The Pakistani cabinet on January 30 approved the transfer of Gwadar port, a commercial failure cut off from the national road network, from Singapore's PSA International to the state-owned China Overseas Port Holdings Limited.
The Pakistanis pitched the deal as an energy and trade corridor that would connect China to the Arabian Sea and Strait of Hormuz, a gateway for a third of the world's traded oil, overland through an expanded Karakoram Highway.
Experts say it would slash thousands of kilometres off the distance oil and gas imports from Africa and the Middle East have to be transported to reach China, making Gwadar a potentially vital link in its supply chain.
China paid about 75 per cent of the initial $250 million used to build the port, but in 2007 PSA International won a 40-year lease with then-ruler Pervez Musharraf who was reportedly unwilling to upset Washington by giving it to the Chinese.
Although it may take up to a year for the deal to be signed, Gwadar would be the most westerly in a string of Chinese-funded ports encircling its big regional rival, India, which was quick to express concern over the impending transfer.
In Nepal, China is building a $14 million "dry port" at Larcha, near the Tibet border, along with five other ports and and is upgrading transport links with an eye to the huge Indian market.
In Bangladesh, China is one of four countries, including India, Japan and the United States, interested in building a $5-billion deep-sea port at Sonadia island in the Bay of Bengal, according to the shipping ministry.
Sri Lanka in June 2012 opened a new $450 million deep-sea port at Hambantota, close to the vital east-west sea route used by around 300 ships a day, built with Chinese loans and construction expertise.
Although China has no equity stake in Hambantota, they have taken up an 85 percent slice of Colombo International Container Terminals Limited, which is building a new container port adjoining the existing Colombo harbour.
Beijing is also a key backer of a port and energy pipeline in Myanmar that will transport gas pumped offshore and oil shipped from Africa and the Middle East to China's Yunnan province, due to be finished by the end of May.
The ports were dubbed China's "string of pearls" – or potential naval bases similar to those of the United States – in a 2004 report for the Pentagon.
But some analysts now pour cold water on suggestions that Beijing is scouting for naval bases in the Indian Ocean.
Andrew Small, an expert on China-Pakistan relations, believes that most of Beijing's concerns can be resolved through cooperation, as seen in anti-piracy exercises in the Gulf of Aden that last year included drills with the US.
"In the near-to-medium term, it appears that China's interests in this part of the world lean far more towards developing capacities to deal with threats to sea lanes of communication, Chinese citizens overseas and so on," he told AFP.
"Plenty of Indian naval strategists are highly sceptical of the likelihood of many of the locations... actually being used as military facilities by China."
But Small does believe that Gwadar is the most mostly likely port to be developed by China for use by the Pakistan Navy, and potentially their own.
"Pakistan is probably the only government where the level of trust between the two militaries is high enough to make that a completely reliable prospect," he said.
When asked about Gwadar, Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said Beijing supports "jointly undertaken matters which are conducive to Chinese-Pakistani friendship and to the development and prosperity of Pakistan".
Other Pakistani experts suggest that Islamabad is more likely to give the Chinese navy access to its existing naval bases of Karachi or Qasim.
"China can always use those. So they do not have to build another naval base at this stage," said Hamayoun Khan, who teaches at the National Defence University in Islamabad.
Fazul-ul-Rehman, former director of the China Studies Centre at the Institute of Strategic Studies Islamabad, dismisses the prospect of China going to war in the Indian Ocean and calls Indian concern "propaganda".
But he says China has become more cautious about big investment projects in Pakistan due to security concerns. Taliban, sectarian and separatist violence blight Balochistan, the southwestern province around Gwadar.
In 2004, three Chinese engineers helping to build Gwadar were killed in a car bombing. The same year, two Chinese engineers working on a hydroelectric dam project in South Waziristan were kidnapped, and one of them died.
As a result, Rehman says there is a long way to go on China-Pakistan economic cooperation and emphasises that Gwadar will be a long-term project with Beijing looking for future alternatives to shipping routes for its oil and gas imports.
COMMENTS (21)
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it is very goo decision from pakistan who handover the gawader port to china because pakitan and china having same enemies for them.India always do every work against pakitan like war. I will alway agree with this decision. Pak China friendship live long.
@ajaath Ha Ha Ha. Dude that was funny & true at the same time. There is a saying - "Lene Ke Dene" :)
I appreciate the decision on the following grounds. 1- Gawadar will become a port city like Karachi which will bring economic prospects for the people of Balochistan. 2- More jobs will be created and it will be helpful to cater growing unemployment in the country. 3- Our relationship will increase with China and more investment shall be made on roads connecting the two countries which will be eventually beneficial for Pakistan. 4- The worry list of our eternal enemy India will increase and Indian Army Chief and PM will experience insomnia for a couple of months while thinking over this nightmare. 5- The presence of American fleet in the Persian Gulf was a threat to Pakistan because after the withdrawal of forces fro Afghanistan, America is likely to turn its back on Pakistan. Presence of second super power will neutralize this threat.
After all it is a welcomed decision by GOP.
@Vectra: Roads are certainly an issue but they are an issue that can be solved in a few years. And seeing their own benefit, China is likely to extend loans for development of Gwadar. Everyone asks for FDI when it comes to infrastructure development, India has asked for a trillion dollars. You are not spending from your own pocket. Now my assertion on Chinese loans is speculative but its a very sound bet.
The real problem is India's claim that it will be a Pakistan Navy base. Its problematic because to transport oil or gas, you need one road or a pipeline but for a military to use the province for its operations you need multiple road networks that are wide enough for the movement of army and its supplies. What if in a war India takes out the one and only road? Getting supplies to the Navy base would then become a headache. Hence, multiple road networks and even more alternatives. That kind of commitment is indeed far reaching which is why India's claims are unfounded.
Fact is Karachi port is simply too busy so Gwadar is being developed to ease congestion. There is no conspiracy here, my dear.
@Vectra: 1) India isn't powerful, it is 'perhaps' going to be in distant future. The world thought Japan will overtake US in 90s. Well, that didn't happen. Future bets and specially financial bets are speculative at best. 2) What is India's official stance on China-Japan island dispute? "The matter be resolved peacefully." Yes, India isn't siding with Japan. Above all, Japan is under US sphere of influence, not Indian. ASEAN is moot in Gwadar context. Besides ASEAN are after US, who really is a powerful country, so they are playing with India to look attractive to US. Old trick. 3) You lost the point. US competes with UK, France, and Russia in geo-political matters despite the former three calling themselves 'allies'. Naturally, complexity is part of geo-politics so even if China trades in Indian ocean, India isn't going to 'attack'. This is not a video game.
The last statement is correct, not because China or India can't do much, but because India's fear are unfounded. Gwadar isn't going to be a Pakistan Navy base anytime soon. In fact, not for decades. Balochistan's infrastructure development requires hundreds of billions of dollars and the population base to provide that level of economic activity isn't there. So the development is going to be slow taking essentially decades. For military usage of any province, you need a plethora of roads and alternatives. All of which are missing in Balochistan. Further compounding the problem is security situation. India can't be that stupid to not understand this, its simply making an objection for the sake of objection.
Wrong Sentence:
"But Small does believe that Gwadar is the most mostly likely port to be developed by China for use by the Pakistan Navy, and potentially their own."
It should be like this:
"But Small does believe that Gwadar is the most likely port to be developed by China for use by the Pakistan Navy, and potentially their own."
What a country ,born in the name of religion but surrendering their security & sovereignty to the communist (Atheist). Just goes to show how much you trust your Navy. How about handing over the Air-force to America.. And your Army say to..... Oh they are already sold. What a joke pakistan is.
Pakistan became strategic partners of US to counter India & allowed them to use air bases, and the US drones started bombarding Pakistan from its air. Pakistan nurtured mujahideens (strategic assets) to fight against India & the same assets started bombarding Pakistan from its land. Now they are experimenting with Chinese. lets hope that chinese will not bombard from Pakistan from its sea. History shows that whatever they did to counter India became boomerang for them. Except "friendship" with India nothing will workout in favor of Pakistan.
Gwadar is of interest to China but not necessarily important to China. More than anything, China will be thinking very thoroughly the situation in Baluchistan. Unless Baluchistan becomes peaceful by becoming a full part of Pakistan or separating from Pakistan altogether, the situation shall remain fluid. You never know which side the Afghans will join. Will they support Baluchistan becoming a free country or be part of Pakistan. The wild card Iran is also to be considered. Which way they will play, no one knows now.
As to my personal view, I do not see anything wrong in China controlling Gwadar. China will never tolerate religious bigots and terrorism and this will give several times dividends to India than the fear of China's control of Gwadar. I admire the Chinese for the way they handled Myanmar Muslims and also the muslim terrorists in their xinjiang province. Chinese control of these regions will wipe out islamic terrorists and also prevent the infiltration of terrorists, be they lakshars or al quaida or mujahiddins from those regions. After all China and India have more in common than any islamic countries. Even Bollywood movies and Indian music are popular in China. India has a variety to offer, much more than only prayer.
China will build railway and roads from china to Gwadar. Win-win situation for Pakistan.
@Salman
I wish whether that dream materializes anytime soon.Just having port is not enough, to reach central asia,pakistan needs roads stretching from gwader to china or to central asia that will requires billions of dollars,now when pakistan rupee is 100 per dollar that amount will be twice or thrice which can be much larger than the pakistan total forex reserves + balooning debt to GDP ration.So thinking one port can make a nation rich is an illusion since nations becomes rich through industrialization not ports,ports are only meant to facilitate trade but no GDP increase.
@Khan Bhai
1) India has made it very clear India of 1962 is the the past,todays India is a modern and powerful India and world also recognises it. 2) Japan is very likely to give corridor if situation became very worse infact Japan started endorsing India look east policy and supports India's expanding role in ASEAN that is why ASEAN upgrades their relationship to strategic partenership last yr in New Delhi.Besides China cant deliver right now as you claimed,talk in reality..Chinese have already shown their concern about expanding and mordernised Indian armed forces saying on quote "if India completes its planned military purchase by 2020.....".China knows very well todays India is not 1962 India. 3)No need to compete with UK,France,Russia,USA,France since they are India's friends and partners but not enemy.If you talk about economic competition then yes India is competing with them as it will benefit all of them including India.
The last statement you made is correct i.e India’s fear on the matter are unrealistic,Yes India's fear is unrealistic cuz India knows in reality china cannot do much as hyped by many.Today if it is true that china can punch India then it is also true that China will have to take punch in retaliation.How agressive India has become with both pakistan and china now a days everyone knows.search net u will get it though concerns remains its natural.
lol @ that Indian dude Vectra :d
Gawader Port provides China most shortest distance to reach Middle East and European ports via Suez Canal. They will transport their goods to Gawader via Shareh-e-Resham. Same goes for Central Asian countries. Crossing Indian ocean is not needed.
Lol @both comments from indians above
Pakistan's days of pitting one power against the other are over. Minor irritances aside, these days the global economy is well integrated and any sabre rattling will result in a tremendous loss to the perpetrator's trading relationship.
China can build string of pearls around India, but the smaller countries should know that who is their next door neighbour hahaha!!India can also build string of pearls around China in East Asia but the East Asian countries are always wary of the neighbour who is the nearest!!There is a limit to what China can do in Sri lanka, Bangladesh, Nepal or Pak.Its finally what the Big Brother in the region does matters hahahaha!!
@Vectra: 1) Keeping 1962 Indo-China war in mind, India wont attack even if China is in Indian ocean; which it eventually will be. 2) Japan is unlikely to give India a corridor. Vietnam might but they have more to gain from China than India because of their geography. Besides China can deliver right now as oppose to India's rosy future promises. 3) How can you compete with USA, Russia, UK, France, and Japan without complexity? Moot point. Complexity is part of the game and you cannot avoid it.
In any case, India's fear on the matter are unrealistic. Its objection for the sake of objection. Gawadar has a long way to go before Pakistan Navy even considers it for military application. Baluchistan is lacking infrastructure in a big way, there is obviously security concerns. How can an army operate there? India should have simply said, "We are concerned about the Chinese." That would have made more sense.
Gwadar port integral to China maritime expansion Gwadar port integral to China’s land mass expansion
"unsettling India" India may be concerned about such developments but that does not mean it is empty handed.India's geographical position with its triangular peninsula expanding deep into the Indian ocean makes India a natural geographical port of Indian ocean which no other port can counter.As far as Chinese port is concerned it is unlikely sri lanka and banglagesh will allow China to use it militarily against India cuz they know it very well that it will bring nothing economically to them except massive retaliation by India that will be harmful to them.Sri lanka has already commited this to India and Bangladesh's relation is good with India now a days and it is also unlikely that china will use gwader militarily as expected by pakistanis cuz China will never take risk of placing warship in gwader fearing for 3 reasons 1) risk of loosing warship cuz china cannot win India in Indian ocean whatsoever 2) India doing the same in China's own backyard as ASEAN especially Vietnam and Japan very close to India 3) Situation will become more complex for china to handle.
So the development may pose threat but in reality they are far from a real threat.Any suggestion plz forward but no trolling.