Oscars 2025 predictions: experts weigh in on likely winners

With the 2025 Academy Awards just around the corner, film critics are weighing in on the most anticipated categories, making predictions about who is likely to take home the top honors. According to BBC Culture, the competition is particularly intense this year, with no clear frontrunner in several categories.

For Best Picture, Anora has emerged as the most likely winner after a season of shifting momentum between various contenders. The film’s mix of realism and crowd-pleasing storytelling, coupled with strong festival wins, makes it a top contender. However, Conclave, a politically charged Vatican-set thriller, remains a dark horse due to its strong industry support and recent wins at the BAFTAs and SAG Awards.

As the race for Best Picture remains competitive, the battle for Best Director mirrors this unpredictability. Critics suggest that Sean Baker (Anora) is the favorite, given his past critically acclaimed work and the film's strong reception. Meanwhile, Brady Corbet (The Brutalist) is also seen as a serious contender for his ambitious historical epic, though Baker’s directing style is expected to resonate more with Academy voters.

For Best Actor, Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) has been leading the race, having won several major awards. However, Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown), who recently won the SAG Award for his portrayal of Bob Dylan, could cause an upset.

Best Actress is predicted to go to Demi Moore (The Substance), whose comeback story and performance have captured Hollywood’s attention. Meanwhile, Best Supporting Actor appears to be a lock for Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain), who has dominated every major award show leading up to the Oscars.

With strong contenders across all categories, the 2025 Academy Awards are shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable and exciting in recent years.