Oil rises on signs of easing US-China tensions

Unrest in OPEC members Iraq and Ecuador also supports prices

Reuters October 09, 2019

LONDON: Oil rose on Wednesday following media reports that China was open to agreeing a partial trade deal with the United States, while unrest in OPEC members Iraq and Ecuador also supported prices.

Brent crude was up $0.57 at $58.81 a barrel by 1208 GMT while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $53.11, up $0.48.

Negotiators from the United States and China, the world's top two economies, will meet in Washington on Thursday in the latest effort to hammer out a deal aimed at ending a long-running trade dispute that has slowed global growth.

Tensions between the two sides rose this week as the United States imposed visa restrictions on Chinese officials and placed some major Chinese companies on a blacklist.

China is still open to agreeing a partial trade deal, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday, citing an official with direct knowledge of the talks.

The Financial Times also reported that China was offering to increase annual purchases of US agricultural products as part of efforts to secure an interim trade agreement with Washington.

"Crude oil has, just like other riskier assets, received a boost from news that China is open to accept a partial trade deal," Saxo Bank commodity strategist Ole Hansen said.

"This news comes on top of earlier reports that Turkish troops have moved into Iraq - something that could add to a growing list of geopolitical worries for the oil market."

Turkey said on Wednesday its forces would cross the Syrian border shortly, launching attacks that analysts say could impact the economy of the oil-producing Kurdistan region in Iraq, and energy prices.

Anti-government protests also threatened oil production in Ecuador and Iraq, members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

Saudi Aramco Chief Executive Amin Nasser said on Wednesday there was no doubt Iran was behind September's attacks on Saudi oil facilities, and warned such strikes may continue if there is no concerted international response.

Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said if the US-China talks fail, "the oil price risks suffering a renewed slide because concerns about demand would then increase considerably again, especially looking ahead to the coming year".

Oil will weaken next year to around $50 per barrel due to slowing global demand, the heads of the world's biggest trading houses, Vitol, Trafigura and Gunvor, told the annual Oil and Money conference in London on Wednesday.


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