Study finds Uber's growth slows after year of scandal

The research firm has lowered its forecasts for Uber’s growth for the next several years


Reuters May 15, 2018
The Uber logo is displayed on a screen during the Women In The World Summit in New York City, US, April 12, 2018. PHOTO: REUTERS

SAN FRANCISCO: Uber’s growth has slowed as a series of scandals has allowed the ride-hailing company’s chief US competitor, Lyft, to grab more market share, digital research firm eMarketer said in a report on Monday.

The research firm has lowered its forecasts for Uber’s growth for the next several years. It projects 48 million US adults will use Uber at least once this year, up 18 per cent from last year but well off eMarketer’s earlier forecast of more than 51 million.

EMarketer based its analysis on data from Uber and Lyft, such as trip numbers and app downloads, as well as customer surveys from researchers at JP Morgan and other firms.

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The report quantifies the effect of a series of scandals at Uber last year, which included an internal probe of sexual harassment and workplace behavior; a US Department of Justice investigation into whether Uber managers violated US laws against bribery of foreign officials; a lawsuit by Alphabet alleging trade secrets theft that Uber settled for $245 million; and the departure of Uber’s chief executive officer, who was pushed out by investors concerned about the growing list of problems.

Uber did not respond to a request for comment.

Meanwhile, Lyft has grown quickly, adding more than 160 cities last year, benefiting from Uber’s tarnished image and as a later entry into markets where people are already familiar with ride-hailing services, eMarketer said. On Monday, Lyft said it has 35 per cent of the national ride-hailing market, and in 16 US markets, its share exceeds 40 per cent.

“Uber’s brand image took an even bigger hit than expected as it grappled with a series of scandals and PR disasters in 2017,” said Shelleen Shum, eMarketer’s forecasting director. “Lyft, which had been rapidly expanding its coverage, seized on the opportunity to brand itself as a more socially conscious alternative.”

The research firm said it has lowered its forecast for Uber’s growth every year through 2021, reflecting the company’s competitive disadvantage after last year’s problems. EMarketer’s previous projections pegged the number of Uber users in 2017 at about 44 million, but the actual number ended up being fewer than 41 million.

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Even so, Uber remains the dominant US ride-hailing company. At the end of this year, it will have about 77 per cent of the market, down from 90 per cent in 2016, while Lyft will have 48 per cent, up from nearly 29 per cent, according to eMarketer.

EMarketer’s projections for 2022 show Uber with nearly 74 per cent of customers and Lyft with 59 per cent of ride-hailing customers. Some people use both services.

Lyft operates in roughly the same number of US cities as Uber, as well as in Toronto. Uber operates across the globe, although it has retreated from Southeast Asia, Russia, and China after losing billions of dollars competing with local rivals.

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