Inequality and political instability

The deprived can become politically active, and force the political and economic systems to change


Shahid Javed Burki November 02, 2014

Much of the political turbulence that has marked Pakistan’s history can be traced to one economic factor: persistent and growing inequality. It was the fear that the Muslim minority in British India will not have a level playing field once colonial rulers left and handed over power to the Hindu majority that prompted the demand for the creation of an independent Muslim state. Two decades later, it was the perception on the part of the citizens of East Pakistan that they were not treated equally by the politically and economically dominant leadership groups in West Pakistan that led to the demand for greater provincial autonomy.

Inequality comes in many forms. It can relate to the differences in personal and family incomes, to regional differences, to differences among ethnic groups. While this economic phenomenon has received a great deal of academic and policy attention in the West, it has been largely ignored in the developing world.

It has become the focus of recent political discourse in the United States. Some of what is being discussed in that country has relevance for Pakistan. The latest American voice raised to express considerable concern about the long-term consequences of inequality is that of Janet L Yellen, the Federal Reserve chairwoman. Speaking at a conference on inequality at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, she said that “the past several decades have seen the most sustained rise in inequality since the 19th century after more than 40 years of narrowing inequality following the Great Depression”. It was, she continued, “appropriate to ask whether the trend is compatible with values rooted in our nation’s history, among them the high value Americans have traditionally placed on equality of opportunity”.

Yellen focused on four sources of economic opportunity: the means to raise children, access to education, owning a small business and inheritance. Research done at America’s central bank, showed that the distribution of those opportunities was becoming increasingly unequal. For instance, the share of wealth held by the lower half of the households fell from three per cent in 1989 to as low as one per cent in 2013. The state of the ‘bottom 99 per cent’ has become a potent political slogan in the country.

These findings by the United States’ central bank can be applied to Pakistan. Not much serious research has been done in Pakistan on the trends in various manifestations of inequality, let alone what causes them. But the four determinants identified by the head of the US central bank are relevant for Pakistan. The poor in the country don’t have the means to take care of their families. They don’t have access to quality education even when the children of poor households get to attend school.

Persistent inequality has political consequences. In reviewing a number of books on the subject, Mark Vandevelde of the Financial Times noted that inequality causes hardship and has a built-in dynamic that keeps the rich happy and the poor miserable. He wrote: “Give the wealthy too much rope and they will reel in still more money and power, unravelling the ties of social cohesion until a life of ordinary means is made threadbare.” This comment applies very well to Pakistan.

One of the books reviewed by Vandvelde, Inequality and 1%, by Danny Darling presents evidence suggesting that in unequal societies people are less healthy, worse educated, shorter lived and less happy than their more egalitarian peers. Another book, The Rich: From Slaves to Super-Yachts: A 2000-Year History by John Kampner provides colourful details of the lives of the super-rich. For the rich, wealth becomes an intoxicant whose effects are constant through the ages. “It makes people fearful and ruthless, and it distorts their vision until success and self-enrichment look the same.”

The deprived can become politically active, and force the political and economic systems to change. The rise of extremism in the country, persistent violence in Karachi, and built-up grievances in Balochistan are some of the more recent examples of the political consequences of inequality. Reducing inequality, therefore, must be given high priority in shaping public policy.

Published in The Express Tribune, November 3rd, 2014.

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COMMENTS (1)

Mukund | 9 years ago | Reply

There are many countries which are poorer and have more inequality than Pakistan but are much more stable and at peace with themselves. There was no Hindu majority in the subcontinent. People were divided by language, caste, tribes and ethnicity. If there is Hindu majority now, the credit entirely goes to the Muslims.

Your problem is your founding lies. And the subsequent lies to support the original lies that have accrued over 68 years. Heady religious mix and add in this victim hood based narrative you have a warrior state.

Take your claim, the British were going to hand over power to the Hindu majority. It is embarrassing that some one who worked in the World Bank and was a finance minister could write like this. Such mindset is the reason for turbulence. When you don't diagnose correctly, how are you going to treat yourself?

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