Ripples of liberation: Will Libya and Bahrain go Egypt's way?

The success of these movements remains as foggy as the prospects of a successful transition to democracy in Egypt.

Musabmemon March 24, 2011
The Egyptian army had to face a choice when people took to the streets against a three-decade-long autocratic rule:  make a change or gun down your own people.

Both options worked against the repressive regime; shooting its own people would have further diminished their legitimacy, while allowing a democratic transition would effectively end their power circle.

Eventually, history was made. The liberated Egyptians walked tall; the corrupt leader succumbed to the power of the masses. The dream of democracy now seems not too far. However, history, as glorious as it seems to be for the Egyptians, reveals that democratic transitions whether in South Korea, Chile, Indonesia or the Philippines, have never been painless.

Now the Egyptian revolution is serving a two-fold purpose. At one tier it’s providing a glorious platform to the masses, as means of nonviolent processions to ignite change in otherwise repressive regimes. At another tier it’s providing the leaders with valuable lessons about how to deal with this new era of pro-democratic uprisings.

Saudi Arabia remains apprehensive. Although the population there is not as conducive to systematic mobilisation, given the oil riches of the country and the popularity of the king, the most conservative Arab country remains wary of the US role.

They are carefully monitoring the protests in the neighbouring areas, and reportedly assisting the Sunni leadership in Bahrain to contain the Shiite anti-government movement, given America’s dubious role of late.

The Egyptian revolution is not only prompting people to understand the power of mass mobilisation, but it is also effectively prompting authoritarian regimes on how to learn from the mistakes of Hosni Mubarak and contain such dissidents.

The revolution might have worked for Egypt, however, in case of Bahrain and Libya, the success of these movements remains as foggy as the prospects of a successful transition to democracy in Egypt.
Musabmemon A sub-editor on the National desk of The Express Tribune
The views expressed by the writer and the reader comments do not necassarily reflect the views and policies of the Express Tribune.


Aliya Moeen | 11 years ago | Reply The movement in Bahrain by its both shia and sunni people will surely be successful as we see there is a resolve to sacrifice for the freedom and demoracy - contiuous protests under curfew. Foreign forces from Saudi Arabia and UAE will fail the same way as Indian forces in Kashmir have failed to contain the indegenous movement of Kashmiries. Pakistan Government must not burn its fingers by supporting the Monarchs and support only the peoples movement, as this is the only way of having a sustainable foreign policy. Americans will not be able close their eyes for long from the Saudi/UAE/King atrocities in Bahrain, as they did not move away from supporting the regime in Egypt until they saw the Mubarakism is gone. Bravo egypians who put their childern under the chains of Tanks to prevent the army's move.
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