Short-term inflation falls 0.81% WoW

However, mixed price trends push yearly SPI up 0.41%


Our Correspondent May 31, 2025
Market analysts caution that IMF-related measures in the upcoming FY2026 budget—particularly new taxes and adjustments in energy prices—may lead to a renewed spike in inflation. PHOTO: FILE

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KARACHI:

The Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI) for the week ended May 29, 2025 posted a decline of 0.81%, driven by a notable decrease in electricity charges, chicken and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) prices. However, on a year-on-year (YoY) basis, the SPI registered a rise of 0.41%, reflecting mixed trends across food, energy and consumer goods.

According to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), prices of 10 essential items fell during the week, while 14 items saw an increase and 27 remained stable.

The week-on-week (WoW) decrease of 0.81% was primarily driven by several essential items. Notable declines were observed in Q1 electricity charges (-10.10%), chicken (-8.51%), LPG (-2.67%), sugar (-0.25%), milk powder (-0.20%), 2.5kg vegetable ghee (-0.17%), wheat flour (-0.09%), Irri-6/9 rice (-0.07%), garlic (-0.05%) and pulse moong (-0.01%).

Conversely, the week saw a price increase in tomatoes (4.54%), potatoes (2.94%), eggs (2.19%), onions (2.17%), gur (0.77%), bananas (0.73%), mustard oil (0.34%), cigarettes (0.25%), pulse mash (0.22%), pulse gram (0.17%), pulse masoor (0.14%) and broken Basmati rice (0.12%).

On a YoY basis, the essential items recording a significant price increase included ladies' sandals (55.62%), chicken (32.92%), eggs (32.30%), pulse moong (31.45%), milk powder (23.75%), sugar (21.96%), bananas (21.17%), pulse gram (19.66%), beef (17.51%), LPG (16.30%), 2.5kg vegetable ghee (13.67%) and 1kg vegetable ghee (12.76%).

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