Pakistan’s exports are putting the nation’s food security at risk

Food and other essentials for the local consumer first.


Zafar Aslam April 17, 2011



While the country is going through its biggest financial crises led by cost push inflation our business indices reflect that the country is doing better than last years in all its sectors.


Production is up in all major industries, bumper crops and we have excess piles of carry-forward stocks of sugar, rice and wheat. In fact, Pakistan being a net importer of wheat is now exporting wheat.

How can this be when one after the other the country faces multiple crises and acute shortages of sugar, wheat, electricity, gas, petroleum and so on with interest rates touching 17%, and to top it all the number of people forced to live below the poverty line increasing from 25% to 40%?

Our government tells us this is due to the price hike in most essential commodities in the world.

While I tend to agree that prices for imported items will increase due to this factor and its related consequences- but what is happening to our surplus production? The local demand for all the basic food items has dropped due to exorbitant prices in the market along with the reduction in the purchasing power of the common man.

The only reason is that while our countrymen are facing near starvation all excess production is being exported to other countries which may have oil but no food. Prime cases here being Afghanistan and the Middle East who are our biggest consumers.

In order to bring down prices in the country, Pakistan should, with immediate effect, put a ban on export of all basic food items including wheat, rice, sugar, poultry, meat, fish and all vegetable and fruits with a clear warning to all belonging to the production and manufacturing sectors that the ban will remain until the food prices of all these items are brought at a level where the average Pakistani can afford to feed a minimum family of five. As soon as the ban comes into place we will see an immediate reduction in the prices of all consumer based products.

While this may result in a temporary loss of exports of about US1 billion a year it will immediately benefit 160 million people. At the end of the day, the choices we make and the decisions we take are up to us. What is more important — $1 billion or 160 million Pakistanis?

Imposing a ban will immediately release the pressure on the average Pakistani who will be able to feed his family. Meanwhile, the government can concentrate on creating a long term price mechanism apparatus and devise ways of enforcing this apparatus to ensure that the prices do not go out of control in the future.

In Europe, while the basis costs of raw material and petroleum etc is dependent on the international market rate and subject to fluctuations, manufacturers are allowed a maximum of three per cent price increase per year in their costs to cater to inflation and currency fluctuations. However, this is not the case in Pakistan. The government should warn its local producers of fertilisers, pesticides and seed banks that they cannot increase the prices of their material by more than 5-7 per cent per year.

All that is happening now is the big local and multinational companies dictate their prices and at times have imposed increases of up to 100-300 per cent per year without any authority to monitor them. This is bringing in huge profits to their shareholders at the cost of our nation. When has one ever heard of multinationals lose money?

Published in The Express Tribune, April 18th,  2011.

COMMENTS (19)

zafar aslam | 13 years ago | Reply Some readers seem to get he impression that I am anti farmers. Absolutly Not all I am saying is that we should only embark on export of an item when its surplus after meeting the needs of the country. For instance lets take the example of wheat. Pakistan produces about 24 million tons/year If lets say the total population is 160 million or 320 million households of 5 members consuming 2 kg a day then we require about 64000 tons a day/or about 23 million tons/year. So where is the logic of local prices going beyond the already Govt subscribed price of Rs23.5/kilo and where is surplus to justify export?? The same goes for rice,vegetables,meat,poultry,fish and fruits.If there is a surplus why doesn't the govt buy the surplus and sell though its subsidied channels like utility stores at cost to benefit all the people rather than allowing the export where all the profits go to the middlemen, shipping costs,exporters and cheaper prices for the importing country who will otherwise have to pay much higher prices because the freight costs alone from places like USA/Canada/Argentina/Australia are exhorbident needless to say those are rich countries whose residents can afford higher domestic prices. And anyway we are not making much of a profit by exporting since our export prices are only slightly higher than the local prices.
Yousuf | 13 years ago | Reply @Arnold: http://tribune.com.pk/story/150332/engro-increases-urea-price-by-rs70-per-bag/ …i hope THIS article answers your question about “sources/references”, since well researched articles like these can be easily found across dailies and financial dailies alike !, hence supporting Mr Zafar’s claim @Adnan and like-minded critics : There is gross mismanagement and nepotism within Pakistan's regulatory bodies, with the OGDCL scandal being one such example, hence incompetency and nepotism gets the better of them when it comes to handling "industry regulation" matters, agrarian and non agrarian alike!. And lets not kid ourselves when we talk about "farmers losing out" in all of this ..BECAUSE THE FARMERS HAVE ALWAYS BEEN LOSING OUT..because of corrupt and greedy landlords, who also happen to be in the government and who profit from these exports instead!. These are the same people who influence the selection of equally incompetent and corrupt heads of the concerned agriculture regulatory bodies. Also Mr Adnan, unlike you I expect and KNOW that our talk shows organize and plan out their shows, with credible facts and figures, supported by authentic documents, local and global research and testimonials/bytes from prominent and esteemed industry experts. If the concerned authorities got their acts straight, we can easily not only meet our burgeoning local demand, but earn a sizable foreign revenue for the national exchequer through LEGAL exports. This revenue in turn can be used to subsidize farmers, NOT landlords and encourage further MUCH NEEDED research in the sector.
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