Fire brigade or the triple-one!

In Pakistan (for all the right or wrong reasons) the army remains the ultimate arbiter in politics.


Lt-gen R Asad Durrani September 02, 2010
Fire brigade or the triple-one!

Mao’s famous dictum, political power flows through the barrel of a gun, has lost overtime much of its gloss in domestic politics — even in Turkey, despite its constitutional sanctions. Pakistan however is a unique place, where for all the right or wrong reasons – historical, strategic, societal, or geopolitical – the army, even when confined to barracks, remains the ultimate arbiter in politics. Paradoxically, it is when the country is under civilian rule that the people and at times even the presidents, prime-ministers and chief justices, call upon the military to broker power. No wonder that the wiser of the army chiefs avoid assuming direct control.

One day, one of them not only wise but apolitical to the core, looked rather worried. “The only way I can keep the army out is by pleading with the government not to take the country over the brink”; he loudly thought. His pleadings were too loud for the prime minister’s otherwise deaf ears, but he was certainly thinking on the right lines.

When commanding a brigade, I was once ordered to move troops to avert a sectarian clash. My initial reaction was that we were handed over the problem too early — before the civil administration had done its first line duties. It did not take us long to restore order which reinforced my misgivings. In due course, I came to the conclusion that the civilian timings were perfect. Any delay would have only exacerbated the conflict. More importantly, the army succeeded not because of our man-or-firepower but because of its standing amongst the people.

‘Call-in the fire brigade early otherwise the other one, the 111, might come to stay’, became for many of us the mantra to keep the military out of politics. (It predates another doctrine that was premised on the notion that the army was best kept out if it was already in.) Some of us from the pre-Pervez Musharraf era were therefore not too surprised when Altaf Hussain called upon the “patriotic generals” to come extinguish the fire before it went wild. One is a bit astonished though at the furore it has unleashed. Of course, the ones with vested interest in the status quo should be crying murder. Those who in principle oppose army’ dabbling in politics have indeed better grounds. I do, however, have a problem with the “save the system” brigade.

‘An uninterrupted democratic process will in due course cleanse itself’, is a myth that has run its course. Maybe it could, provided there were no structural flaws. Otherwise, it must get further skewed. When every election instead of filtering out the morass throws up a bit more and with every passing moment the system wobbles like never before, it was time this theory of evolution got another look — or else the props under our leaning tower would no longer withstand quakes and tsunamis.

In any case, if the idea was to keep the army out, the remedy is simple: mobilise the civil society against a takeover and the triple one would be held back. It is of course easier to activate the streets and have the fire alarm ringing. Altaf Hussain can do both and what he says therefore matters. What can you do, ladies and gentlemen of the sound and fury brigade?

The late president, Ghulam Ishaq Khan, who had treaded the corridors of power for over half a century, used to say: “Don’t waste time advising the army or second-guessing its actions; these chaps don’t like either”. Some loud thinking was all the same in order. Even if the GHQ did respond to the clarion call, we still would not know what this time around would follow the triple one: a sanitary brigade to cleanse the system, or the engineers to demolish it.

Published in The Express Tribune September 3rd, 2010.

COMMENTS (23)

H Q | 14 years ago | Reply The present equation is a bit disturbing. In principle, I would agree with what Mr. Durrani has written. If things go out of control, we have no option but to dial in to the 111 brigade. However, in the present equation, the balancing power on one side is PPP. On the other side, its Gen Ashfaq Parvez Kayani. Firstly, let us not forget that Gen Kayani was the Deputy Military Secretary to Benazir Bhutto during her last tenure as Prime Minister, which shows that to some extent, Gen Kayani is pro-PPP. Secondly, Gen Kayani also has the credit of being the DG ISI before becoming COAS under his belt. Now wasn't it Gen Kayani who backed up the CJ to file a reference against the then President Mush? Was the CJ alone strong enough to have taken, let alone sustain such stern action against Musharraf? No, there was a hidden force supporting the CJ in his actions. Thirdly, Gen Kayani has clear objectives. By letting PPP stay in the ruling, he is re-building the image of the Pak Army for future, much worse times to come. He's got an extension for 3 years, he's better off as COAS than becoming a Martial Law Administrator or Chief Executive or the President. Being the COAS of the Pakistan Army is by the way, much more blissful and respectful than being the President of Pakistan. He has learned from his predecessors that Gen Ayub became "Kutta" on the streets, by the politics of Z A Bhutto. Musharraf lost everything by imposing himself unnecessarily for longer than needed. He won't make the same mistake. The deal is clear, PPP stays in ruling, they let the Military dictate the foreign as well as internal security policies, and the Army doesn't take over the so called "democratic" Govt. I don't see why the Army would want to take up an extra headache while its already stretched on the Western border, and more than 50,000 troops are involved in rescue/relief efforts. The Pak Army's got better things to do. Gen Kayani is a smart man, he knows Pakistan would accept his leadership with open arms after what the present Govt. has done to the people, yet he won't take over until the ruling Party itself resigns, which won't happen till this country has any wealth left. Altaf Hussain's suggestions have neither made an influence in Pakistan in the past, nor will they effect the way things in Pakistan have to unfold in the near future. Altaf Hussain should let people assume he is a fool, instead of talking and confirming the notion.
faraz | 14 years ago | Reply @Saad Ghulam ishaq was a beurocrat, not a politician. How did he become the chairman senate if he had no suppport from the army? How did he become the president with the powers to dismiss governments? Its not that simple that Ishaq woke up in the morining and dismissed the government; do you think the civilian and military elite didnt want a change of government but was left helpless agains this one old man? And he single handedly dismissed 2 governments, was he an absolute monarach or what?
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