Stories from Dr Fahd Rehman
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PTI govt wary as economic situation may aggravate
It is trying to impose fiscal and financial discipline to bring country back on track
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Content and context of IMF programme
Analysts trace historical roots, talk about long-standing structural problems
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GDP growth to remain in 2.4-2.7% range for FY19
Fiscal deficit of 6% is indispensable for Pakistan’s economy
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Sooner or later, country will need IMF programme
Time will tell whether the government is able to solve structural problems to correct balance of payments
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Govt has to ensure consistency of policies to drive growth
Contraction in manufacturing sector will lead to broad economic slowdown
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Pace of macroeconomic stabilisation slows down
Govt looks for alternative means to ease external-sector constraint, avoid political backlash
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Real challenge is to find decent jobs for graduates
Higher discount rate, low development spending will have adverse impact on economy
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Tight fiscal measures may stall nascent economic recovery
Contours of mini-budget reveal government intends to suppress aggregate demand
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New govt has host of options to bridge financing gap
It may consider tapping bilateral sources, go to IMF, float Euro and diaspora bonds
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Govt should prepare home-grown plan to refuel economy
New setup will have to surmount scores of economic, financial challenges