Keeping in view Pakistan’s Test performances in the desert, it was always on the cards that the hosts would be too hot to handle, and that England would face a stern test against them. However, come the ODIs, the predictions are not exactly the same, and many believe it will be Pakistan who will find it hard to beat England.
The negative sentiment regarding the ODI series seems more to do with an unconscious mindset than reality. To begin with, in some pundits’ mind, there is still a backlog of what happened three years ago — England thrashed Pakistan 4-0 in the 50-over format. Another reason for such predictions can be the recent rise of the English team in the ODIs, where they defeated World Cup runners-up New Zealand and had a more than competitive series with the current World Champions Australia back home.
England's Finn out of first Pakistan Test
But amid all the claims and counter claims of how England will dominate the shorter format, there are many reasons to believe that Pakistan should be able to clinch the series.
If we compare the 2012 series with 2015, the major difference is the team selection.
Seven players were brought directly into the ODI team after a not-so-successful Test campaign in 2012. The retained players were also part of the 2011 World Cup squad, which was organised in the sub-continent, so they were more acclimatised to the conditions in the UAE.
In the current ODI squad, England have retained six players who took at least some part in the Test series. Taylor played only one match in the series of three, whereas, Buttler was dropped after consecutive poor display with the bat after a couple of matches.
In 2012, England’s success in the ODIs was mainly due to four players. In batting, Alastair Cook and Kevin Pietersen contributed 61.8 % of the total runs scored by the English team in the series. If Ravi Bopara, the third-best scorer, is included then the trio scored 72.8% of the total runs for England.
ODI squad announcement: Younus makes comeback for Pakistan against England
In the current team, it’s hard to find anyone other than Joe Root, who encompasses all of what Cook, KP and Bopara had back then. England’s top-three batsmen in 2012; Trott (46), Pietersen (45.5) and Cook (38.5) had considerable averages in Asia, whereas, Bopara had an average of 27 but played as an all-rounder. However, in the current squad, only Root has an average of 51 against spin but he also has played only one series in the Asian conditions (against Sri Lanka), whereas other players have seemed to find it hard on slow pitches and some of them are yet to feature on these turning tracks.
Meanwhile, only two players who were part of the 2012 squad will be featuring against Pakistan this time around — Jos Buttler and Eoin Morgan. Buttler averages 26.5 in eight innings in Asia, with only one half-century. Morgan averages less than 20 in his last 16 innings in the continent, with only one half-century to his name as well. Taylor is good against spin and he has proved that with two scores of fifty in four innings in Asia but this will be a different ball game for him altogether.
In bowling, Steven Finn and Greame Swann were ruthless against Pakistan. Both are not available this time around and the new breed of bowlers hasn’t promised anything much to the English team as of now. England will be relying mostly on Chris Woakes, Chris Jordan, Reece Topley and the spin duo of Moeen Ali and Adil Rashid.
Pakistan, meanwhile, look a far more settled side than they were in 2012. Pakistan team management, three years earlier, experimented a bit too much. For instance, in the first ODI, Pakistan played with Wahab Riaz and Umar Gul as the fast-bowling options, but in the second match, Wahab was replaced by Cheema.
In the first match, Asad Shafiq was used at one-down, in the second he was replaced by Azhar Ali. Shoaib Malik played in the first ODI, and was then dropped for the next two, but was again given a chance in the last match.
Umar Akmal kept wickets in the first two ODIs and Adnan Akmal did so in the next two. Imran Farhat opened in the first three ODIs, but was dropped in the fourth and replaced with Azhar, while Shafiq was reinstated as one-down.
England's Mark Wood out of Pakistan one-dayers
Umar Akmal batted at number six in the first three matches, and was promoted to bat at number four in the last. In the last match, Pakistan went in with only one seamer, with all three Wahab, Gul and Cheema out as Abdur Rehman opened the bowling with Junaid Khan.
Back then there was no clarity in the team plan and the results were horrible in the end. However, in recent times, Pakistan’s team management has learned the value of consistency, and this team is more settled; with players knowing exactly what their role is in the team.
The argument that Pakistan does not have the likes of Saeed Ajmal and Mohammad Hafeez to trouble the Englishmen this time around is also to be considered since Test specialist leggie Yasir Shah is yet to bring the same form with the red ball. However, Pakistan have bolstered their bowling attack with four potential spinners; Yasir, Bilal Asif, Zafar Gohar and Shoaib Malik and all of them can become a potent threat on helping pitches for an opposition which cannot treat spin well.
Cricket is a funny game and one cannot predict what’s going to happen the other morning. However, Pakistan this time seems to be the clear-cut favourites; not because they have already won the Test series, but because of the kind of talent they possess.
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