Oil slips to $62 as trade talks drag on

US-China trade war has clouded the outlook on oil demand


Reuters November 19, 2019
US-China trade war has clouded the outlook on oil demand. PHOTO: REUTERS

LONDON: Oil fell for a second day on Tuesday, dropping to $62 a barrel on limited progress in efforts to resolve the US-China trade dispute, higher-than-expected Norwegian oil output and forecasts of rising US crude inventories.

A Chinese government source was quoted by CNBC on Monday as saying there was gloom in Beijing about prospects for a trade deal. The long-running dispute has hit economic growth prospects and clouded the outlook on oil demand.

Brent crude, the global benchmark, was down $0.47 at $61.97 a barrel at 1131 GMT. It had reached $63.65 - the highest since September 24 - on Thursday. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped $0.5 to $56.55.

"The less-than-promising reports coming from China on the trade war may have taken some of the energy out of the rally," said Craig Erlam, analyst at brokerage Oanda. "We are certainly seeing less momentum in the recent rallies."

Oil prices were also hit by a larger-than-expected rise in Norwegian oil production and the prospect of a further increase in US crude inventories, suggesting ample supplies.

Norway's production rose in October to beat the official forecast as output from the Johan Sverdrup field began ahead of schedule. This is the largest field to come on stream in the North Sea - home to the Brent contract - for years.

The average estimate from six analysts polled by Reuters was for US crude inventories to have risen by about 1.1 million barrels in the week to November 15, representing a fourth consecutive weekly gain.

The American Petroleum Institute would release its supply report at 2030 GMT on Tuesday and the government's official figures would come on Wednesday.

Oil found some support from tension in the Middle East, home to top exporter Saudi Arabia and other core OPEC members.

Protesters in Iraq blocked a commodities port on Tuesday and people took to the streets in Iran to demonstrate against a rise in petrol prices.

The United States on Monday said it will no longer waive sanctions related to Iran's Fordow nuclear plant, while armed members of Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi movement seized a vessel towing a South Korean rig over the weekend.

Brent has rallied about 15% this year, supported by a supply pact between the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia.

Producers meet in Vienna over December 5-6 and are expected to extend the pact beyond March.

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