Oil prices: Recovery not backed by fundamentals, says OPEC

Crude prices end eight-month losing streak.

VIENNA: A recovery in oil prices which began last month is not justified by fundamentals as there remains a supply glut in the market, oil cartel OPEC said Monday in its monthly report.

Crude prices rallied about 20% in February, ending a losing streak lasting about eight months in which prices collapsed by 60%.

But the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) warned that prices picked up even though there was still an oversupply of almost 1 million barrels a day on the market.



“ICE Brent and Nymex WTI crude oil futures defied fundamentals and moved up sharply, posting their first gains since June 2014 after seven months of a declining streak that ended with values down by almost 60%,” said the cartel in its report.

This is “despite the fact that global supply continued to exceed demand,” OPEC said, as it left its demand forecast unchanged at 92.4 million barrels a day for 2015.

OPEC’s assessment came after the International Energy Agency issued a similar reading on Friday.

The IEA’s warning that the rebound in oil prices is built on flimsy foundations sent crude prices sliding.

Oil prices extended their losses on Monday, with the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for April delivery dipping as low as $43.57 a barrel before recovering slightly to stand at $44.44. 

Published in The Express Tribune, March  17^th,  2015.

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