False Alarm: ‘Canada not heading for recession’

MONTREAL: Canada’s finance minister denied that the country is heading for recession, a day after two major banks predicted economic doomsday. Canada, the world’s fifth-biggest oil producer, has been hard hit by tumbling global oil prices and its economy shrank 0.6 percent at an annualised rate in the first quarter. On Thursday, Nomura bank said it expected Gross Domestic Product to contract 0.5% in the second quarter, while Bank of America Merrill Lynch said a 0.6% decline in that period was likely. A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction. But Finance Minister Joe Oliver said, “We’re not in a recession ... We don’t believe we will be in a recession.” Despite the bleak outlook of the banks, Oliver said he expects growth in the second quarter and beyond to be robust. “We expect solid growth for the year, following a weak first quarter,” he said.

Published in The Express Tribune, July 5^th, 2015.

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