The geopolitical environment is frequently characterised by turning points that influence national destiny. The decision to hold early presidential elections in Azerbaijan is a turning point in the country's history and the start of a new one. This transformation was brought about by a historic victory that Azerbaijan won in September 2023. With this historic triumph, Azerbaijan's sovereignty was fully restored, reclaimed regions that had been under occupation for thirty years were freed, and the geopolitical landscape of the region was changed.
The essence of winning itself is the main driving force behind the early presidential elections. When all the variables are taken into account—political manoeuvres, military tactics, the 30-year occupation, difficult terrain, and strong defence lines—the victory is the most amazing development in Azerbaijan's history. A new era began with the liberation of areas and the restoration of complete sovereignty. Because each era has a specific length, this one requires a presidential election to mark the start of a new chapter in the history of the country.
Elections held in every region of Azerbaijan for the first time in its independent history. Considering the importance of presidential elections, this democratic process is more than just a formality; rather, it is a deep expression of the country's dedication to its recently acquired independence. Liberated regions are allowed to vote in the elections, making it a symbol of inclusion that ensures everyone of Azerbaijan is involved in determining its destiny. After more than 20 years in office, President Ilham Aliyev has accomplished a noteworthy feat. This long tenure as leader is cause for contemplation and signifies a self-contained chronological finale. The decision to conduct presidential elections twenty years after the last one was made is both a justifiable step forward for Azerbaijan's political development and a commitment to democratic values.
Azerbaijan is facing a critical crossroads characterised by internal dynamics and strategic concerns against the backdrop of global difficulties. Simplifying the political calendar, holding legislative elections at the same time, and the approaching end of Russia's peacekeeping operation in Karabakh are important variables impacting the political environment. Furthermore, an attempt is being made to stabilise Azerbaijan's internal politics in order to prepare for any unrest stemming from the Russo-Ukrainian War. The military operation in mountainous Karabakh on September 19, however, which led to the breakup of the separatist entity and the eviction of all ethnic Armenians, is the main focus. This occasion has grown to be a pillar of Azerbaijan's national unity, opening the door for a programme of nation-building and the potential creation of a "fourth republic," of which President Aliyev is seen as the architect. The determination to capitalise on President Aliyev's recent emergence as a "victory president" and cement the extraordinary legitimacy and popular support that he has amassed during this revolutionary time is what is driving the next snap election. President Aliyev's statements, especially the ones about his dominance over Armenians, have struck a chord with audiences within the country, highlighting the difficulty in determining the opinions of the broader populace. But in light of recent events, his popularity has skyrocketed to previously unheard-of levels.
There have been obstacles in the way of this historic event. Some nations and international organisations have shown scepticism about Azerbaijan and have sometimes openly opposed it. A diplomatic and political conflict has resulted from certain powerful foreign figures' unwillingness to recognise Azerbaijan's accomplishments. Unfazed, Azerbaijan launched a determined campaign to fight a war of words and diplomacy in order to gain international recognition for its legitimate cause. Independent media has revealed critics who are frequently accused of speaking for rival countries' interests and of trying to discredit Azerbaijan's accomplishments.
The Azerbaijani people's social and economic well-being has significantly improved over time, which is a credit to the government's initiatives. The GDP increased dramatically from 7.3 billion dollars to 78.7 billion dollars between 2003 and 2022, indicating consistent economic expansion. The development of state budget costs and strategic currency reserves was enormous, yet the rate of poverty fell from 44.7% to an astonishing 5.5%.
The freeing of Azerbaijani areas from Armenian captivity after over three decades is a huge achievement, even beyond economic metrics. One million displaced Azerbaijanis may now gradually return to their homes thanks to the restoration of territorial integrity and sovereignty. Azerbaijan's image has grown internationally as a result of its development as an international centre that hosts major events like COP-29, the Islamic Solidarity Games, and Formula 1. Azerbaijan's growing global relevance is further demonstrated by its election as a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council and its chairmanship of the Non-Aligned Movement.
President Ilham Aliyev's imaginative leadership has proven crucial in the face of international criticism. Strategic geopolitical actions along with ongoing attempts to strengthen Azerbaijan's social and economic fabric have strengthened the country's position internationally. The likelihood of President Ilham Aliyev being re-elected is based on his track record of accomplishment, tenacity, and a vision for the future that builds on the achievements of the past.
The country's dedication to growth, democracy, and an international perspective is reflected in the reasons for the early presidential elections: the start of a new age, a democratic process throughout the country, and the end of a two-decade administration. The difficulties encountered on the global scene only serve to highlight how crucial resiliency and unflinching resolve are to the quest for justice and acknowledgment. There are plenty of chances for Azerbaijan to improve its status internationally and help create a better future for both its citizens and the whole globe in the years to come.
–The author is a freelance contributor who writes on issues concerning national and regional security. She can be reached at omayaimen333@gmail.com
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