‘New Delhi rolls back army downsizing plan’

Anomalies revealed in India's outlay for defence may have effect on growth and development of its fighting arms.


Aditi Phadnis March 02, 2011

NEW DEHLI: A closer look at the outlay for defence in the union budget 2011-12 reveals some anomalies that could have a far-reaching effect on the growth and development of India’s fighting arms.

While accepting the 11.6 per cent increase in the defence outlay over last year’s revised estimate figures as adequate, experts say there are worrying trends in spending that need to be corrected.

On the revenue side, salaries and allowances have gone up by nearly Rs50 billion over the revised estimates. In fact, the revised estimates themselves had gone up nearly Rs30 billion over last year’s budget estimates. This clearly indicates that a plan by General VP Malik, a former chief of army staff, a few years ago to downsize the army has not been put into motion. “In fact, this plan (to downsize) has been rolled back and this is going to be a serious problem in the future,” said Laxman Behera, an expert on defence finance in the Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses. The army’s salaries and allowances outlay alone account for Rs642.51 billion, up from a revised estimate figure of Rs 605.30 billion in 2010-11.

The burgeoning size of the three arms naturally reflects in the pension bill. Defence pensions were Rs250 billion in the year 2010-2011. They have increased to Rs340 billion in 2011-12 on account of arrears accruing from the Sixth Pay Commission award. Pensions, Behera says, are growing at 10 per cent annually and raise questions about the long-term viability of defence spending.

However, experts say the fact that allocations for ‘stores; - the equipment, food and other day-to-day necessities– is going up (from a revised estimate of Rs213.82 billion to Rs227.99 billion in 2011-12) for the three services is heartening for it represents improvement in the quality of life of troops as well as officers.

On the capital outlay, Behera says the fine print suggests that although the three services did not return money to the treasury unutilised, there is a wide gap in the money allocated under some heads and its actual utilisation. For instance, in the 2010 -11 budget, the army was allotted Rs6.36 billion for aircraft. But it managed to spend only Rs1.48 billion. However, because it spent more than it was allocated under other capital heads, the gap is not visible. So the underlying issue – that of utilisation of money in time – continues to be a cause for concern.

Published in The Express Tribune, March 2nd, 2011.

COMMENTS (9)

G.Din | 13 years ago | Reply @Athar Quraishi: I salute you, sir, for your analysis. It is very refreshing to read it coming from a Pakistani. You are spot on!
Athar Quraishi | 13 years ago | Reply Maria: India has never attached Pakistan, despite of all the convoluted propaganda by the Pakistani Army. Because, truly, India never had, nor has, nor ever will anything to gain by conquering Pakistani. ====== I will even go to the extents of saying, (and I am a Pakistani, full disclosure), that even if all o Pakistan and Bangladesh were willing to merge back into a federal union with India, the Indians would not want the headache of nearly half a billion 'extra' sets of problem humans. India has enough on its plate to chew. ====== India's focus is resolutely on the rise of the Chinese military prowess. It will not surrender the unique civilisational perch and role it believes it has in Asia. To do so, would be suicidal, not just for India but for also the other smaller nations in South East Asia, in Japan, in Taiwan. This is a dynamic that our short sighted strategists in Pakistan are in denial of. ====== The irony of all this is, that the Indians actually see the Pakistani Army as a short term category A liability because of the AFPAK situation. A medium term asset because if entente is achieved for a joint army, because it would increase South Asia's collective military potential manifolds on a global scale and cause serious revision of strategy in all power centers. And a long term stable power reserve. ====== So, India is wise to keep its powder dry for China ... because the Chinese are least likely to be trusted, given their economic rise, their 90,000 plus domestic dissent protests a year. Their still unconsolidated holds over Xinjiang and Tibet. Their unsettled nationalist issues with Taiwan and Japan. And also, the huge environmental disaster they have generated in the name of progressivism and crude utilitarian mercantilism. In short, everything that India has side-stepped for the most part. The Chinese, in the medium term face, a very real prospect of a 'Loss of collective face' when India's democracy begins to deliver a much more stable development profile to its people. And by extension, to the people in South Asia. This would be a serious challenge to the very idea of China and the totalitarian government that runs it. ====== Which is why, I have always advocated that if there is one country that Pakistan can trust, and one that will help us most in the short, medium and long run, it is India. We are seen as a liability by the West and as an errand boy by China. All the Bakhsheesh in the world will not change that fact.
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