BME communities to make up one third of UK by 2050: Study

Published: May 6, 2014
The study found unemployment rates in BME communities were double the national average. PHOTO: REUTERS

The study found unemployment rates in BME communities were double the national average. PHOTO: REUTERS

LONDON: Almost one third of Britons will be from ethnic minorities by 2050 if current trends continue, according to a new study published by a think tank on Tuesday.

Black and minority ethnic (BME) communities are growing at a much faster rate than the white population and are radically changing the face of Britain, the Policy Exchange found.

Currently the five largest BME groups – Indians, Pakistanis, Bangladeshis, Black Africans and Black Caribbeans – make up eight million people or 14 percent of the population, it said.

This number has doubled in the past decade, while the white population has remained roughly the same, and so is predicted to increase to between 20 and 30 percent of the population by the middle of the century.

Half of ethnic minority communities live in the cities of London, Manchester and Birmingham, according to the analysis of survey, census, academic and polling data.

The study found unemployment rates in BME communities were double the national average, with the exception of the Indian community, whose members tend to be more skilled.

By contrast all minority groups have a higher proportion of students staying in formal education beyond the school leaving age of 16 than the white population.

The study’s authors argue that there are “clear and meaningful differences” between the different BME groups that should be addressed by politicians.

However, they note that all BME communities support the opposition Labour party over Prime Minister David Cameron’s Conservatives, regardless of age or social class.

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Reader Comments (4)

  • May 6, 2014 - 2:49PM

    The result of the study will create concern amongst the whites and tighter immigrant rules will follow.


  • AnisAqeel
    May 6, 2014 - 5:17PM

    Ruled Indian sub-continent for over two centuries but got tired of their subjects within half a century as they surpass in education, wealth and family ties.


  • White Horse
    May 6, 2014 - 7:51PM

    Horror scenario. Especially when you read minorities are two times more jobless compared to the national average. It is even worse in the Muslim communities. 50% of British Muslim men and 75 % of women are currently unemployed in the UK. Minorities always are more likely to receive welfare, and South Asians disproportionally make use of the health care system (due to congenital diseases). If the British public becomes aware of these facts, we can see a major shift to extreme right in the near future with relation to UK politics.


  • Ehsan
    May 6, 2014 - 10:49PM

    History will have its own revenge !!!
    A brown Prime minister of UK in next 100 years.


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