The protestors demanded electoral reforms and removal of Dr Mossadegh. As suspected, Dr Mossadegh was soon overthrown, and the Shah of Iran was reinstated as the monarch. Years later, it was found out that underneath the sham of election rigging, the US and the UK had toppled the Iranian government under Operation Ajax because of the Iranian government’s decision to nationalise Iran’s petroleum industry which was going to be a major blow for the UK’s economic interest in the region.
Same script, but different country, 60 years later. For social media pundits, and certain media groups, the current protests in Pakistan are about electoral rigging and bringing about a ‘change’ in Pakistan. For the innocent protesters on ground, yes indeed! However, the reality is shrouded in dense layers of fourth-generation warfare (economic and media). Beneath this rhetoric of an ‘Azadi March’ against the corrupt structure is an activity aimed at destabilising the very government which is going against the economic interest of certain global powers, national institutions and ambitious political leaders who can’t wait for their turn.
The ideal way to explain this is that the local ambitions of Imran Khan and a couple of other politicians, coupled with interests of the establishment, matched the international economic ambitions of foreign powers, thereby instigating the current crisis. Imran might not even realise it, but the way with which he is being played in the hands of external actors through local mediators is startling.
What exactly is going on needs a bit of out-of-the-box thinking and a read in history. The UAE is running out of oil, Dubai is already barren. The only thing Dubai is surviving on is its strategically-placed port that still provides a hub for trade. The ‘sin’ of the new PML-N government is that it has generously opened itself up to China, which is rapidly investing and developing the country.
With an estimated 80 per cent of all the international trade being conducted with China, the first country to suffer will be the UAE. A major chunk of its port operations will be shifted to Gwadar.
Now, a country that has its entire survival on its port becoming redundant in a few years would certainly be worried. Hence, for those who understand geo- politics and economics, fracturing the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is at the key of the ongoing demonstrations. And interestingly, this time it’s not the US that has a problem, nor the UK or India. In fact, it’s the Arabs of UAE that have a serious cause of concern from the ongoing massive projects between China and Pakistan, and the opening up of Gwadar port.
Those who think that all this is part of conspiracy theory, let me take the pleasure to remind you of a recorded history of the regime changes, now declassified under the Freedom of Information Act, led by the United States. Foreign powers have been involved in the overthrow of democratically-elected governments since the dawn of history.
Politics is all about economic interests. Rarely, if ever, revolutions are caused for ideological reasons. However, to mobilise the public, sensational and emotional messages of ‘change’ ‘democracy, and ‘freedom’ are thrown in as a cover or economic interests to charge up the mob. Why else would thousands of Pakistanis come out against the PML-N government if they had even a hint of what has happened in postcolonial nations in terms of regime changes by the Western powers?
It’s disappointing to see that even after 67 years of independence, this country is still under economic imperialism and under the fourth-generation warfare where media is the key element. Those who support democracy are labelled as badshahs and those that have partnered with the dictators are painted as ‘revolutionaries’.
Published in The Express Tribune, August 23rd, 2014.
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COMMENTS (47)
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@ObserverUSA: It seems you did not read the article.
@Nauman: "...Anyone who knows Imran Khan even if they dont agree with this politics know very well that he loves Pakistan to death and will never take any steps against its interests......"
That must be the reason why this 61 year old man, all these years, couldn't find a suitable woman, in the whole country, to get married to.
What a patriot!
If writers, as the one of this article, are the special assistants to the Minister of Planning, Developments and Reforms, then i see why we lack any planning or developments and doesnt want any reforms in this country! God save us from such conspiracy theorists. Either you dont understand what happened in Iran 61 years ago or you dont understand what is happening in Pakistan right now. i think your understanding of either the events are zero!!
So you've no facts to report or support your claim? great job...on writing nothing.
Started off so strong and in the end delivered nothing but an extremely sketchy conspiracy theory that hardly makes sense. Sounds like a desperate effort to save the skin of his masters.
The writer seems to be lacking an understanding of current events. The pakistan military has always been close to China and Musharraf, PPP government, current government and future PTI government will all carry out china projects regardless of who is in power.
RSS protested in favour of NS this week - this should be alarming for any Pakistani!
Anyone who knows Imran Khan even if they dont agree with this politics know very well that he loves Pakistan to death and will never take any steps against its interests. Infact china rather have Imran in power who they know wont be asking for commissions for every single project and their money will be well invested.
@Cool Henry: Do you think that the Pakistani army will permit this ?
The writer is a special assistant to the federal minister of planning, development and reforms. If this is the level of intellect people working there have no wonder Pakistan is in the mess that we are in. Incompetence blamed and mixed with an international conspiracy! A country that can't balance its budget and borrows from the IMF and Worldbank and then we blame it on international players.
@ObserverUSA: like they did on 21 sep 1999...Kindly read the press release of that date
We do want prosperity of Pakistan but do not want all the wealth from Pak china projects to be shared by 2 families only. If Shareefs are so sincere in Pakistan's progress why don't they bring there wealth here. At least they could have put other corrupt people to test. Do you honestly think that if a talented politician rises from the ranks of PPP or PML-N he or she has a chance of becoming prime minister. I would really like to hear about how the entire world is conspiring to preventing these things from happening.
Conjectures and flight of fantasy does not make an analysis. Dawn should not allow such articles to be published. This is a childish article where arguments are not backed by facts.and unrelated events have been linked together to come to a wrong conclusion
Not fully agree but u cannot ignore this strong factor.destablize balochistan & karachi historically benefit only & only dubai uae (plz do little research regarding karachi & Gawader port u will identify this bad game surely)
@ObserverUSA: Dear ObservaUSA, I cannot argue with your logic, but whenever America is involved logic goes out of the window. In comparatively recent times the US has attacked or invaded over 50 countries for unimportant reasons, if you consider a wish for world wide imperial dominance and economic hegemony unimportant. You may have noticed that America has created dreadful mischief in Serbia, Afghanistan, Iraq three times, Syria, Libya, African countries, Ukraine, and of course is seriously involved in Palestine genocide, and Pakistan. I cannot understand why America was and still is involved in all these dreadful activities, but I think greed at the highest corporate level, together with unnamed groups, may explain it. However, moving on, Hussain Nadaim has not accused the US of wishing to bring down the PM, but the US is actively ignoring the fact that serious electoral fraud has taken place, and therefore is interfering with Pakistan political affairs..
This is ridiculous. Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states are major allies of Nawaz Shareef. China and Turkey are friendly with both PMLN and PTI. Imran Khan is supportive of Gwadar and also Pakistan's economic future.
These PMLN idiots believe that only they can guarantee the future of Pakistan, by lining their own pockets with kickbacks from private contracts. PTI and its backers are Nationalists and support these projects, but are against corruption.
No doubt, US, UK, India, Israel, Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE are all very nervous about Gwadar port in Pakistan. A strong Pakistan will mean they cannot force their own will on Pakistanis like they have been doing since 2001.
This is outrageous, utterly nonsensical and totally scandalous. Those who knows UAE, will surely question state of mind of this guy. UAE islands are physically occupied by a neighbouring country and still they are trying to sort it out peacefully (even though their are a lot of enemies of neighbouring country which can be used against it). Secondly another brotherly country is using Brotherhood (Ikhwan) against them as proxy but still they are trying to defuse the situation diplomatically and not retaliating in same way. This writer
History provided is praiseworthy but my dear rest you have just shared opinions no facts just mentioning economics and Geo politics without providing evidence supporting That geopolitics can be expected but if that is in play what is the proof that links these protests to that
Pakistanies need not enemies as its society is divided in lot of factions each one thinks he is only loyal pakistani and conspiracies are part of Politics,hope the writer has received his share from PMLn and now he is proving his loyality to his masters,blaming UAE is against norms of Politics...thanx a lot ali
This article doesn't make any sense. Did the model town operation which killed 16 innocent people and injured 89 plus people also conducted by the UAE operatives?? I am not from PTI but we should give the credit to IK who is highlighting indigenous problems. Wht kind of democracy is this where the rulers kills scores of people and scot-free?? Coz they r ultra rich and have friends in judiciary and corrupt bureaucracy????
"With an estimated 80 per cent of all the international trade being conducted with China, the first country to suffer will be the UAE." whole article is based on false evidence. China's international trade has nothing to do with UAE. UAE is only a business hub for the Gulf. 90% of chinese trade is with US/Europe/Japan. how does it pass through UAE. Gawader for china is only good to avoid any future problem is South China sea or Strait of Malaca. Nothing to do with UAE.
@ajay gupta: A good enemy is better that a foolish friend. You are very wise and avoid to admit the fact that some puppets with strings abroad are dancing to the tunes of their masters. Rest assured INSHA ALLAH nothing will happen to PAKISTAN and continue to sore the eyes of her enemies.
There is another out of box approach... actually NS is behind all these sit-ins bcoz his popularity was drowning and he need elite club support so he ignited and agitated TUQ and IK by doing 'model town killing' and not opening 4 constituencies. I think this theory is close to reality isnt it. What a big bluff.
It' is extremely ridiculous to mention such type of article . Pti and pat already mention these thing in their agenda . Nw it's time to have good govenerance not like present one
Round and round and round. Nothing but unsubstantiated theories.
Really a new angle to se the situation. To one side seems true
Spin spin and more spin. According to you and many other writers, Pakistanis are simply incapable of standing up for their rights, or protest peacefully or demand justice. According to you, anyone but the Pakistanis are behind these protests. This shows more your opinion of your fellow citizens than anything else.
71% of UAE's total GDP comes from non-oil sectors. So your theory needs to be taken with a grain of salt.
How can this be the only logical conclusion that powerful states have destabilized weaker states for their own economic gains? If you would have used US instead of UAE in your conspiracy theory it would have made it more believable!
By the way the article says that you are Special Assistant to Federal Minister at the Ministry of Planning, Development & Reforms. We can be rest assured then, that this spin is going to be official then in the coming days!
What a brilliant article! This govt is really standing upto world powers and their imperial economic interests. In addition to opening up the Gawadar port, they are also borrowing billions of dollars from IMF & World Bank......oops! Now wait a minute, aern't IMF and World bank also tools of this imperial economic order? No way, the writer knows his history too well to make a blunder like this. After all, he is the special assistant to Federal Minister of the Ministry of Planning,Development & Reforms. Smart people there.
This is all a bit thick. Do you really believe the Arabs and the UAE are out to destabilize Pakistan? These states have not been sitting still all these years and for some (like the UAE and Kuwait, for example), income from their (non-oil) investments around the world contribute a fair percentage to their total income. When oil runs out, the nationals of these countries would be fine, it would be the foreign workers who would find themselves without jobs. What is of concern, however, is given your current position in the Government, you could be reflecting thinking in some official quarters.
Dear writer, Dubai has a plan called vision 2020, to have 20 million tourists every year and this year in the first half they crossed 5.5 million tourists.They have planned ahead for their future without oil and for your information it's not just port but mainly tourism.
This bit is rather worrying me that whether you live in Pakistan or some other world "rapidly investing and developing the country". Reality is Gawadar is in Baluchistan, which is asking for independence and the PM has not even visited the province even once nor initiated any political process as usual. We have no faith in your economic vision and the people are a bit too wise for a PMLN govt to fool around like the 90's.
" It’s disappointing to see that even after 67 years of independence, this country is still under economic imperialism and under the fourth-generation warfare " +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Sir the list of aspects that disappoint is long: state sponsored terror, polio, lack of education and health facilities for the citizen, corruption, dictatorship and so on. one could ask, what independence?
@mohammed......i have no desire to see pakistan vanish....after all pakistan makes us look & feel so good! as for my wishing to see it disintegrate, pakistan is doing a wonderful job by itself....without any help from anyone!!
@Leela4fun: Your sarcastic comments speak aloud what you mean to say. ........... Be assured every country has right to safeguard its interests and the present day interests are economy-------- a strong economy and the Gwadar will not only strengthen PAK economy but also boost the CHINESE one as well. In the backdrop of ongoing agitational politics here, it is evident that foreign hand is there...........be it USA, UK, Israel, UAE or many more to name!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! to destabilise our economy which was staggering to stand up and move.
Now i know why all Pakistani call themselves Arabs ....
@ObserverUSA:
I think the writer is blaming UAE government, not the US or UK.
"And interestingly, this time it’s not the US that has a problem, nor the UK or India. In fact, it’s the Arabs of UAE that have a serious cause of concern from the ongoing massive projects between China and Pakistan, and the opening up of Gwadar port."
Wouldn't the Arabs be closer than the Chinese, because of the ummah? Maybe Pakistan should have ceded the Gwadar port to UAE, rather than China.
@ajay gupta: Your views expressly vouch for what India wants?????????????? Our rulers as well as other stake holders have never come out clearly about Indian involvement in Baloch insurgency and supply of not only material, logistics but training along with financial support to them Only Gen Janjua or someone else from had spoken about foreign hand and recovery of armaments from the terrorists/insurgents of same make, but he too did not name any country thouugh he meant to say but may have restrained due to some official constraints. Gupta continue to live in fools paradise and live with day dreaming to see PAKISTAN vanish or disintegrate. The views expressed in the article are very much mind blowing. The Chinese work is irksome many countries including India.
Interesting take on Pakistan summer of discontent but not necessarily true. However it is good to see on this occasion India is not the devil in this drama.Pakistan has to undergo a radical shift before it can progress further so let's see if this is the expected renaissance
you are daydreaming about the prospects of gwadar port. it would b a long time b4 it becomes operational, then it has to build up business, & then sustain it amid the insurgency in balochistan. provided, of course, that balochistan is still a part of pakistan! & by then, the UAE would have long reinvented itself. The conspiracy theory has not worked for most times in pakistan!
thats what exactly i thought some international powers do not want to see economic development in Pakistan
This means Imran Khan and Qadri are doing UAE's bidding? Author is doing nothing but spinning a conspiracy theory. Usually US is known for such acts and chances are high that its USA again doing the job. Definitely not UAE and Arabs.
Very well articulated article !
All Pakistan has to do is enable and facilitate normal - or even accelerated - trade and commerce as well as travel and tourism between India, Pakistan and Afghanistan. Then wait and watch a lasting peace take hold.
I hope we going to put the interests of Pakistan First. Think if the roles were reversed no Arab country would put Pakistans interests before its own and Pakistanis fall over themselves to try to look humble themselves before others especially the Arabs - the closest nations that have been all weather friends to Pakistan apart from China, have been Iran and Turkey.
It is not clear what you are driving at. If you mean to say that the US is behind the agitation of IK and TuQ, you are absolutely wrong. The State Dept has come out clearly against any extra-constitutional changes in Pakistan and is clearly in favor of the continuation of the PM.
Your writing is very loosely structured. The USA was against Mossadeq who was an elected leader. But this time, the US has put its weight behind Nawaz Sharif, an elected leader. This is a big difference, so your comparison does not hold.