IMF loan will cost Pakistan 1.2 million jobs: Asad Umar

PTI leader criticises government’s economic policies and lack of clarity.


Shahram Haq September 28, 2013
These are not my personal opinions, I am saying all this as it is written in IMF’s letter of intent of the loan agreement, says Asad Umar.

LAHORE:


The fresh loan agreement between Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will result in the dismissal of 1.2 million people from their jobs, further rupee devaluation, and increasing inflation, unemployment and create a mess overall for the economy of Pakistan, said Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf (PTI) leader Asad Umar.


These are not my personal opinions, I am saying all this as it is written in IMF’s letter of intent of the loan agreement, which reflects the picture of Pakistan’s economy after the release of the fresh loan, said Umar while talking with the Lahore Economic Journalists Association.

The IMF’s technical analysis reveals that the Pakistani rupee is overvalued by 6%, and needs more depreciation for reforms, so in actuality they told the government that rupee devaluation was necessary for the agreement, said Umar. In addition it told the State Bank of Pakistan to purchase some million dollars  as they were aware that once SBP started purchasing dollars, the rupee would collapse as the Pakistan foreign exchange market hardly has any depth, he said.

But we were told by the government that Pakistan will further receive loan installments from other banks which would add around $10 billion in our reserves at the end of the year. We are unable to understand that if $10 billion will add in our reserves then why must the SBP purchase dollars, he asked.

The IMF document, he further said, stated that the growth rate without reforms will be 3%, while the government in the budget report says that growth rate would be around 3.4%, and after the above mentioned reforms, the IMF documents said that growth rate would further drop to 2.5% which would lead to the unemployment of 1.2 million people, Umar said. Even a fall of one rupee against dollar costs Rs70 billion to the economy, and the rupee has devalued by up to Rs7, he added.

“On one side, unemployment and inflation is increasing and the rupee is devaluing due to the government’s policy while on the other our stock market is making new highs but only billionaires are benefiting from it and minting money. Both things are connected,” said Umar.

This is the most crucial moment for the economy of Pakistan and we, as an opposition party have the responsibility to tell the public what actually is happening “, he said.

Talking about privatisation, Umar said that privatization may not produce fruitful results every time, sometimes privatisation works and sometimes it fails.

We are not against privatisation of corporations but the government must understand that this is not only an economical  issue, it is a political issue too, so they should discuss such things in parliament before to prepare  final draft, so the opposition may give some suggestions, he added.

We want to play a positive role for the economic revival of the country, Umar said.

Published in The Express Tribune, September 29th, 2013.

Like Business on Facebook, follow @TribuneBiz on Twitter to stay informed and join in the conversation.

____________________________________________________________

[poll id="1226"]

COMMENTS (82)

SHB | 10 years ago | Reply

@M. Ali: This is not the problem limited to Pakistan. I have seen it more than once in USA. Basic rule is supply and demand in a given area and field. One way out is to provide free service for limited time like six months to build your resume and get your foot thru the door. You could do externship in any bank. If they like your work and personality, they could offer you job down the line. I personally know a person who followed this path and now he is a manager of the bank. Second option is to improve your qualification and go thru the institution for another one to two yrs. I am not in favour of that because it is more costly. Third option is to go to that area where other graduates do not want to go.

This is a temporary phase in your life. Do not be discouraged. Life is full of opportunities. You have to be right person at the right time. So do not loose your heart. I have been thru this kind of mill myself. So keep on trying as if there is no tomorrow. God may help you. Thanks for reading my comment.

SHB | 10 years ago | Reply

Following is for the moderator at ET I received this comment written by INDRA. When I clicked on the news item and checked under the comments, I do not see her comment. What is the reason? This is not the first time I found it that way. Please fix the problem. Thanks

VIEW MORE COMMENTS
Replying to X

Comments are moderated and generally will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive.

For more information, please see our Comments FAQ