Pakistan in a critical balance of payments situation: ADB

ADB's country director says Pakistan will need up to $9 billion from the IMF to cushion the economy.


Reuters March 06, 2013
Werner Liepach, country director of the Asian Development Bank in Pakistan speaks during an interview with Reuters in Islamabad March 6, 2013. PHOTO: REUTERS

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has reached a critical balance of payments predicament and will need another package from the International Monetary Fund before the end of the year to avert a crisis, one of the country's biggest lenders to the country said on Wednesday.

The Asian Development Bank's country director, Werner Liepach, also told Reuters in an interview Pakistan will need up to $9 billion from the IMF to cushion the economy.

Pakistan currently has enough hard currency to cover about two months of imports. Asked if Pakistan, a key US ally, was in a balance of payments crisis, Liepach said:

"It depends how you define a crisis. Maybe we are already in a crisis."

In 2008, Pakistan averted a balance of payments problem by securing an $11 billion IMF loan package. The IMF suspended the programme in 2011 after economic and reform targets were missed. Some analysts have since warned about the prospect of a new balance of payments crisis.

Werner predicted Pakistan would have to go back to the IMF for another bailout to avert a new crisis, this time an amount of up to $9 billion.

The ADB, along with the IMF, has been pushing Pakistan's government to carry out politically-sensitive reforms to strengthen the economy and widen the country's revenue base.

The country owes the IMF just over $6.2 billion. It is due for a big repayment in the first six months of 2013, a schedule that will strain reserves and may accelerate the slide of the rupee currency.

COMMENTS (5)

Abdul Abdullah | 11 years ago | Reply

Don't forget among essential items we receive 55% of Chinas weapons exports

http://tribune.com.pk/story/522600/pakistan-helps-china-become-worlds-5th-largest-arms-exporter-report/

That with our dept 'repayments' swallows the bulk of our budgets and forex and ensures any developmental progress will be minimal.

gp65 | 11 years ago | Reply

@Obaid: "reduce the federal or local government expenditure.. which can be used to repay the loan"

Please recognize that this is a balance of payment crisis i.e. Pakistan does not have enough forex to meet its needs. Cutting down domestic expeses will not help to generate foreign exchange.

"if you cant afford payments and you cant afford the loan then just reduce the expenditure instead of importing so many unnecessary items"

Sane advice which has already been implemented. Pakistan's imports have undergone significant forced contraction. At this time the bulk of the forex outgo relates to debt servicing and import of absolutely necessary items like oil, petrol, fertilisers etc.

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