The possibility now has to be admitted, however grudgingly, that Donald Trump could be the next president of the United States. He could just conceivably beat Hillary Clinton in a straight fight, and after that the world will go into Terra Incognita. The major players will already be gaming a Trump win and what it might mean geopolitically, because it would impact, to a greater or lesser degree, every country in the world, including Pakistan. As observed recently by a commentator, in economic terms the impact would be small. The US is not our major trading partner. But Pakistani graduates from American colleges may find it harder to get jobs there as the circle of protectionism tightens. The military relationship may get an uptick at the expense of civil aid, a position little different to that between other Republican governments and Pakistan historically. Where the plot may thicken is in what happens to the relationship between America and states contiguous with Pakistan, China in particular. The bullet may yet be dodged, but once impossibly distant impossibles are suddenly in sharper focus. It will be Clinton or Trump. Ordinary Americans will choose.
Published in The Express Tribune, March 3rd, 2016.
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