The previous PPP regime introduced an unrealistic 3D formula — development, deterrence and dialogue — to curb violence without understanding the difference between complex conflicts and geographically disconnected crises. However, the new PML-N government has recently announced a theoretically more complex policy to deal with endless violence and the worsening law and order challenges. Based on Chinese and Malaysian models, the five layers of the national security policy, prepared by the National Counter-Terrorism Authority are: to dismantle, to contain, to prevent, to educate and to reintegrate.
Economically fragile, politically unstable, ethnically divided and strife with sectarian crisis, the ruling elite need to understand before duplicating these that Pakistan is neither equal to economic giant China nor to economically self-reliant Malaysia. And both countries, set as models in the new policy, have never experienced such ethnic discontent, political crises and extreme violence.
The current five-pillar policy looks like mixing oranges and apples. The policy doesn’t differentiate between type of crises and violence and doesn’t have the feel of a serious conflict-resolution initiative. It’s a known fact that crises in Fata and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (K-P) need a totally different approach and dealing with unrest in Balochistan requires a unique and bold policy. Moreover, managing the sectarian menace requires both domestic and international efforts.
In spite of thousands of killings, loss of property and humanitarian crises both in K-P and Balochistan, the civil-military elite in Islamabad are in total denial about the existence of politico-economic conflicts in Balochistan and governance-related conflict in Fata.
For conflict-resolution and crisis management, there are three preconditions: acknowledgment, acceptance and adaptability. Bureaucratically-drafted, the national security policy lacks understanding and discounts the existence of conflicts. It would be of no use in addressing the protracted crises.
Regarding Balochistan, the government and its politico-military appendage must demonstrate maturity and acknowledge the conflict’s existence, rather than trying to deny it. The politico-military establishment needs flexibility and adaptability. Adaptability requires openness to ideas that could lead to viable solutions. A firm commitment and resolve, with the flexibility to make concessions, will determine how those solutions will be implemented.
A national security policy, which begins with the idea of “dismantling”, cannot be considered a wise or constructive approach to deal with national crises. The policy should guide national decision-making and determine the courses of action to be taken in order to attain the state or condition wherein the national interests, the well-being of people, and peace and security are protected and enhanced.
The policy must encourage the political-military leadership to acknowledge past mistakes and the existence of multifaceted conflicts — accept the existence of different stakeholders and adapt new ideas and approaches in the conflict-resolution process. Pakistani policymakers must not confuse, and should not avoid the fact that extremism and violence is an offshoot of our politico-military blunders. If we continue to maintain the administrative status quo in Fata for strategic reasons — consider criminals, mafias and extremists as “strategic assets” and political activists as a national threat in Balochistan — peace will have little chance to grow.
Adapting a multilayered conflict- resolution model — Pakistan’s national security policy should focus on four key elements namely: 1) governance; 2) delivery of basic services; 3) economic reconstruction and sustainable development; and 4) security sector reform.
Published in The Express Tribune, July 10th, 2013.
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COMMENTS (14)
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I have met Mr. Baloch a few times, he is eloquent but the mastery of English language displayed in this article has tell tale signs of a blogger. I would take this with a pinch of a salt as this might be really ghost written.
Regarding policies Pakistan can adopt to solve Baluchistan issue , I had said " promise to never use force against rebels who are not using force."
I will amplify on that. Its not a easy thing and will take a change of character of the Pakistan establishment towards dissent . For example let me site the example of Indian Kashmir. There are many prominent Kashmiri muslim leaders who openly preach either secession or merger with Pakistan. As long as they have not personally picked up the gun they have been , by and large, allowed a free hand to say what they want. They ( Mr Geelani, Mr Malik, Mr Lone ) are allowed to hold rallies, press conferences, visit foreign embassies including Pakistan embassy in Delhi and argue for eithe secession or merger with pakistan They are occasionally put under house arrest when there is fear of large disturbances. The government also provides them security guards so that they are not killed by various Kashmir militant groups , that often differ with each other.
The most anti-India of Kashmiri leaders is Syed Ali Shah Geelani, who openly says that his primary motivation is religion and he wants merger of Kashmir with Pakistan. He is even against Kashmiri independence. He says for a muslim toi live in a non-muslim state is 'like a fish living out of water' and so he wants merger with Pakistan. Mr Gelani is the most popular Kashmiri leader with Pakistani militants.
By allowing separatist leaders , who do not directly indulge in violence , India has given a pathway for political dissent in Kashmir. It deals with force those who have picked the gun and deals in democratic ways, through elections, those that democratically oppose India. It would be okay for India if Malik or Geelani stood for elections and won them. They would then have the responsibility to maintain peace in Kashmir , apply the laws and the constitution and maintain law and order. The reason why they the seperatists don't stand for elections , is because they are not confident of winning state-wide elections in j&k.
That's the approach Pakistan needs to take in Baluchistan or any other dissent in Pakistan. Were it not for the religion aspect, the Kashmir issue would have long being solved. In Pakistan, unless sectarian divide keeps growing, you do not yet have that issue on that scale, in Baluchistan.
thank you sir writing this article ....please use your influence to bring peace in Baluchistan .
What u did while your tenure as senator between 2003-2008? where u sleeping? why didnt you try to bring legislation if you have greater understanding of issues of Balochistan? even now make your recommendation or draft outline of policy rather writting useless article...send your points to interior ministry and i am sure ppl like u can even sit in APC.. Raise your voice for ppl of balochistan rather just showing fake love
Good piece Mr. Baloch. I hope that other balochis also start expressing their frustrations with the state in the manner you have and I pray that more of our baloch brothers realize that one could fight better with pen than gun!!
A very well articulated commentary Mr. Baluch. I always enjoy your educated, balanced and well informed opinion. However I may want to add that the main hurdle in following your suggestion would be Army's reluctance to accept its past mistakes.
@Arindom: Don't agree with you this one. They have been trying to solve Baluchistan the Khalistan way up until now. It is time for a fresh approach but it appears there is no political will. . @Babloo: Fully agree with you. This not an intractable problem.
@Babloo And what of India's largest insurgent army, the Maoists? Cant coax them with the democratic-power sharing lolly can you? The only way you can end the conflict with them is to either finish them or agree to turn india into a collectivist people's democracy where there are no millionares, no exploiters, no idle rich, no rentiers, no landlords, where wealth is shared, democracy is practiced at all levels and there is an industrial state which ensures useful jobs for all. India was always meant to be a socialist state, its in your constitiution.
A great article and practical comments. But nobody is listening!
Baluch problem is actually in my opinion a very solvable problem for Pakistan.
Adopt a resolution in parliament , acknowledging massive crimes committed by the state against the rebels in Baluchistan and promise to never use force against rebels who are not using force.
Promise and hold a complete free and fair provincial elections and welcome if the rebels come to power.
Trust me, that formula has worked for India , from Assam to Punjab to Bengal to TamilNadu , many of these places have seen seperatist movements. In each of these states the problem was resolved once the rebels came to power through democratic state elections.
In case of Kashmir it has not yet fully worked because part of the problem is motivated by religion ( so reason wont work there ) and partly because the seperatists have been supported by a foreign country. In case of Baluchistan, religion is not an issue and even if some Pakistanis believe that India is also responsible , but in reality India is not a factor in Baluchistan.
Why China and Malaysia which have nothing common to Pakistani society and problems? China - because it is sweeter than honey and Malaysia because it it muslim!! Plans based on such frivolous reasons are bound to fail!
Better would be (horror or horrors!!) look a few kilometers across the border at how Khalistan problem was solved! I am sure Pakistan establishment will have unparalleled "inside" information on that one ;-)
A very comprehensive and well written article.
Well done- Mr. Baloch very bold - constructive and eye opening piece - I wish some one take note of your perspective -