It wasn’t without incident, so the story goes, when Benazir Bhutto went to see Maggie Thatcher. They met at the Dorchester Hotel, over tea sandwiches and scones (for these two serious ladies, perhaps the lightest item on the agenda).
The ’90s was busy drawing blood: BB’s first government had already fallen; Nawaz Sharif’s first was already floundering. The common denominator, Messr Ghulam Ishaq Khan, was closing in again. Pakistan was in for a mud brawl — the prince of Punjab versus the bureaucrat’s bureaucrat.
But whose corner was Ms Bhutto in? That’s what the Daughter of Destiny asked the Iron Lady.
And so the woman that conducted war landings on the beaches of East Falkland weighed in — of all things, on this latest tussle between GIK and Mian sahib. It was well worth it.
‘Side with neither of them,’ said the Baroness Thatcher. ‘They will use you and dump you. Let them fight it out, and bleed each other.’ Which is what happened.
The PPP would arrive at the same conclusion 21 years later. Today, Zardari and Co. wait and watch, while the right wrestles the right some more. Once again, Nawaz Sharif finds himself at the mercy of a crotchety old man who fights in the dark, is backed by the dark, and will disappear into the dark after all’s said and done.
Once again, Mr Sharif will lose.
The bad romance between the Sharifs and the Shaykh could fill a dozen Russian novels, but it is a hate that has become bigger than both of them. There is no precedent for what we are seeing on our screens: the Red Zone turning red; the police assaulting the press; babies crying from teargas; PAT and PTI workers pouring into parliament; storming PTV. There’s little to make sense of.
To start with the easiest — it’s time Imran Khan drew down. More people are buying his narrative than the state’s; his popularity has soared among the sort of vote bank that had yet to register his name, and the army is ‘facilitating’ talks. That should be enough; this march must end here.
Because Mr Khan is not Mr Qadri — while the Shaykh has always been thought close to the establishment, Mr Khan’s standing will suffer from the same. Second, while ‘Go Nawaz Go’ makes for a terrific rallying cry, it doesn’t make for electoral reform — fresh elections run the risk of rigging as much as before. That requires the long haul: unglamorous T-crossing and I-dotting via parliament, not at its gates.
Third, Mr Khan’s mass rallies are hurting more than the Sharifs. They’re delegitimising due process. And they risk ruining what Pakistanis endured five years of the PPP for — stable civilian transitions. Mr Khan may say the system is broken, but it serves no one to break it further. 2018 isn’t too far ahead, sir. Be patient.
Fourthly, 14-day rallies can make for tunnel vision (even before the teargas hit). Mr Khan started out with wanting four polling stations reopened; he has ended with storming parliament, threatening MNAs with eviction, and ‘parting ways’ with Javed Hashmi over choice of scriptwriter. This Tehreek must step back from the edge, before it’s too late.
To turn to the gent from Ontario; in every serious negotiation, a wise man once said, the man who doesn’t care is going to win. Mr. Qadri certainly doesn’t care — he marshals women and children into crisis zones. He wants to see Nawaz League bleed. He has no stake in the system; he never has.
Mr Sharif, on the other hand, is the system. It was supposed to be different this time: the sages said the desert sands of Jeddah had sobered him. They were wrong.
Which leads us to the lion’s share of the blame (bad pun unintended). The story of the Sharifs may never be written: lacking in oomph as they are, they remain the least recorded of our rulers; three premierships and seven Punjab governments later, all’s we have is Sohail Warraich’s Ghaddar Kaun, and Mira Sethi’s superb profile for Caravan.
But that’s also because they self-destruct so spectacularly — should Mian sahib survive this somehow, he’ll be less lion than lame duck.
As it turns out, Nawaz Sharif 3.0 is the same old software: the same Punjabi patronage, the same six Kashmiris from Lahore, the same fetish for roads and trains and drains. But we’re not in 1990 anymore; the country has changed. Its problems are bigger, its people’s grievances deeper. Its sense of accountability, harder.
And it’s the same question everywhere: how haven’t they learned?
For a man who’s tussled with every army chief he laid eyes on (including the revolting Aslam Beg), Mr Sharif never shies from unbalancing the civil-military imbalance further — in the army’s favour.
There was Section 245. Then Section 144. Then asking the army to negotiate. Then lying about asking it. Then lying about lying about asking. Our eyes may be glued to Islamabad, but our ears are stuck to Rawalpindi. And we have the Nawaz League, with its whopping 135 seats, to thank.
The PML-N’s reaction to the crisis has been slapstick stupid, and not just with the men in khaki. Rallying sectarian loonies to its cause has sickened average Pakistanis. Its management of Islamabad has pushed them further away — four lives have already been lost.
All the while, Model Town hovers over the proceedings — the sword that doesn’t drop.
Because deep down, everyone knows this isn’t just about Nawaz Sharif and Imran Khan, or about the virtues of electoral reform. It’s really about Model Town.
And it’s about 14 counts of murder. Those counts must carry consequences.
But it’s also high time Pakistan got a hold of itself. The rupee has hit six-month lows, gunships roar over Bangidar, and Modi’s man Amit Shah makes gurgling noises across the border. These are real problems, bad problems, long-run problems.
As of today, we’ve afforded two of those three to the army already: the civilian Sharifs, you see, lack the capacity — a year since winning. The Prime Minister has been asked to resign.
Somewhere, General Waheed Kakar is smiling.
Published in The Express Tribune, September 2nd, 2014.
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@Multan wala: Your comment is the one that is a distraction and not on point at all. Unclear how the moderators allowed it. Surely does not meet guidelines?
Having said that I will acknowledge this one small part of your baseless comment which is true. Our army does report to our elected civilians. Our PM does not face resignation calls because a retired former general is undergoing trial and PM cose a foreign policy initiative that the army did not like.
@Oats: how is the natural cleansing possible or electing Mr. Sharif out when the the decision makers are all his party and it's a rule of the jungle. Next time it will be the same or even worst result cos you will the next generation of these tired leaders who have even worst training and no moral values at all.
I'm surprised at the constant vilification of Qadri and IK. Millions have invested hope in them, wilfully, democratically, rationally. They are all part of the system and are exerting pressure to repair and build. Why this gloom that all has been lost? Why such despair with the ouster of NS? No political system is sacrosanct, and ours was never one to write home about. Cheer up please, and stop carrying the burden of so much history.
@Ali S: I agree with you that Imran Khan and Tahirul Qadri are in the wrong. I can also take issue with the performance of Nawaz Sharif or his attendance at parliament but that's not the issue. Democracy takes time to take root.Rome isn't built in a day. If we don't like Nawaz's behavior, he should be voted out at election time - not because an angry group of several thousand protesters think they are above the law. The sight of stick wielding protesters throwing stones, making a mess, breaking buildings and beating policemen is far worse than anything else. Nawaz Sharif resigning would only encourage more such behavior again.
Disaffected arrogance is Nawaz's way of brushing problems under the rug. Now that rug is a mountain piled high and threatening to fall over anytime. It's sad that he hasn't learned after failing twice.
IK and especially TuQ (who got this ball rolling with the Model Town incident) are in the wrong too and seem to battling for ego more than anything else, but at the end of the day it all comes back to Nawaz. He didn't attend parliament sessions or listen to anyone's concerns until it was panic mode, and now it's too late.
When parliament is full to the brim with beneficiaries of this warped system ( allows loot and plunder without accountability making them all stinking rich ) why would they want to amend the rules to ensure that electoral rigging is minimized ? It has taken them quite some time to put in place laws ( the 18th amendment being an example where the check-and-balance of the President was done away with ) ........do you really, really expect them to give this up so that the people could get some benefit from this so called ' democracy '.
bring on the inqilab. qadri will stay in his container
The Border violations are just modi's way of creating problems. Knowing about the ongoing internal turmoil in this country, Modi has his dog in the fight. Known as Suhag Man. Suhag gets up each morning and has to earn his keep. Chest thumping, killing innocent women working in fields. Evaporating little 5 years old. Pathetic.