you have to do…….what you have to do.Recommend

  • Common man
    Oct 22, 2015 - 1:05PM

    @kainat it may not be a matter of pride to you but it sure is a security deterrent and something more of a necessity than by choice. The corruption in our political apparatus coupled with their ineptness and incomptence surely is woeful Recommend

  • Faraz
    Oct 22, 2015 - 1:11PM

    Yeah. We will become 5th largest nuclear power InshaAllah. Recommend

  • ahmed wani
    Oct 22, 2015 - 1:24PM

    Pakistan can never win a war with India…Never….for history of pakistan as reminder…..things that have not been won in war , will never be won in table talks that is kashmir…so concentrate on well being of ur people….before its too late…USSR too had too many nuclear warheads….what happened is in front of u…..Recommend

  • Sharath Chandra
    Oct 22, 2015 - 1:31PM

    Spending on an arsenal which can never be used, by sacrificing the basic needs of the population like Education, water, electricity. Recommend

  • Madhav Das
    Oct 22, 2015 - 1:49PM

    For starters even the defunct UN motion calls for discussion only after Pakistan removes all their troops from the territory of Kashmir. What does that mean?
    Well let me tell you first of all, that it means Pakistan gives up its control over that part of Kashmir that it is presently controlling. It also means taking back Aksai Chin from Chinese occupation. For everyone’s information Aksai Chin was given or ceded to China by Pakistan in the hope that China will now for ever be part of the dispute and India will never be able to take it back. Aksai Chin was part of Kashmir before partition so if Pakistan expects any forward movement on the peace talks they should not just request China to vacate Aksai Chin but get ready to kick out the Chinese if they give Pakistan the finger!
    After that there could be some chance to discuss Kashmir.Recommend

  • Atif
    Oct 22, 2015 - 2:01PM

    This is not an accomplishment … we need to focus on education, health and poverty reduction..things that actually matter for the common man

    Nukes wont feed the poorRecommend

  • Cruiser
    Oct 22, 2015 - 2:04PM

    Pakistan is developing the nuclear warhead to cope with the pressure coming from her neibour.and to keep its policy of deterence.In case of any adventure from any side, pakistan should have the capability to annihilate the agressor and send them to her last abode.Long live pak army—Recommend

  • Saif
    Oct 22, 2015 - 2:20PM

    Try to explain this to India.Recommend

  • hari
    Oct 22, 2015 - 2:26PM

    Music to my ears, beautiful. Sorry to the common women and men of Pakistan.Recommend

  • Ilyas
    Oct 22, 2015 - 2:28PM

    Awesome. Having nuclear weapons are going to be such a boon to our country. The technology related to the nuclear program can be used in a wide variety of fields such as agriculture and manufacturing. Watch our country’s growth rate increase, closely followed by falling poverty and increasing standard of living.

    PS: Do not read the comments written by the trolls from across the eastern border.Recommend

  • RT
    Oct 22, 2015 - 2:36PM

    Congratulations, by 2025 India’s economy will be $5 Trillion GDP. Good luck catching up with that. Recommend

  • Vicky
    Oct 22, 2015 - 3:08PM

    Well don’t know what pak will become in 2025 , but by 2024 Bangladesh will become second largest economy of SAARC leaving pak behind….
    because Bangladesh’s currency , 23 billion forex reserve and 6 % growth is much higher than Pak’s currency, forex reserve and growth rate Recommend

  • Ashish Chaudhary
    Oct 22, 2015 - 3:18PM

    Well nukes quantity doesn’t matter but it’s quality and destruction capability which matters… India has high yield 500-700 kt thermo nuclear weapons, plus we are developing high yield 1000 kt thermo nuclear weapons which is 20 times more destructive than normal nuke weaponsRecommend

  • Sameer
    Oct 22, 2015 - 3:23PM

    Well developing more nukes is not important …. But important is how powerful are your nuke weapons?
    India has stock of high yield thermo nukes, which can destroy much more area…plus we have defensive missiles system which can intercept upcoming missile and destroy it in airspace… and big thing is India is fourth country to develop high navigation satellites,, so enemy’s nukes, defence area is already under the surveillance of indian satellitesRecommend

  • Naveed
    Oct 22, 2015 - 3:24PM

    25 to 30 nukes are sufficient to destroy enemy …then what’s the point of making more nukes, as it’ll rarely come in use…. Already we’ve had enough nukes, now we don’t need nuke empowerment but we need economic empowerment, otherwise without war this country will slowly comes to economic collapseRecommend

  • hsssan
    Oct 22, 2015 - 4:49PM

    @ahmed wani:
    Dear look at history of 1000 years. Hindus were never be able to win against muslims. They are afraid of pak from inside. Recommend

  • Raisani
    Oct 22, 2015 - 5:50PM

    Pakistan will not only become 5th but i wish it becomes No. 1 just like our intelligence agency ISI which is world’s No. 1 agency. Recommend

  • Singh
    Oct 22, 2015 - 6:14PM

    I agree with you Hindu were afraid & they accept Islam, And all those Hindu are Pakistani now.
    If you don’t believe me then start finding from your family roots first. You will confront with ugly truth. Or start with all those last family’s name.Recommend

  • Azeez
    Oct 22, 2015 - 6:32PM

    @Naveed: one Indian thermo nuclear device(Hydrogen bomb) is enough to destroy pakistan two times.Recommend

  • Sameer
    Oct 22, 2015 - 11:31PM

    @hsssan….. Did you know about world’s biggest surrender of 93000 soldiers Recommend

  • NHA
    Mar 9, 2016 - 1:33PM

    @KAINAT: . Technology allows you to make dual -use of it. Nuclear or atomic energy is not for destruction only. It is for electricity production, use in medicine, agriculture , mining to name only a few. Pakistan now has options which in itelf liberation and freedom of choice.

    What else we want. Recommend

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