Roundtable discussion: Economy needs 7% growth to create 1.7 million jobs

Published: January 29, 2015
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Experts discuss youth unemployment issues, suggest ways of job creation. STOCK IMAGE

Experts discuss youth unemployment issues, suggest ways of job creation. STOCK IMAGE

KARACHI: 

Pakistan’s economy has to grow at a minimum 7% to absorb 1.7 million people entering the country’s workforce every year; a bulk of this economic growth has to come from small and medium size enterprises (SMEs), the Islamabad-based policy think tank Jinnah Institute (JI) concluded in a roundtable titled “Addressing Youth Unemployment in Pakistan” here on Wednesday.

In a discussion that lasted two hours, the participants – experts from the private sector and academia – recommended unlocking of capital, public-private partnerships for SMEs, financial inclusion, access to credit, vocational training and formulation of a national entrepreneurship strategy as policy interventions to address the challenges of unemployment facing the country’s youth.

About 1.7 million people enter the country’s labor force every year, JI President Sherry Rehman said as she began the session by pitching the main question, “Will the current trend in economic growth, which has lingered around 3% over the past several years, be adequate to absorb this rising labour force?”

“Job creation has turned into a mounting challenge for the government as more than 3.7 million people remain unemployed,” Rehman said while quoting statistics from the Pakistan Labour Force Survey.

The rate of unemployment, at the back of stunted growth, has also gradually risen from 5% in fiscal year 2008 to 6% in 2012, she said, noting that creating equitable employment opportunities for youth poses one of the least addressed yet critical policy issues facing Pakistan.

She noted that in the absence of incentives for employment through entrepreneurship and private sector-led jobs, the already overburdened public sector continues to attract job expectations.

Promoting entrepreneurship is the way forward to stimulate economic growth and create employment, the participants noted as they examined policy options for employment generation for Pakistan’s youth cohort, which is about 36% of the total labour force as per current estimates.

“The economic growth will come from SMEs, there is no way it’s going to come from the MNCs,” Saad Amanullah Khan of the Pakistan Innovation Foundation said. However, he added there was no national entrepreneurship strategy in place.

Khan recommended five key areas for policy interventions: financial inclusion, robust government regulation, promotion of women entrepreneurship, awareness with regard to entrepreneurship and start-ups, and innovation-driven employment models.

“We are already working on this [entrepreneurship strategy] and have involved all stakeholders including the government.”

The gap between education and employable skills or training was another subject that the participants discussed in detail.

Former State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) governor Syed Salim Raza said telecoms, FMCGs, construction, automobiles and financial services are some of the sectors with higher growth rates but they also require higher level of skills and training, which is largely absent in the majority of working-age population.

Raza also recommended unlocking of capital through progressive financial policies, including increasing mortgage-based lending, which he said were key to providing finance for SME entrepreneurs. Public sector accounts for 60% of lending from banks while SMEs account for as low as 6% of the total lending, the former SBP governor said it was partly a failure of the financial sector.

Access to credit remains one of the main problems facing SMEs, the participants noted. “In the absence of adequate job creation by the public or private sectors, it is more important to enhance financial inclusion, which can help create greater opportunities for self-employment instead of salaried employment,” Tameer Microfinance Bank CEO Nadeem Hussain said.

Referring to the current state of financial inclusion in the country, Hussain said only 15% of the population had access to credit. The default rate in microfinance industry is less than 1% due to the fact that there aren’t many players in the market, he said.

Published in The Express Tribune, January 29th,  2015.

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Reader Comments (3)

  • Syed Asad Hussain
    Jan 29, 2015 - 2:51AM

    The country has immense potential to cash on and resources as well. But we need direction and there is lack of sincere leadership. Topping it further, the mood of the society there seems to be clumsy one and unlike the Chinese who are hard working and committed to their professions-ours lack ethics and commitment. Sad it is that I see no future of Pakistan.

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  • Sania
    Jan 29, 2015 - 10:18AM

    In my opinion, it is multi-dimensional issue. At macro level, we lack proper planning and implementation whereas at micro level we lack commitment and dedication.

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  • abreez
    Jan 29, 2015 - 12:22PM

    World is heading towards an arena where country to country relationship will matter and world’s economy will greatly improve by rail and road connections. Pakistan will play an important role in world’s economic recovery, I have no doubt in that not now not in 2012. Pakistan should prepare itself for that role and what we need,
    1. Two or three autonomous, coastal cities with their own currencies and administrative set up.
    2. Small tourist cities alongside Motorway, as Pakistan’s experience with Karachi proves that if you have big cities then you have big problems and if you have small cities then you have small problems.
    3. Healthy relations with everyone, country to country relations that must not be against any other country.
    4. Town or village heads so that these political offices help federal government in tax collection, in understanding different areas of Pakistan, understand different problems of different people of Pakistan. Town or village heads can help government of Pakistan to relocate people of Pakistan during summer and winter, then government of Pakistan can create an economy by creating internal tourism sector.

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