
Incidents such as this ensure that the managed instability of the border never drops below a simmer and sometimes come close to a rolling boil. It never actually overtops the pan and descends into small-scale warfare with incursions on the ground by both sides. Somebody on both sides applies the brakes and the border settles back into mutual animosity. Both sides have of late attempted to reduce tensions and there has been recent agreement that bilateral ties can and should be strengthened. Border officials swiftly established contact and dialled back the confrontation.
Guns do not fire by themselves, and somebody somewhere has to give the order to pull the trigger on both sides of the border. That order will have been handed down from above and so on up the chain of command which in theory at least begins and ends with the apex bodies and individuals of both countries. With attempts being made to create protocols to better manage border incidents, there are independent players who have not the slightest interest in peace and stability and some of those players will be in the pockets of vested interests on both sides of the border. So-called ‘irreconcilable elements’ — miscellaneous iterations of the Pakistani and Afghan Taliban and the Haqqani network — will do all in their considerable power to frustrate whatever mechanisms of peace are brokered bilaterally. The border is not going to cool any time soon.
Published in The Express Tribune, April 17th, 2018.
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