He has provided continuity in the finance ministry, delivering a budget that most economists could not separate from the policies of the previous government. He has reached out to many of India’s neighbours and has done excellently on this front.
It is argued by some that his changes did not go far enough or were not radical enough. In my opinion, that is not a bad thing. Even if he made some promises to his supporters during the campaign, it is well that he has not put them into execution.
This is often the case in democracies and the unnecessary bombast of the campaign is deflated and a more pragmatic position is taken in office. When Modi was interviewed by Japanese journalists a few days ago, The Hindu carried a report of the PM saying: "There is a tradition of national consensus and continuity on such issues. I can tell you that currently, we are not taking any initiative for a review of our nuclear doctrine."
Why did Modi feel the need to assure the world on this matter in such carefully chosen words? Because this is a frighteningly casual reversal by the Bharatiya Janata Party on an important strategic issue.
During the election Modi had claimed in his manifesto (on page 39) that: "[The] BJP believes that the strategic gains acquired by India during the Atal Bihari Vajpayee regime on the nuclear programme have been frittered away by the Congress.” And so the BJP will "study in detail India's nuclear doctrine and revise and update it, to make it relevant to challenges of current times."
It added: “Our emphasis was, and remains on, beginning of a new thrust on framing policies that would serve India's national interest in the 21st century. We will follow a two-pronged independent nuclear programme, unencumbered by foreign pressure and influence, for civilian and military purposes, especially as nuclear power is a major contributor to India's energy sector.”
Now he has said there will not be review and there will be continuity. Either Modi learnt continuity and consensus in his weeks in office, or he did not mean what he said in the manifesto. I suspect the latter, and it was unnecessary because this was not an issue for voters. It was deliberately thrown in the manifesto to act macho and please his extremist supporters in what passes for India's strategic thinkers’ community. But as I have said earlier, it is a very good sign that he showed flexibility on this and reached out to reassure the Japanese that India would not indulge in nuclear adventurism.
The other issue that the Japanese were eager to receive a clarification on, based on what the press release said, was Pakistan. Here, too, Modi was measured.
"India has no hesitation to discuss any outstanding issue within the bilateral framework that has been established under the Simla Agreement and the Lahore Declaration," he said, “we therefore were disappointed that Pakistan sought to make a spectacle of these efforts and went ahead with talks with secessionist elements from Jammu and Kashmir in New Delhi just prior to the meeting of the foreign secretaries.”
But while he wanted to talk, Modi added that "any meaningful bilateral dialogue necessarily requires an environment that is free from terrorism and violence.”
On a TV debate that I also was on, BJP spokesperson MJ Akbar continued with this theme and claimed talks were called off because of firing along the Line of Control (which actually began after the talks were called off).
The fact is that the BJP doesn’t really want to engage with a country it sees as its enemy and is happy to break talks off with any excuse.
Some of Modi’s other old habits have not gone. One in particular is his absolute hatred of the media. It is true that he is often attacked but he is hardly the only one. From Rahul Gandhi and Arvind Kejriwal to Mayawati and Mulayam Singh Yadav, all have had to face fire. But Modi always makes it personal. In Japan he said after visiting Emperor Akihito that “I brought him a Gita as a gift. I do not know what will happen in India after this. There may be a TV debate on this. Our secular friends will create toofan (storm) asking ‘what does Modi think of himself?’ He has taken a Gita with him that means he has made this also communal.” He added "Anyway, they (the media) should also have their livelihood and if I am not there then how will they earn their livelihood?"
This was uncalled for. Nobody in India objected to his giving Akihito the Gita, and for Modi to dismiss all criticism of him as being motivated is wrong.
Aside from his inflexible attitude to these two enemies of his, Pakistan and the media, Modi has done well in his first 100 days. He has won many fans around the world and brought in an element of sobriety and continuity that the markets have enthusiastically cheered.
Published in The Express Tribune, September 7th, 2014.
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COMMENTS (42)
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Why did ET censor my comment about my homeland, Kashmir? Are Kashmiris not allowed to give their voice about issues which concern us on this website? Shame.
@Strategic Asset: Brilliant!
@Rehman: Your assessment is incorrect. Modi has nothing to do with it. In the short run Modi can't interfere in militancy & counter insurgency matters with the Army beyond a point. But, I think in due course Modi will actually improve matters in Kashmir, including for Muslims. Here is how:- There are certain areas in India that are called "disturbed areas" & there Armed Forces (Special Powers) Act, 1958 operates. This means there many regular laws & Rights are suspended. Nothing unique about it. This was so in UK during IRA trouble & it may well be so in case of Pakistan. The provisions give a bad press to India. Modi wouldn't want this to continue for long. He will need some time before entering into arrangement of a permanent truce with locals without involving the neighbours & once he succeeds in that he will get this Draconian Act withdrawn for sure. A period of peace, leading to some development, & he will succeed. That's why he needs to win as many seats as possible in J&K Assembly for his Party to ensure his voice has credibility with non-Hindus too. He will cause damage to India in other ways but that's another story.
@sudeep: What makes you think Mr. Lee is Chinese?
You are wasting your breath on a troll. In an earlier post on this very page, he refers to Indian Generals in our GHQ when the fact is neither India nor China has a GHQ, only Pakistan does.
Aakar Patel, still up to your old mischief-making tricks I see! I was wondering that you seemed to have become very subdued....
You said: BJP spokesperson MJ Akbar claimed talks were called off because of firing along the Line of Control (which actually began after the talks were called off)
Now, the talks were called off on 18-Aug. Here's an abbreviated timeline:
11-May: Times of India says "Pakistan again violates ceasefire along LoC in Poonch" 19-May: Indian Express says "Ceasefire Violation Again - Army jawan killed two others injured in ak firing along LoC" 13-Jun: Indian Express says "Ceasefire violation: Pakistani forces fire mortars along LoC in Poonch and Rajouri, Indian forces retaliate". Rediff says "Heavy Firing Along LoC as Pak violates ceasefire" 22-Jul: New Indian Express say "Army Jawan Killed in Pakistani Firing Along LoC" 17-Aug: Deccan Chronicle says "Unprovoked firing by Pakistan rangers along LoC, BSF jawans retaliate"
And ON and ON and ON. Have some self-respect and at least get your facts straight, Monsieur Patel....
http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/ceasefire-violation-again-army-jawan-killed-two-others-injured-in-pak-firing-along-loc/ http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/pakistani-forces-open-fire-along-loc-in-poonch-and-rajouri-indian-forces-retaliate/ http://www.rediff.com/news/report/defence-news-heavy-firing-along-loc-as-pak-violates-ceasefire/20140613.htm http://www.deccanchronicle.com/140817/nation-current-affairs/article/unprovoked-firing-pakistan-rangers-along-loc-bsf-jawans http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Pakistan-again-violates-ceasefire-along-LoC-in-Poonch/articleshow/34960087.cms http://www.newindianexpress.com/nation/Army-Jawan-Killed-in-Pakistani-Firing-Along-LoC/2014/07/22/article2343605.ece
@Mr. Lee: Nope, Mr. Lee.
The China slowdown has already begun, due to a set of factors (demography, excessive investment led growth, slowing world economy, inability to climb the technology ladder despite rampant IP theft, etc.). I know you will deny all this, as it flies into the face of your illusion - but facts are facts.
On the other hand, India's rise is just beginning. We will overtake China's growth rate by 2018, and then - its game on. We have a very favorable demographic dividend just starting, both US and Japan itching to invest money and technology, a booming internal market, and rapid urbanization/industrialization - just about all the factors that led to rise of China 3 decades ago.
Few decades of higher growth, and it will be India's century. Just wait.
@Rehman: "What about Indian barbaric actions as well as violations of human rights in Kashmir that has been increased since Modi came into power. Yet international watchdog is silent on killings of innocent Kashmiris by Indian forces. "
If anything, barbarism is the hallmark of the mullahs, military and the street thugs in Pakistan. But, for your information, the "barbarism" of which you speak against the Kashmiris by India appears like a God-sent boon to our Kashmiri brethren compared to the barbarism committed in Pakistan against minorities such as Hindus, Sikhs, Parsis, Christians, etc., not to forget the Shias, Ahmedis, etc. What are you doing about that, Sir? You seem to lose your voice when the world, not just India, points to the barbarism and butchery committed by Pakistanis against its minorities whose population has drastically dwindled since partition. I hope you have the decency to be honest and reflect on what is happening in the "land of the pure". By the way, barring a few fringe extremists who are disgruntled for personal reasons, the majority of Kashmiris would like to live in peace in the Indian framework because that is the only way to progress and prosperity for them. But can we also talk about Kashmiris in Pakistan occupied Kashmir where they have absolutely zero rights and have a puppet "Prime Minister" who is subservient to Pakistan.
@Lolzzzzz: What makes you think that your posts are not worth blocking? Everybody goes through such rejection. What is so great about you?
@Mr. Lee: First let's how your Communist regeim will hold on to it's own territory starting with HK, then matter of others separating. You can't keep people together on gun point for too long. I will give 20 years for China to disintegrate.
@Rakib: Certainly Mamohan Songh did what you say he did. As a person represending 850 million Hindus among others, that was hi duty and we give him credit for that. Raj's point however not directed to Manmohan Singh but people like Sagarika Ghosh, Manish Tewari and so on.
@Strategic Asset: I agree with most things you say but wanted to provide some factual corction.
Manmohan met Gilani not Zardari at Sharm-El-Sheikh. No dossiers were provided on Balochistan. What happened is that Balochistan was included in the joint statement and Ondians demanded to know why. He said Pakistanis have conerns and I said send me the data I will look at it. Even Mr. Kaira who was information minister then and part of the team drafting the joint statement ,has confirmed recently that no evidence on Balochistan ahs been proided to India though Pakistani concern has been communicated.
@Who: Please read my first line once again. Loyalty to India does not mean loyalty to Modi by any stretch of the imagination.
I am not a Modi supporter, but having said that I have not seen a single misstep by him yet. In the first 100 days, Modi has built a special economic and military alliance with Japan, got $35 billion from Japan for infrastructure development, signed an elusive nuclear deal with Australia, got started on cleaning the cesspool that is the Ganga, spurred capital investments in industries and particularly manufacturing, reduced the deficit, ensured that he is more pro-active about inflation of food-related items compared to the previous government and so on.
@who What makes you think the ET moderators are NOT blocking most Indian comments about Akar Patel? My honest assessment of Aakar Patel never see the light of the day for example.
@Rehman: what human right violations that you keep trumpeting about? Is it that, when you keep repeating slander and falsehood, you think it will someday be the truth? Let's talk about human rights in the recent events. There is a big loss of life and property because of the heavy rains in Kashmir? Who came to the Kashmiri's rescue? It was the Indian Armed Forces and the Central Government of India. What did the jokers in Hurriyat or the PDP or Congress do? You guys know to complain, never have you did anything constructive.
@Who: You are putting words in my mouth. Please read my first line once again. Loyalty to India does not mean loyalty to Modi by any stretch of the imagination.
I am not a Modi supporter, but having said that I have not seen a single misstep by him yet. In the first 100 days, Modi has built a special economic and military alliance with Japan, got $35 billion from Japan for infrastructure development, signed an elusive nuclear deal with Australia, got started on cleaning the cesspool that is the Ganga, spurred capital investments in industries and particularly manufacturing, reduced the deficit, ensured that he is more pro-active about inflation of food-related items compared to the previous government and so on.
@Strategic Asset:
You told Akar Patel this:(As an Indian you should have known that except that your loyalty seems to vacillate.). You make a very serious personal charge against him. Surprise moderator allowed this against own op-ed-writer. This the way taught by Modi that anybody who does not agree with him has shaky loyalty to India.
@Raj - USA: (ET: Resubmitted, please publish) Contrary to what you aver, Patel or Media did not consider it communal when Modi gave INR 41 million worth Sandalwood & Ghee to the Temple in Nepal. Here Modi was playing mischief. He knows the following very well:-A case was lodged in Federal Court in Tomsk, Russia in 2011 to ban Gita as translated by AC Bhaktivedanta Swami. This was based on erroneous & motivated findings of Tomsk State University that it preached racial intolerance & promoted violence. It was Manmohan Singh as PM & SM Krishna his minister who took up the matter with Russians, presented translated Gita to Putin & Medvedev, all the while working up support among Russian intellectuals. By 2012 the verdict was in India's favour. Nobody in Indian media back then questioned MM Singh's credentials, secular or otherwise, nor was he particularly applauded. He was paid to do his job anyway.
What about Indian barbaric actions as well as violations of human rights in Kashmir that has been increased since Modi came into power. Yet international watchdog is silent on killings of innocent Kashmiris by Indian forces.
ET: 2nd try. Why the bias?
@Author: No one in India cares about the bawling neighborhood kid that is constantly seeking its attention. As an Indian you should have known that except that your loyalty seems to vacillate.
The choice of word that Modi used provides the key. He saw that Pakistan would make a spectacle of the talks and he is absolutely right by past precedence. For instance, when Zardari met Manmohan Singh at Sharm-el Sheikh, he said that he had provided a dossier of Indian activity at Baluchistan and that Manmohan Singh had agreed to look into it which was only reported in the Pakistani media and which Pakistanis still cite though no such information came out from the Indian side. Similarly, Musharraf met Vajpayee and later touted his Chenab Formula which no Indian PM will ever agree on but which Pakistanis portray as an agreed upon solution. Thus it makes little sense for Modi to meet anyone from Pakistan when the sole purpose of such a meeting is to earn brownie points at home.
Modi will improve economic condition in India, as he has a majority and also comes from a working class family. On his relation with Pakistan, he will talk with a different approach. MMSingh came from Pakistan and always thought we two are the same people. That is only partly true. I hear this story from an Indian diplomat. Before leaving for Islamabad in 1980, he called on the then Pakistan high commissioner to India. He asked, “I know what to say to our friends across the border. Tell me what I should not say.” He says that he has never forgotten the reply he received. “Never say that we are the same people. We are not. If we were, then why did we part company in 1947?” I think Modi knows that.
@Raj - USA: You say:(Had Modi not said the above, if not anyone else, Aakar Patel himself would be writing this article blaming Modi for giving Akihito the Gita).Modi was playing mischief. He knows the following very well:-A case was lodged in Federal Court in Tomsk, Russia in 2011 to ban Gita as translated by AC Bhaktivedanta Swami. This was based on erroneous & motivated findings of Tomsk State University that it preached racial intolerance, was subversive literature & promoted violence. It was Manmohan Singh as PM & SM Krishna his minister (hardly a noise from VHP/Bajarangis or BJP-RSS) who took up the matter with the prosecutors thru Russian government, presented a proper Russian version of Gita to Putin & Medvedev seeking their immediate intervention while working up support among Russian intellectuals. This became a cause celebre! By 2012 the verdict was in India's favour. Nobody in Indian media then questioned MM Singh's credentials, secular or otherwise, nor would any have done now.
@Mr. Lee: So was China.
@Mr. Lee: India and Pakistan will soon become colonies of China. Your people have always been subjugated by outsiders.
Don't forget that China itself has been subjugated many times by tiny Japan.
@raw is war:
Keep dreaming. Our country is the next superpower and your Generals in GHQ are already befriending us.
@Rangoonwalla: I will certainly keep you in mind when I am in the market for such products..
His focus internally has been on - improving transparency because people are fed up of corruptin - ending policy paralysis: the files are now moving - focusing on sustainable inclusion through initiatives like Jan Dhan Yojana, Digital India and soil health card schemes for farmers
Externally - in the neighborhood he has proactively worked with neighboring countries like Bhutan, Nepal, Bangladesh to address China's string of pearls policy to encircle India - he has clear focus on economic issues as far as other countries are concerned. Each meeting with world leaders is made with proper planning and is result oriented e.g. BRICS bank, commtment of $35 billion in development projects by Japan, signing nuclear deal with Australia
At this time Pakistan is not priority. There is no one in Pakistan's civilian world who is capable of implementing agreements - as has been obvious through non- imolementation of agreements on trade and visa. As far as mainstream media that attacked him for12 years - he simply ignores them and talks to ordinary Indians directly.
"In Japan he said after visiting Emperor Akihito that “I brought him a Gita as a gift. I do not know what will happen in India after this. There may be a TV debate on this. Our secular friends will create toofan (storm) asking ‘what does Modi think of himself?’ He has taken a Gita with him that means he has made this also communal.” He added “Anyway, they (the media) should also have their livelihood and if I am not there then how will they earn their livelihood?”
This was uncalled for. Nobody in India objected to his giving Akihito the Gita, and for Modi to dismiss all criticism of him as being motivated is wrong."
Had Modi not said the above, if not anyone else, Aakar Patel himself would be writing this article blaming Modi for giving Akihito the Gita.
@Mr. Lee:
Your country will perish and breakup after worker/separatist revolution. Always happened in China every 200 years.
@Pasrur wala: Yup that is how it will all go. Question is what can you do about it?
@WB: WB 'water bottle' truth is painful is it not?
@Deepwater: What Indian interests at WTO? Are we talking buying toilets? You buy them from Vietnam or China. Much much cheaper.
I don't think Modi considers media his enemy - that is too strong a word. He has some disdain for the traditional medial but mostly he has just no use for it. Modi is a savvy user of the social media and has the rare ability of talking both extemporarily as well as connect with his audience at a level that they can relate to. As such, traditional media with its talking heads and all-knowing interpretative pundits, is of no use to him. I used to think that Obama was a good speaker but Modi even makes him seem like a novice.
Likewise, calling Pakistan an enemy is too strong a word. Hostile nation with hostile elements, yes. Enemy, no. If he pursues peace, he will do so when he thinks the time is right and will do so effectively. More importantly, he will take his nation along if he has to make any tough decisions. Right now Pakistan is not a priority since it is a country in turmoil and needs to sort itself out. So his focus has been unrelentingly on economic international partnerships and protecting Indian interest at the WTO.
There is something,...General Suhaga Singh[?] is complicit in the border incidents. Regardless of what is said, the generals need their perks and their after retirement jobs. Plus they are somehow related to each other...They are each others in laws? Cousins? So every now and then they fire some mortar, machine guns, and manage to kill some Pak women and their children working in the fields. Mighty Indian Army! Supposedly they obey! their civilian masters.......
As the esteemed author noted: '..talks require an environment free from terrorists' Exactly! How True! On the dot!....The BJP extremists will not allow talks. The Hindu Talibans are deeply entrenched. They have a voice. And a facilitator, called Modi and a doer called Amit Shah. [the one who is out on bail for murdering Muslims] There you have it,.. The Threes. The Hindutva philosophy, Hindustan is for hindus only. Modi to put the theory/philosophy in real time. By passing laws, formulating, a 'Mission Statement' And Amit the doer, the man who will accomplish the 'Final Solution' There... tidy package.
Media - including Aakar Patel - specialised in Modi bashing for last 12 years. They behaved almost as paid agent for Congress. Inspite of this he is not going for revange. He is only keeping media at arms length.
It is not only Modi, a large section of the educated urban population in India do not have any faith in the Indian media, dominated by the western educated liberal pseudo intellectual elites, who failed in their duty to serve the people, by actively pushing the agenda of a particular section of the political class in the past ten years.
Modi has to earn his livlihood too. Keep the extremists happy, keep doing the sabre dance. The hindutva flame is shielded by the Saffron Lord himself The bombastic statements and promises, made during the election frenzy to zealots and newly minted adherents to BJP, are showing their true hollow faces. These promises were hard to keep. They were never meant to be kept. And since the much awaited economic miracle has not happened, What to do? Well, that's where Pakistan comes in. The old bogey man. And the tried and true border clashes. Instigate them, then stand horrified. Gives another two month lease to promises.
You have been truthful about Modi on many issues. Did you vote for him? Come clean. How do you define "actually"? You claim "actually" shelling along LoC after the talks were called off.
Next, when Modi meets Mian-ji, he should gift a copy of Gita, the one translated into Farsi, by none other than, Dara Shikoh.
He should inscribe the front page, with the following verses by Mirza Ghalib: 'Har ek baat pey kehtey ho tum, ke tu kya hai. Tumhin kaho key, Yeh andaaz-e-guftugu kya hai?'
Ragon mein daudtey phirney ke, Hum nahin kayal. Jo ankh hi se na tapkaa, To lahu kya hai?'
India and Pakistan will soon become colonies of China. Your people have always been subjugated by outsiders. Bound to happen again.