The government is in trouble. The House of Sharif is in trouble. But is democracy as we know it really in trouble?
Imran Khan has thrown down the gauntlet. In the blistering heat of Bahawalpur, he breathed fire on to the Sharifs and the system that catapulted them into the corridors of power. Drenched in sweat, Khan thundered and roared and went on the attack. A million-strong tsunami will now march on to Islamabad on Independence Day ready to scale the walls and breach the mighty defences of the House Sharif. The final showdown — it seems — is imminent.
Let the Game of Thrones begin.
The timing of Khan’s offensive is pegged on a simple premise: he smells blood. The Sharifs — lording over an electoral juggernaut — suddenly seem vulnerable. A series of blunders over the past year or so have weakened them, despite the impressive numbers they command in the parliament. In face of relentless attacks by Khan and others, the Sharifs are at best mounting a feeble defence.
Meanwhile the sound of distant thunder is drawing near by the day. King’s Landing in under siege.
Some of what will happen now can be predicted. Khan will keep the political temperature boiling through Ramazan with carefully calibrated verbal attacks. He and his lieutenants will distill the message of his Bahawalpur speech and splash it across TV screens and newspaper front pages throughout the month. They will also carpet bomb the credibility of the 2013 elections and the Election Commission. Expect to hear a lot about the Sharifs and their family enterprise that is now running the country as a personal fiefdom. These verbal barrages by the PTI will act as artillery fire to soften the ground before the ground offensive is unleashed on August 14.
Throughout the month, PTI will work furiously to organize the storming of the House Sharif. Every ounce of energy, resources and brainpower will be invested in planning every last detail of the offensive. Then post-Eid, the ground will begin to rumble. Swords will be sharpened, shields polished and body armour hammered into shape. Horses will be saddled and the dragons will take flight. Trumpets will sound as banners are unfurled and the last camp fires put out.
What will happen next is anyone’s guess. Instead, what matters more is whether this offensive; this final storming of the House Sharif; will amount to yet another kind of war which will end with democracy’s head on a spike?
The answer may yet surprise us. For a nation used, abused and manipulated again and again by its rulers, the dream of an ideal society lies buried under the debris of broken promises and shattered commitments. This is a nation birthed in a firestorm of heady idealism; a nation made to believe it would grow up to be a superstar. Instead it went through a traumatised childhood. Instead of being in school, this youngster was thrown on to the street to fend for itself. Bereft of education, bereft of skills and bereft of personal growth, it stumbled from one crisis to another. In the process, it stopped dreaming. And it stopped demanding its natural born rights.
When you aim low, you get even lower.
We aimed for the process of democracy, instead of demanding a rule of law and the supremacy of meritocracy. We got the process, we got the trappings and we discovered a new god: the ballot box. We built temples for it (Sindh just spent upwards of Rs3 billion to erect a shiny one), and we began worshipping it. We developed a new priestly class that occupied these temples and initiated hedonistic rituals within its plush confines.
But the emptiness remained. That ache for the perfect society where law is equal for everyone; where social justice reigns and equal opportunity prevails — the ache for such a society kept pulsating deep within. If other nations can build such a society, why can’t we?
Why indeed. And this question; nay, this yearning goes to the heart of the struggle we are witnessing. Imran Khan’s offensive on Islamabad could be a naked power grab; or it could be something more. The storming of the House Sharif could lead to the kind of chaos we have seen so often in the past; a chaos which culminates with the thump, thump, thump of heavy boots. Or it could lead to a certain cleansing of the system that is just not delivering stuff that dreams are made of. Dreams are dreams, not reality, but they project contours of a reality that is always within reach. Yes we need an electoral system that cannot be manipulated. Yes we need a police that genuinely cares for the people instead of brutalising them. Yes we need the high priests of our cherished Democratic temples to be accountable before the law like you and me. Yes we want merit to prevail over nepotism and talent to overrule kinship. Yes we want every single Pakistani child in school and every single citizen to get justice. Yes indeed we want, we demand, and we deserve a society that is second to none in material and spiritual progress.
Will Imran Khan’s August 14 offensive achieve all this? Certainly not. But if he can force the House Sharif to take on the right direction, then democracy is not in mortal danger. In fact, it may just be what the doctor ordered.
Published in The Express Tribune, June 29th, 2014.
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COMMENTS (33)
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@stevenson:
Please help simpletons like me understand why following the democratic process is so bad.
“It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”
― Upton Sinclair
@salman: Is it stupid to want development and progress in Pakistan? I support PML N for the simple reason that they have brought about meaningful plans to reform the economy and improve infrastructure. When I see the motorways or the metro bus, I can envisage a developing Pakistan. The current projects started with the Chinese also bring hope. I think the main thing that worries the detractors of PMLN is the fact that the Sharifs may just bring about the changes they propose like ending the energy crisis. Think about what they've accomplished in hardly a year. Would it be more sane to let them complete their term and if they don't do what they said they would, just vote them out? Maybe my stupid mind can't understand the importance of allowing an elected government who has the electoral mandate the chance to complete its term in office. Please help simpletons like me understand why following the democratic process is so bad.
When you aim low, you get even lower.
ET, You know nothing..
All those who support PML-N are either part of the status quo in one way or plain stupid.
All those who support PML-N even are either part of the status quo in one way or plain stupid.
Superb article. NS government is totally based on fraud, deceit and ill will. It should be toppled by every mean. The people voted for change and when the ballot box opened we witnessed the same faces.
for house sharif "winter is coming"
Very well written. I completely agree with the retired General Mirza Aslam Beg in regard to his assessment regarding Sharifs not changing their stance. This view is substantiated by a careful look at their past attitude in a variety of cases (eg. Musharraf trial, media problem, et al.), the reaction of the PM himself ("let us work, we shall change the country's 'taqdeer'" as if they have become divine), and now the reaction of some ministers to the Bahawalpur demands. So, let us wait and pray for some divine intervention for Pakistan's betterment.
There is no “we” who demand “an electoral system that cannot be manipulated… a police that genuinely cares for people… meritocracy and rule of law”. We get exactly what we demand for. Do not fool yourself by thinking that the large majority of Pakistan wants these things. They have never heard of these things, how can they demand it?
Put it another way: not enough of us truly demand the perfect society because we know full well that the costs of transitioning towards that “perfect society” are just too high. We are caught in this bad equilibrium and there is no quick and easy way to get out of it. For if there was a quick and easy way, we would not be here. It is simple calculus.
There is no “we” who demand “an electoral system that cannot be manipulated… a police that genuinely cares for people… meritocracy and rule of law”. We get exactly what we demand for. Do not fool yourself by thinking that the large majority of Pakistan wants these things. They have never heard of these things, how can they demand it?
Put it another way: Not enough of us truly demand the perfect society because we know full well that the costs of transitioning towards that “perfect society” are just too high. We are caught in this bad equilibrium and there is no quick and easy way to get out of it. For if there was a quick and easy way, we would not be here. It's just simple calculus.
Other than Tsunami marches which always tend to be small waves ... can anyone name anything IK has actually accomplished? He doesn't have an army capable of sieging anything let alone Kings Landing and is no better than 3'rd in line when it comes to qualifying for King.
Quite annoyingly , he ahs been mentioning ' House Sharif' .its House of Shraif or Sharif House, but not sure about the term House Sharif
I have only one query, when it comes to KPK it has only been only one year since PTI attained government, what about Federal. Why is Mr Captain only rolling out his protests in Punjab. Is Sindh, Balochistan and "KPK" free of corruption? Have we attained corruption free government is KPK? Stand alone in one year a PTI forward group has been formed looking to impeach the government now?
The only thing Imran Khan's 'fiery' jalsa reminded me of was the Mad King.
"Burn them all," he said.
From a literary perspective this borders on art - one of the more eloquently written articles that I've read on ET recently. But I digress with your conclusion - IK isn't what the doctor ordered. Between him and Nawaz Sharif, it's like choosing among dumb and dumber.
We thought sharifs would change course after a decade in wilderness. Instead they used the time to expand their business empire to Saudi arabia and UK. Politically they neutralized the arch rival, PPP by signing an agreement to work together, while pretending to be rivals.This has given them a confidence that is very dangerous. Agitation in our country always starts when people get convinced that other avenues of change have been effectively blocked. This happened when Ayub khan and Pervaiz Musharraf over stayed their welcome. Now ppp and PMLN combine has created the same feeling. Election commission appointed by ppp/PMLN has also failed to generate hope that elections would bring a change. Then there is the issue of horrible governance. Sacking departmental head with strong arm tactics, brutalizing ppeople, misplaced priorities( metroes instead of health and education), vote buying gimmicks and rewarding the likes of najam sethi, arsalan in complete disregard of merit. IK's frustration thus makes some sense.
Excellent. As IK said, asking for a transparent electoral process, a police force that does not act as the Sharifs' personal goons squad, and government that puts merit above familial connections, will not derail democracy. It will strengthen it.
totally agreed. saving democracy only works if such a democracy protects one..............foolish is he who protects it just for the sake of it........a stauch message for the likes of Ch Allahdad and the Sharifs
A good piece of writing. As for achieving the goals for developing an ideal society, the best mean today is democracy and a true democracy is not possible without free and fair election and free and fair election is not possible without an independent election commission. So, the root of one problem, if not all, is our election commission. And that's why Captain is after it to fix
The timing of Khan’s offensive is pegged on a simple premise: he smells blood.
This isn't actually true. His timing is pegged on the simple premise that the DG-ISI retires in November, and thus if anything is to happen, it must happen before then.
winter is coming
That is a horrifying conclusion to an otherwise well written article Fahd. Does it take a million man 'offensive' on the country's capital to set the government in the right direction? I don't think so. We have a long history of offensives against elected governments achieving absolutely nothing. And what, pray, is the 'right direction'? Certainly PML N's current direction can be said to be awry on many accounts, but it is far better than PTI's and PAT's and Sheikh Rasheed's and PML Q's direction. Sharifs are no Lannisters and Imran Khan is leading no Unsullied.
@Tahir Ali: These families that you point out are the most capable and devoted administrators we have. Without the Sharifs, democracy in its true and purest form will crumble and you will be left to contend with dictators or immature politicians.
Talking big without the burden of delivering is easy. Change is a good word, but we also know to change you have to have dictatorial powers to implement. In the past we have had such regimes, but we know they did not deliver; in fact made matters worse. So I am ready to go along with an inefficient government of NS and his family than empty rhetoric of Imran khan and Qadri. Yes, we need to improve the lot of poor in our society, but at whose cost? Are we to grab the money from rich nd distribute to needy? and if yes how? We want to know how IK is going to create jobs for the millions. Elections, however faulty, have given NS the power to rule for 5 years. I do not like MLN agenda, but accept its right to complete 5 years. IK has also also a religious agenda which does not deliver economic prosperity. Otherwise arab countries would be doing well, which they are not. (Except oil rich ones)
Excellent piece
Will someone please translate this quasi literature piece of an article a simple and a more natural article?
Excellent piece my dear Fahd. The only issue I have is you crux of argument, i.e. house of sharif changing from kleptocrats to democrats. That my friend will never happen. Time for stables to be cleansed completely.
Pakistan does need sustainable democracy but not the kind which stems from CHARTER OF CORRUPTION WITH MUTUAL IMPUNITY agreed upon by families heading two main political parties. Unfortunately, because of such an understanding, Pakistan is turning into a dynastic monarchy, a system which is not sustainable.
The author rightly points out that 'things must change' AND THEY WILL. The writing is on the wall.
What a wonderfully written piece! Great job Fahd Hussain, loved reading every bit of it.
Captain Khan is keeping the heat on and burning, and its high time for families running Pakistan like its their God-given kingdom to be booted out and flushed out of the system once and for all. After-all, what use is democracy without merit and accountability?