Our rivalry with India is rooted in several factors, foremost being the unresolved issue of Kashmir, lingering fear of its hegemonic designs and competing views of nationalism. Besides, Pakistan’s use of asymmetric forces to countervail India’s economic and military preponderance led to India’s contention that Pakistan breeds and exports terrorism. This perception was exploited after 9/11 and got deeply embedded in the Indian psyche after the Mumbai terrorist attack that is alleged to be masterminded by the LeT and secretly supported by elements in the establishment. Nuclear rivalry is another source of tension and distrust.
Despite Pakistan’s sincere efforts to allay Afghanistan’s misgivings, deep distrust characterises the relationship. Kabul refuses to accept the Durand line as the international boundary. The Afghan perception is that Islamabad pursues a dual policy of seeking good relations, while supporting the Taliban directly or discreetly. Unless the insurgency in Afghanistan subsides, Pakistan will remain a villain in the eyes of Afghans. India’s growing influence in Afghanistan, especially close links between their militaries and intelligence agencies, further complicates matters.
Interestingly, Iran and Pakistan consider each other rivals as well as partners in the region. Relations frequently run into trouble with Tehran blaming Islamabad for not being able to contain sectarian violence and not managing the border efficiently. Pakistan could become a battleground for proxy wars between Saudi Arabia and Iran. Another major area of divergence with Tehran is that both see each other supporting rival groups in Afghanistan. Prospects of a breakthrough between the US and Iran on the nuclear issue will hopefully provide relief for Pakistan. A classic demonstration of this indecisiveness is reflected in the way our governments have been vacillating on the Iran gas pipeline project. Moreover, permanent nuclear agreement between the US and Iran could invite the ire of Saudi Arabia with consequences for Pakistan.
China remains an exception as a neighbour with which Pakistan enjoys a close and fraternal relationship. There is considerable strategic convergence on major global and regional issues. There is a broad consensus within political parties and between the military and civilian leadership to forge close ties with China. This relationship also acts as a countervailing force against India’s military and economic preponderance. Pakistan and China will continue to develop strong military, economic, trade and infrastructural links. However, China’s support will be more qualified than in the past due to its expanding global interests and concern about growing militancy in Pakistan and its adverse impact on its Muslim population in Xinjiang.
Despite the great challenges that Pakistan faces, serious efforts should be made in resetting our relations with our neighbours. Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has been consistent in his desire to improve relations with all neighbours. It has been a part of his party manifesto and his personal commitment as well. He realises the benefits that will accrue by its positive impact on the economy and the security situation. Recent history of the European Union and the ASEAN has demonstrated that when neighbouring countries cooperate with one another and seek common goals, individual countries and the region benefit enormously.
However, it would be unrealistic to assume that complete transformation in relations with neighbours could take place in a short span of time. First, because the problems are deep-rooted as explained above and then relations are a two-way traffic. If the other side is disinclined and considers it inappropriate to improve relations for its own reasons, there is not much that can be done, as we are witnessing in the attitude of India. Similarly, President Karzai’s behaviour has been an impediment to building a stable relationship. Despite these difficulties, there are some hopeful signs as India, Afghanistan and Iran are all interested in expanding trade and economic linkages with Pakistan. As India and Pakistan moved towards trade normalisation, two-way trade between them increased by 21 per cent to $2.4 billion in 2012. Bilateral trade with Afghanistan has also increased to $2.5 billion and is targeted to reach $5 billion by the end of 2015.
It is now an especially appropriate time to revisit relations with neighbours. The region is in the midst of what could be described as a transformative moment. With Karzai’s departure and an encouraging turnout in Afghanistan’s presidential elections, a new relationship can be forged with the new leadership. The perception, however false it may be, that Pakistan interferes in Afghanistan’s affairs needs to be erased through more transparency. Similarly, Indian elections also provide an opportunity to improve relations. In Iran, too, there has been a change of guard and President Rowhani is a moderate leader seeking better relations with the US and neighbouring countries. Islamabad should restore the confidence of the Iranian leadership by ensuring effective border management and staying away from proxy wars in the Middle East. Pakistan’s future is linked to globalisation and the international system. If it strictly conducts itself and adopts norms that facilitate that process, it will also contribute to building trust with neighbours.
Published in The Express Tribune, April 9th, 2014.
Like Opinion & Editorial on Facebook, follow @ETOpEd on Twitter to receive all updates on all our daily pieces.
COMMENTS (34)
Comments are moderated and generally will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive.
For more information, please see our Comments FAQ
@unbelievable Karakarom Highway is huge benefit to china as its trade costs will be reduced via gawadar port....and major trade of china from west will travel through this route rather than taking long sea route....this project is enough to make pak-china relation healthy and china is making many power projects in pakistan.........both countries are taking benefits
In spite of all the above comments i wants to share something, Pakistan is a country whr a huge population of Pakhtoon resides, so in case of India there is no fear of any aggression but in case of afghan the state must to step forward using policy "give and take".
@Muhammad Ahmed
You wrote "I wonder why was there a need to craft ‘Cold Start’ "
Keep wondering. Your wonderment comes from pure innocence of heart...
Sure you never heard of "relelentless terrorism on Indian civilians under the nuclear umbrella" strategy.
@Nikki: Pakistan- the authoritative STATE around India? You are joking- Pakistan's authority is not effective even in Pakistan>
The general has spoken out of turn as usual. Wait till the new man in Delhi takes over his seat of Prime Minister and the Americans depart from the land of pure.
Rex Minor
@bala: No Sir: China supplied arms to Sri Lanka an few smaller states . The relationship between Pakistan and China as the former President said, " is deeper the deep oceans and higher than Hamalaya..." So nobody can body can deny that deep bondage .
Sir, for the neighbours to take Pakistan seriously, Pakistan must first put its own house in order, this is vital and understandable. To do this we need men of vision who should have the capacity to put ' Pakistan first ' .....something our leaders are fond of only paying lip-service to.
There is fundamental fallacy in the article. Indians rightfully dont consider Pakistan as neighbor like they feel about Iran and Afghanistan.OTOH, Pakistani think they have say in indian matters. Which they have not.
@unbelievable:
"China’s relationship with Pakistan is economic."
Wrong. The only reason China is "partnering" with Pakistan is to use Pakistan as the destabilizing force against India. The actual trade with Pakistan amounts to peanuts for the Chinese as it is an insignificant percentage as compared to its total global trade and even compared to trade with India.
"Pakistan’s use of asymmetric forces to countervail India’s economic and military preponderance led to India’s contention that Pakistan breeds and exports terrorism."
So what is the need for Pakistan to use these symmetric forces? And you want good relationship with us and water from our land?
@hoshiar singh gill - england: Can you imagine Pakistan,India,Afghanistan,Iran,China,Bangladesh and other neighbouring countries coming to some kind of a common arrangement like the European Union. . Day dreaming at its best. I know you are trying to be optimist but would you just look around for a reality check? Whatever you are smoking veer ji, I want some of that.
@hoshiar singh gill - england: Can you imagine Pakistan,India,Afghanistan,Iran,China,Bangladesh and other neighbouring countries coming to some kind of a common arrangement like the European Union.
"Resetting" relations with India would take Pakistan back to the slaughter of Partition. And as he has started, so the writer continues with a confused, blundering article which has neither a statement of the problem nor an approach to its solution. What comes through is the desperate wriggle of a country which is getting squeezed as a result of its own conduct. Don't expect any solutions from the writer - he is a longtime votary of that very conduct. What a come down, having to preach today the very opposite of what he helped practice while in service, just to augment his pension.
Pakistan is located in a tough neighbourhood WRONG ! Pakistan made the neighbourhood tough through interfering and exporting terrorism. If they become peaceful, the neighbourhood will become peaceful and prosperous.
You do not gauge someone with 'Intent' in Foreign Relations, it is the 'Potential', since intent can change at any moment. Both countries armed to teeth, change in 'intent' can prove catastrophic. I wonder why was there a need to craft 'Cold Start' when a stalemate had been achieved (By the way 'Cold Start' in itself is offensive in nature and not defensive).'Policy of Linkage' works well, when both parties are aligned to same thought, you clap with both hands. In y opinion, on both the sides of border politicians work the same... Use India/Pakistan Card. However, this time Pakistani Government is using this card in a positive manner and i pray that it is reciprocated before the opportunity for the region goes by wailing.
I find it quite amusing how all the indians/hindus/traitors have a field day in expressing their hatred towars my country in the most blunt way possible on this so called "independent unbiased" blog! To be quite ftank it more than often smells of Geo in here.
P.S. to the author: you are wrong on so many levels that i cant even begin to disect ur analysis cuz it wud b suxh a waste of time!
Regards
Freedom fighter
Pakistan’s future is linked to globalisation and the international system. If it strictly conducts itself and adopts norms that facilitate that process, it will also contribute to building trust with neighbours.
@hoshiar singh gill - england: There is only one costomer for Chinese dud military eqipments in the world. That is Pakistan.
India deserves an authoritative STATE around her, keeping in view her past policies toward Nepal and Srilanak, one can say that India will never leave any stone to destablise her neighbors. Foreign policy has several dimensions,it is affected by internal and external enviornment.Pakistan, as complex state, cannot simply apply idealist formula. "Enemy once enemy forever".Factual position is different that would not allow Pakistani policy makers to change their perception too much toward India and Afghanistan. However, Pakistan should avoid to interven in Afghans internal politics.
there is no difference in this article and what is happening or happened as of date. Pakistan cannot get lasting friendship or support unless they are able address key concerns of all there neighbors. Forget Immediate neighbors, Kuwait a "Brotherly Muslim country" is not giving visas to Pakistanis. This should be the mirror showing Pakistan's intentions and capabilities.
Neighbors can always follow kumait any time.
vigilant analysis! laudable effort talat Sb!
I comment only from an "Indian" point of view here, though some of it could well apply to others... this article seems LESS about "resetting" whatever-whatever and MORE about reHASHING the "same-old, same-old" -- point: about India's so-called "hegemonistic" inclinations and how Pakistan has had to deal with it. Its the same kind of mindset that is in line with India being the "eternal enemy" of Pakistan. It is precisely this problem - one of MINDSET that Pakistanis need to change. But what hope can there be even if a dozen elections are held in their neighborhood, when people "in charge" in Islamabad are bending over backwards to accommodate the likes of the same kind of people that have largely contributed to creating this mindset, and are in fact sustaining it as well...???
The only reason that China shows so much friendship is because Pakistan acts like a sunservient state of China and both are able to play their anti-India card. Can the author cite one single commonality of interest with China other than anti-India?
For India, the issue is simple ... the Pakistani leadership thinks that India can not grow its economy without normalizing relations with Pakistan ... India must prove them wrong ... . India's success in this could be a turning point in Pakistan's position towards India ...
It is true. Pakistan needs to improve relations with all its neighbors, but particularly with India. The fact is that Pakistan has a very poor image abroad, even in Muslim countries and friendly relations with its eastern neighbor will benefit it most. With lawlessness and intolerance increasing, India could help by not supporting 'Certain bad elements' in Pakistan.
Masood sahib always presents a well balanced observation on current issues in relation to the Indian sub continent.I wish more commentators can be as dignified,sincere and non partisan in their analysis.Can you imagine Pakistan,India,Afghanistan,Iran,China,Bangladesh and other neighbouring countries coming to some kind of a common arrangement like the European Union.The whole World would respect them.God bless Asia the cradle of human civilisation!
China remains an exception as a neighbour with which Pakistan enjoys a close and fraternal relationship. There is considerable strategic convergence on major global and regional issues. . Rubbish .. China is concerned about Muslim extremist and Pakistan's apparent inability to confine terrorism within it's border and is just as likely to ignore Pakistan's sovereignty as the USA/Iran in order to seek justice/retribution. . China's relationship with Pakistan is economic. They buy large amts of low margin Pakistani yarn and turn that into high margin textiles which they use to compete directly with Pakistan in the high margin textile business. They also use Pakistan as a dumping ground for products resulting in a grossly unbalanced trade relations which costs Pakistan jobs. Nothing fraternal or strategic in that. . As far as convergence of major global issues .. sounds great except that China has never consulted Pakistan on "major global issues" so any "convergence" is at best coincidental.
I thought the author is advocating revisiting Pakistan's foreign policy in order to have better relations with it's neighbors but the article is rather based on confused assumptions. That is the reason, it cannot offer a concrete solution. Unless one goes to the route of the problem, it is difficult to offer a solution. Pakistan must give up it's India centric policy that is formulated in GHQ and instead live like a peaceful nation. It's obsession with Kashmir just because majority population is Kashmiri is weak. It has been following the policy of ZAB of bleeding India with a thousand cuts forgetting that there could be reaction too. It must stop proxy wars that are being fought because the worst affected would be Pakistan. As is evident, it is facing threats from 3 fronts, viz TTP on NW front, BLA on the West & SW front and gang wars in Karachi, which may become difficult to control. Pak govt must have sincere talks with it's 4 neighbors and honestly agree not to support proxies and seek similar guarantees. Peace is the foremost requirement for development, trade and welfare for people. Without it there is bound be chaos and bloodshed. Further disputes other than the one's will come to the fore that will lead to redrawing of geographical boundaries. Reducing foreign policy must be based on such assumptions rather than what the General has described.
Given the current epidemic of anti-Pakistani talk by the Hindu nationalists in India, it is not at all certain that the elections provide an opportunity to improve relations as the author suggests. But they do highlight that the issues of communalism and India-Pakistan relations are closely linked.
@author "Pakistan’s use of asymmetric forces to countervail India’s economic and military preponderance" - and that is not terrorism?
4 of you neighbours (Iran, India, Afg and China) have the same complaint with you - Pakistan breeds and exports terrorism. All of them cannot be wrong at the same time!
So when u raise your hand to accuse others, remember 3 of those fingers point back at you!
The Afghan perception is that Islamabad pursues a dual policy-- preponderance led to India’s contention that Pakistan breeds-- President Karzai’s behaviour has been an impediment---
Every body has bad perception except for the author. Author is implying that all neighbours are off their meds whereas it is very much possible that it is other way around. Treatment begins with correct diagnosis. If it is everybody else’s fault than there is no need for Pakistan to change its course of path of self inflicted implosion. Pakistan is not located in the tough neighbor but is the rough neighbor period. A country that just made another policy mistake of sending non state actors to Syria that will have consequences for decades to come.