Comment: For Nawaz, solutions are blowing in the wind

Published: May 13, 2014
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PM need to reflect on the PML-N’s media management. PHOTO: AFP /FILE

PM need to reflect on the PML-N’s media management. PHOTO: AFP /FILE

Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif appears to be caught in a political nutcracker, mostly of his own making. On May 11, it was Imran Khan who stood, amidst thunderous applause, at Islamabad’s D-chowk demanding: electoral reforms, thumbprint verifications in four constituencies, as well as investigations into election rigging.

And then there was an ingenious Dr Tahirul Qadri, who offered an impressive fusion of Islam, constitutionalism and technology. The fiery cleric held large crowds spellbound with his rejection of the current parliamentary system. For his part, PM Nawaz needs to find a political solution — and he needs to find it fast.

The heads of both the PTI and PAT are capitalising on the political space created by his unending brinksmanship with the military that skyrocketed following allegations that PM Nawaz had aligned himself with a private media group against GHQ – a situation that has also left PML-N friendless in an increasingly hostile media market.

There is also little doubt that both PTI and PAT agendas have gained a sharp edge from the recent turn of events. But these agendas present an interesting challenge, not only to PM Nawaz but also to the whole political set-up, of which PTI is also part.  Clearly, PML-N decision makers fear that acceptance of thumbprint verifications risks undermining the legitimacy of the party’s impressive victory in the 2013 elections.

Though mainstream media tends to focus on Imran Khan and his demands (viewing Qadri’s agenda as unrealistic and unachievable), more and more young men and women have started to find Dr Qadri more logical, clearheaded and nuanced than Imran. Is there a political significance? Yes, it means if Imran is seen becoming soft on Nawaz, or fails to achieve any concessions then the dissatisfied ranks of the opposition will find Dr Qadri the more attractive candidate of the two.

Given that his relations with the military establishment are not all that good, it is imperative for Nawaz to strike a compromise somewhere. What remains to be seen is: will he accept Imran’s political demands to reform the electoral system or will he quietly settle his differences with the restive military establishment?

In an appearance on Express TV after the May 11 jalsas, Punjab’s Law Minister Rana Sanaullah, renewed Railway Minister Khawaja Saad Rafique’s earlier offer in the National Assembly that PML-N will be willing to accept thumbprint verifications if PTI also agrees to allow the same exercise in four constituencies of PML-N’s choice (NA-55, 56 in Rawalpindi from where Sheikh Rashid and Imran Khan won and NA-149 and NA-150 in Multan from where Javaid Hashmi and Shah Mehmood Qureshi won).

Rana argued that ever since this counter-offer PTI has been quiet. However, towards the end of the same broadcast, senior PTI leader Asad Umar said that his party had accepted in lower house PML-N’s demand for counter verifications in four PTI constituencies. Asad said that in response to this Khawaja Saad Rafique then proposed, rather strangely, to make a parliamentary committee to examine the issues which looks to PTI like “backing off” from the initial proposal since both parties need to go straight to the Election Commission for fact-finding instead of wasting time with a fact-finding parliamentary committee that won’t have the capacity to determine facts.

Now it seems PML-N had calculated that their counter-proposal of doing thumbprint verifications in four PTI won constituencies will unnerve the PTI but apparently PTI has called their bluff and now PML-N is trying to wriggle out of the deal.

But political arguments are like peeling onions, so it remains to be seen how the PML-N will now respond to this latest clarification by PTI.  But now ongoing negotiations assume a new meaning given Imran Khan’s carefully worded but firm demand from the current Chief Justice that the Supreme Court needs to order thumbprint verifications in the four constituencies. This time around the court will find it difficult to ignore the case.

Irrespective of what the court may or may not do, the emerging scenario demands that PM Nawaz show flexibility and compromise with the parliamentary opposition or the military establishment. He may also need to reflect on the PML-N’s media management; perhaps initiating a move to diversify his media support instead of relying exclusively on one media group.

(The writer is group analyst with Express Media)

Published in The Express Tribune, May 13th, 2014.

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Reader Comments (11)

  • Afzal Bajwa
    May 13, 2014 - 8:05AM

    Well written. I wish we had more level headed journalists like Moed.

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  • Ali Anwar
    May 13, 2014 - 11:05AM

    Even if nawaz wants to strike a compromise with military establishment,they won’t do it that easily.Because this time the pressure is from bottom to top.It”s not just general raheel who would decide but it would be a clear pulse of whole institution.The public support for army is at it’s all time peak.They won’t want to loose it by footing back from their principle stance.So bad times ahead for nawaz-led govt.

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  • Omer Janjua
    May 13, 2014 - 11:19AM

    Tomorrow, they will say something else. Mark it on Paper plz. This is their dirty politics

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  • Waqar
    May 13, 2014 - 12:56PM

    Moeed knows what he writes; so subtle.

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  • Anas Ahmed Shaikh
    May 13, 2014 - 2:53PM

    As usual Nawaz will bend down ,cant face Army & the other thing from the sort of my prediction if army capture state or Marshall law then never consider nawaz across pak..

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  • PeacLover
    May 13, 2014 - 3:27PM

    This article by Mr. Moeed Prizada (MP) is very biased towards current government. I have been following MP for over 8 years and now comparing his views with past four months. I clearly think that his recent views on electronic media and newspapers are behest of some hidden hands (as you all are aware of state within a state). Also in this article he is trying to put extra pressure on NS, that he needs to strike a deal with establishment and show some flexibility otherwise get ready for the consequences.

    I am a PTI voter, mostly followed Imran Khan’s vision and attended his 70% of Dharnas, protests and political gatherings, but this time his call of May 11 couldn’t convince me. So I didn’t go.

    I will keep supporting Imran Khan, but at the same time I want Nawaz Sharif Government to complete its 5 years and then on the basis of their performance it should be left to the people of Pakistan to elect or reject them. But if there is any contribution of Khan’s party to topple and destabilize the current government, I will not accept it and going to condemn.

    Let the democracy prevail.

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  • AnisAqeel
    May 13, 2014 - 4:15PM

    Making of 1971 and 1977 altogether in one shot that’s called two in one. Remember what what were the results !!!

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  • AnisAqeel
    May 13, 2014 - 4:22PM

    @PeacLover:
    You are right, “let the democracy prevail” but who will educate unpardonable Pakistani public when sentiments are propagated in the name of sacrifices. I see making of 1971 and 1977 combined together repeated here.

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  • Umer Farooq
    May 13, 2014 - 9:43PM

    Imran Khan disappointed youth, by remianing in corrupt system you cant bring change, we support dr tahir ul qadri’s agenda of real change in Pakistan,we are eagerly waiting for final call of dr tahir ul qadri.

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  • Salman
    May 13, 2014 - 10:02PM

    What does democracy and 5 year stint has to do? Japan had 9 Prime Ministers in last 13 or so years, does it make democracy any weaker in Japan?

    It’s strange that in corporate world where stakes are too high and each employee is selected by supposedly the best brains of the corporation, if there is non performing employee (Junior most to CEO) s/he is let go although s/he was selected by the best within the organization.

    But when illiterate, ignorant, and innocent voters vote in highly dubious electoral system, then we want that incompetent leadership to continue 5 years and have next elections under same system and have same result …so on and so forth. The musical chair continues and hope gets reignited every 5 years.

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  • MushtaqAwan
    May 14, 2014 - 1:15PM

    In my view Moeed Peerzada is discussing the sutuatuin that if Imran Khan at any cost widraw from his stance then youth will convert towards Tahir Ul Qadri. I say yes it will happen. But while discussig elections. The Mefia is discussing only about the candidates either they loos or win. But there is an other element and main contributor in the elections. This element is voters. Let us persume that Court/Nawaz Sharif Govt agreed to verify the thumb impression and there found some irregularitis like provision of improper as like Karachi. Both candidates admit it and agreed upon that steps be taken to not to repeat in next elections.Then where the voters will stand. Say that a votter voted to (A) but throufg mall practice his vote coverte to a plain paper. Then the only way to chak out that has his mandate been changed with some one els’s mendate then only way to verify is to tally thumb impression. Which will be impossible due to use of improper ink. Here where the candidate A will suffer the voter will also suffer because he came out of the house and spent time to fulfill his duty to vote. So if he is not satisfied with the system . Why he will come out in future to vote. So he definitely look towards Tahir Ul Qadri being no other way left.

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