As a consequence of lacking any scientifically devised strategy to curb dengue, we are suffering from another outbreak in Swat, as well as other parts of Pakistan. Back in 2011, I wrote about the consequences of misdirected efforts of the government to tackle dengue and predicted more outbreaks in the future.
It is surely not going to stop and in the days to come, dengue will make a resurgence in the same areas and also spread to other areas. The Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa government does not seem to understand the gravity of the situation and just as it happened in the past, cosmetic measures may cost us more lives in the future.
Government efforts continue to focus on strengthening treatment and diagnostics for a disease with no specific cure or vaccine available. At the same time, the role of the mosquito -- the root cause of infection -- has drawn little attention in our country. Thus, it would appear that the burden of infection may increase over time as the mosquito is free to breed and infect more people.
Danger lies the second time
Analysis of blood samples from the infected people in Swat indicated that the same serotype 2 and serotype 3 of the dengue virus are highly prevalent there, which means that the current outbreak is a continuation of the previous major outbreak in Lahore. The only difference is the mortality rate which has been comparatively lower in Swat because majority of the people have been infected for the first time. Infact, it is the secondary infection of dengue with a virus type different from the one that caused primary infection which leads to fatal consequences for an individual in the form of dengue hemorrhagic fever, dengue shock syndrome or death. The scale of this outbreak is getting larger as thousands of people have been infected so far and another outbreak of dengue in future could be devastating because the mortality rate may rise as a result of secondary infection. If somebody is infected once, secondary infection during his life time could develop into hemorrhagic fever and shock syndrome.
Suggestions to the govt
The government should consult competent entomologists and biologists so as to devise an effective mosquito eradication strategy based upon the published scientific literature on eradication programs in other countries. Of course, there are short term and long term options and both of them should be taken into consideration. In order to bring about temporary relief, WHO recommended insecticides such as Temephos, Permethrin and Pyroproxyfen should be used alongwith biological agents such as Bti (: Bacillus thuringiensis var. israelensis) or Bs (Bacillus Sphaericus )toxins to target the breeding sites of the mosquito and to disinfect vehicles coming out of the endemic region. Combination of chemical and biological agents have proved to be very effective in killing the mosquito at various stages of its life cycle in a number of countries including.
On long term basis, we should focus on using other biological options (in combination with the use of safe insecticides and Bti/Bs toxins) as these are very effective options.
The Aedes mosquitoes have the potential to transmit yellow fever virus or other flavi viruses as well. A proper mosquito eradication strategy is therefore the need of the hour and the government should shift their focus from strengthening treatment and diagnostics only as these can never prevent the spread of infection and would cause a lot of harm in future. It is high time we start believing in science in order to protect ourselves from deadly pathogens at least.
The writer is head, division of health biotechnology, Institute of Biotechnology and Genetic Engineering Peshawar.
Published in The Express Tribune, September 29th, 2013.
COMMENTS (14)
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Being part of dengue control strategies in Swat, I appreciate the efforts of Dr. Ijaz. We are working hard to control the epidemic. But I am surprised that very little proportion of our stake-holders are interested in controlling dengue. Now in Swat, as we see the disease is almost in its last stages but the vector population is expected to multiply exponentially in the next breeding season. And another problem, due to non-scientific approaches, the vector has traveled north-wards towards Bisham and Shangla, and if we still use the non-recommended chemicals, the vector can spread to more areas. If we are serious, we must think scientifically.
i m just suprised that why govt is preferring cosmetic measures in contrast to real long term permanent solution?
In the recent times a lot of visitors from Punjab traveled Swat which may be the root cause of dengue's emergence in Swat as no quarantine measures were taken at that time. And that's good that no one is dying from dengue there but one cannot claim that dengue is no more an issue in Punjab certainly it will be, in the time to come when the conditions will be optimum for the vector mosquitoes.
this is an excellent article, both federal and provincial govt should take proper actions as suggested by Dr. Ijaz Ali, awareness about the risk factors associated with dengue is much needed.
Emergence of dengue in swat is a clear evidence to the failure of dengue control strategy applied in Panjab. I dont think the panjab govt has taken in-time wise steps and a feasible integrated research based approach. Initially they invited doctors from sri lanka to teach them how to deal with the mosquito which was quite strange for me. Dengue is there in lahore even today. Its just a chance that nobody is dying in panjab these days, otherwise if somebody gets secondary infection, he or she may die even in ICU, because u have no option for them other than giving supportive treatment which may or may not be successful. Its a life time risk and major outbreaks have been reported to repeat in 5 to 10 years in many places around the world. we need to change the social attitude towards this and to apply modern science for our own benefit.As the vector or pathogen evolves to challenge our control strategy, we should evolve our plans in the light of fresh knowledge. I hope someday we start believing in science and stop believing in logical fallacies and political rhetoric.
@Sophya Khan: guess what the 'fake' sprays worked, hows about kpk buys some original spray & get rid of the problem? Yes disease travels throughout a region as people travelling carry them along(polio is an exapmle of disease spreading frm kpk to rest of the country), but ironically & thankfully nobody is dying in punjab due to dengue now, something has been done right ofcourse.
ET the first link about dengue campaign is broken. So i am re-posting it here,.
Standard URL: http://www.dailymotion.com/video/x14zvai_dengue-irradication-campaign-punjab-city-govt-faisalabadnews
Short URL: http://dai.ly/x14zvai
@Aamer Khawaja:
Please read it again.
"Analysis of blood samples from the infected people in Swat indicated that the same serotype 2 and serotype 3 of the dengue virus are highly prevalent there, which means that the current outbreak is a continuation of the previous major outbreak in Lahore. "
Transported from Lahore, the capital of Punjab. So what should we ask Punjab about? The bogus spray they did in 2010-11? Or how to silence the doctors? YDA anybody? or how to kill with pills? PIC anybody? Oh and yes there is a new disease Cholera which has been eradicated from the world except Lahore...
insightful article: author is rightly pointing out the flaws in the strategy .... all over the pakistan the preventive measures are not strong ... Even if I ask now from people they dont know how to prevent this mosquito to grow ... I still have seen water standing, mosquitoes larwa growing. I was invited by the health management teams in shalamar town and I was stunned to see that daily they collected larvas from various places and all were confirmed dengue and in the bottles I even saw adults coming out of pupa... and confirming it was aedes egypti ... there are no survillance teams , the chemical used is also which is not recommended making mosquito more resistant ... especially the sites of breeding should be destroyed before the season comes but unfortunately every one remains asleep and when this fever spreads then they think to stop the breeding places... Author is right that we are certainly moving in wrong direction as for as dengue is concerned
hello.
This article speaks volumes about the innovative measures taken by Shahbaz Sharif in summer 2011 to curb dengue. It goes on to imply that showcasing innovative, technology-driven solutions might not be enough. Understanding the breadth of a problem and how the problem can arise in other forms in future and in other areas is essential to finding proper solutions, not just ANY solutions.
Awareness about Dengue is important and the local governments must took the first initiative to bring awareness among masses. They should use electronic media to disseminate the message about eradication techniques while keeping in mind the local languages and culture as well. For example i saw one humorous awareness message of Faisalabad government about dengue but actually that was enough to bring awareness among the local masses.
http://www.dailymotion.com/video/x14zvaidengue-irradication-campaign-punjab-city-govt-faisalabadnews