Public perception: Chief justice, Sharif brothers most popular figures

Published: October 13, 2011
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Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudary is the most popular personality in the country.

Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudary is the most popular personality in the country.

Leaders of the coalition parties in the government, including Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani, have lost their popularity among the masses, SANA news agency reported.

Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudary is the most popular personality in the country while Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) chief Nawaz Sharif tops the list of most popular politicians. Pakistan Tehrik-e-Insaf (PTI) chief Imran Khan, on the other hand, has managed to increase his popularity.

According to a Gallup International survey regarding the popularity of political and administrative personalities, Prime Minister Gilani scored a negative 29 points, Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM) leader Altaf Hussain earned a negative 41 points, Pakistan Muslim League-Quaid’s (PML-Q) Chaudhry Shujaat Hussain received a negative 40 points and Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam-Fazl’s (JUI-F) Maulana Fazlur Rehman a negative 28 points.

Awami National Party’s (ANP) Asfand Yar Wali topped the list, earning a negative 48 points.

According to the survey, the chief justice scored 16 points, although he lost eight points compared to his score in the past. Meanwhile, Nawaz ranked first among the most popular politicians with 12 points but he lost four points compared to his score in the last survey. Punjab Chief Minister Shahbaz Sharif stands next to his brother with 10 points. The PTI chief earned five points, managing to rise one point higher compared to his score in the last survey.

Shahbaz also ranked as the most popular chief minister with 27 points, making him the only one in the positive list. The Balochistan chief minister gained a negative 30 points, while the Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa chief minister earned a negative 20 and the Sindh chief minister a negative 22. The survey results also concluded that the vote bank for various parties has largely changed, and as a whole.

Published in The Express Tribune, October 13th, 2011.

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A survey claims Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry is the most popular personality in Pakistan. Do you agree or disagree?

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Polls are non-scientific, reflect only the online audience and can be manipulated.
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Reader Comments (33)

  • Billoo Bhaya
    Oct 13, 2011 - 9:43AM

    Come election time – provided the elections are fair and not ballot stuffing – PTI and Imran Khan will comfortably sail into office. These Gallup results are up the creak. Gallup couldn’t forecast one correct election in Britain in the last 50 years, where they are a big organization, how can they determine popularity of Pakistani politicians with 2000 people being asked. They need to ask 50-60,000 people for accuracy within 5% confidence level. All BS.

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  • Pakistani First
    Oct 13, 2011 - 10:36AM

    @Billoo Bhaya:
    Bhaya I support Imran Khan too but blind optimism will lead you nowhere. Realistically Imran can hope to manage a bunch of seats and be a junior partner in a coalition government IF he wants to side with anybody.

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  • Chief
    Oct 13, 2011 - 11:00AM

    Musharraf is the most popular leader.

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  • Javed
    Oct 13, 2011 - 11:51AM

    @Billoo Bhaya:
    To sail into the office he needs a majority and by law he can retain only one seat. He needs to find 200+ winners for that. At this time he does not seem to have 2. Recommend

  • Shazeb
    Oct 13, 2011 - 1:06PM

    We need to stop whining and step out in the next elections. I support Imran Khan cux we ought to choose the best from the worst ! PTI will only sweep elections if we support the Tehreeq rather than jus the face of IMRAN KHAN !

    God Bless Pakistan ..

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  • Javed Shah
    Oct 13, 2011 - 1:54PM

    Who makes candidates as winning candidates? Your votes. You give vote to Imran Khan and all his candidates will become winning candidates. No one is a born winning candidate. Only our votes make them one.Recommend

  • Izhar
    Oct 13, 2011 - 2:09PM

    Mr. Gillani of Gallop Pakistan (it is not affiliated with Gallop Int) should not be taken seriously.Recommend

  • Aadersh
    Oct 13, 2011 - 2:21PM

    Perhaps this poll was organized in Raiwind only…Ask any sane person in Pakistan & his/her answer would b Imran Khan for next election…

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  • Fasih Khan
    Oct 13, 2011 - 3:35PM

    Public perception …. hmmm …. The Said three are probably last at list of being popular then …

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  • Change
    Oct 13, 2011 - 3:38PM

    we dont only want imran khan to win we want PTI to win and we People Of Pakistan can make this happen. We need to struggle for change for a better change not only for us but for our new generation also.Recommend

  • Mehr
    Oct 13, 2011 - 3:49PM

    @Aadersh:
    Not in the rural areas

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  • Noor
    Oct 13, 2011 - 3:53PM

    A stupid poll, held in Raiwind!

    Killed two birds with a single shotRecommend

  • Someone
    Oct 13, 2011 - 5:03PM

    WHat has the Chief Justice done to get such popularity? The country is still open to the dogs

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  • Ali
    Oct 13, 2011 - 5:56PM

    if Nawaz is the next big leader of Pakistan then RIP Pakistan!!Recommend

  • fahad
    Oct 13, 2011 - 7:25PM

    move out the way the lions are coming.

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  • A J Khan
    Oct 13, 2011 - 7:54PM

    This survey must have been carried out by Abbagee and company

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  • Shehryar Ahmed
    Oct 14, 2011 - 12:01AM

    Should include Dr. AQ Khan.

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  • ghulam ali
    Oct 14, 2011 - 12:37AM

    @Billoo Bhaya: With due respect to your worthy opinion, allow me to say that your claim about the sample size needed for accurately surveying the Pakistan population is not well-founded. In this regard, before reading further, please do have a look at this public service website: http://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm#one

    Just try the ‘sample size calculator’ there. For a population of 180 million, if you want a to have to be 99% sure (confidence level) that your results have a margin of error of only 3% (confidence interval), the sample size comes out to be 1,849. That’s a little less than the 2,000 sample which this survey seems to be based on. This calculator is based on a formula which is very widely recognized in all quantitative research, not just in opinion polling circles. So it’s not something which Dr. Gilani has come up with to justify his own predictions. Even accountants and engineers rely upon it.

    So, as far as the science of statistics goes, you claim that we need a sample of 50-60 thousand is not well-founded. But that’s ok. None of us is born an expert or a scholar. We learn. I really hope that you won’t get angry at this honest comment and, instead, would take it positively.

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  • Stevenson
    Oct 14, 2011 - 12:53AM

    I think people underestimate the good work done by Shahbaz Sharif. That’s why Lahore is so much more stable and developed than other places in Pakistan. I think that Pakistan as a whole would benefit from the vision of Shahbaz Sharif if not necessarily Nawaz Sharif. Nawaz Sharif, Zardari, Musharraf and even Imran Khan are getting a bit tiresome as yesterday’s men. Shahbaz Sharif is Pakistan’s future.

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  • basharat
    Oct 14, 2011 - 3:27AM

    How much Mian Nawaz Sharif, Imran Khan, and other politicians are popular it will be seen at the time of general elections. As far as the chief justice is concerned, yes, he has become a popular figure in a certain segment of society. Express Tribune´s survey result shows that majority
    of the participants have polled against him, that means; the literate people do not support him much. In Zafar Ali Shah case the present chief justice was co-author of the judgment which declared the military take over of 1999 to be inevitable and need of the time. Mian Nawaz Sharif had been quarrelsome with Ishaq Khan, Farooque Leghari, General Jahangir
    Karamat, Justice Sajjad Ali Shah, General Safdar Nawaz and many other which created many constitutional stand stills during his stay in power. It is learned many politicians having strong constituencies, are likely to join T I, If it so happens, Imran Khan may emerg as next prime minister.

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  • rehmat
    Oct 14, 2011 - 6:23AM

    Since the CH who is not a political person was surveyed, I wonder why the article does not mention the COAS. Is it possible that he too like the others got negative marks and theGallup people did not dare to publish that?

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  • Billoo Bhaya
    Oct 14, 2011 - 7:30AM

    @ghulam ali:
    Thanks for your comments. My mistake in typing just 9% instead of 95% confidence level. I was sitting at an American airport for my flight while posting my comments hence my error. I understand statistics and did not want to become too technical on ET. Sample size and enumerator’s question is key to get accurate and authentic response. Three to five situations or personalities should be sample survey’s object of evaluation, not Pakistan’s entire federal and provincial cabinets, its members and heads of parties coupled with SC Judges. These types of questions would confuse the educated Britons let alone the poorly educated souls with low literacy standards of Pakistan. Therefore even with 2000 sample size statistical confidence level will remain low due to sampling errors arising from responses to questions that may never be understood in the first place. Plus differences between urban and rural sampling itself is a hurdle for accuracy. I hope you understand what I am saying. It would be great it Gilani through sampling 2000 individuals a fortnight before election could accurately predict the outcome. Then I would raise my hat to you. Otherwise, your sampling is questionable. Just see the comments made by others on your sample responses. They too like me have an issue with your results.

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  • Billoo Bhaya
    Oct 14, 2011 - 7:36AM

    To all commentators:

    Each one has valid points, hence raising issues on both sampling size and the question the enumerator is asking. How he\she asks and what is the sample question’s desired meaning and objective determines the response and the results. This should be noted by @Ghulam Ali.

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  • Billoo Bhaya
    Oct 14, 2011 - 7:37AM

    @basharat:
    Good point.

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  • Billoo Bhaya
    Oct 14, 2011 - 7:55AM

    @ghulam ali:
    On second thoughts 2000 is too small a sample for 190 million poor souls. You need much bigger sample size. New York Times sample size on key issues is as big as 3500.

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  • Billoo Bhaya
    Oct 14, 2011 - 8:11AM

    @rehmat:
    Valid point.

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  • Omer Ahmed
    Oct 14, 2011 - 1:25PM

    Good to see the facebook party challenging the validity of Gallup just because it failed to project Khan as most popular. PEW research showed Khan more popular so it was justified. Gallup Pakistan is the affiliate of Gallup International. Nawaz Sharif’s popularity will increase more with time. 2013 will witness elections of 1997..Recommend

  • Adnan Zakir
    Oct 19, 2011 - 10:04AM

    There is no doubt Nawaz Sharif is a true Pakistani. He always served Pakistan putting his maximum efforts. May give him progress, health and prosperity. Aameen.

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  • Asifa Khan
    Oct 19, 2011 - 10:07AM

    Nawaz Sharif is the last hope for Pakistan. I wish he becomes Prime Minister of Pakistan. Allah bless him. Thanks. Asifa Khan

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  • Nabeel Hussain
    Oct 19, 2011 - 10:10AM

    I agree with Gallup Survey that Nawaz Sharif is the most popular politician in Pakistan. I hope he will continue serving the people of Pakistan. All of my best wishes are for him. Allah bless Nawaz Sharif.

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  • farooq
    Oct 24, 2011 - 4:59PM

    i think nawas sharif is bettwr than others

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  • farooq
    Oct 24, 2011 - 5:15PM

    i think Nawas sharif is much better than othersRecommend

  • Qaisar
    Oct 25, 2011 - 8:47PM

    Nawaz Sharif had been given two chances but he could not deliver. We should not waste any more time of our nation to select PMN(N), PPP, instead we should give a chance to Mr.clean Imran Khan.

    Imran should get Aitzaz Ahsan, Shah Mehmood Qureshi, Marwi Memon, Mushahid Hussain, Ansar Barni and other good people in his party.

    All the best Imran, we the youth of Pakistan are with you.

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