What is worse is to see people suddenly getting nervous as if Nawaz Sharif was there to sacrifice the country and has damaged Pakistan’s honour in some way. It was interesting to hear Jamaat-e-Islami’s (JI) Fareed Paracha, for instance, talk about how he was certain that the visit would not pave the way for more concessions for Pakistan and we will soon forget about our honour and commitment to Kashmir and focus entirely on trade and profit-making. In yet another television programme, there were people who shuddered at the idea of economic compulsions taking precedence over military-strategic issues.
One is tempted to ask if the economy is not more strategic than Kashmir or any other matter? Notwithstanding the fact that Pakistan has fought its wars for years with the help of proxies and now the dependency has become even greater, for countries to even compete with each other militarily requires economic resources. Or does Paracha sahib think, like a retired colonel I met recently, that China would take care of all our strategic needs and will ensure that we don’t have to stoop down to improving relations with India. Perhaps the JI leader feels that Islamabad does not have a dearth of resources as the state could even borrow money from the Taliban who had once made such an offer to undertake its economic and military modernisation. But even China, on several occasions, has warned us to improve ties with New Delhi.
The more important matter, however, is the peculiar attitude towards profit-making. The militant mindset considers profit-making a sin. So, when you tell them that there are enough trader merchants in Pakistan who are eager to trade with India the response is always negative. There were many that looked forward to Modi’s success because, in their estimation, a strong and stable government in India could achieve much more than a weak Manmohan Singh government in improving trade ties. The general reaction to such perception is that these traders have a dirty mind and are sacrificing national honor on profit-making. Such thinking is typically reflective of a military-bureaucratic approach.
I remember talking to military personnel and civilian vendors for the defence industry for my book on Pakistan’s arms procurement decision-making that had a whole section on the defence industry. Whenever quizzed about why the generals didn’t allow the private sector to share the burden, the answer would always be because they have poor quality and for the civilian industrialists it is more important to make money. I wonder if these generals would ask their friends that are in charge of making cement and sugar for the military foundations about how Fauji Foundation was one of the companies that benefited from exporting sugar to India during the early 1990s under the first Nawaz Sharif government? Or how they make money by selling cement everywhere?
The question is why view profit-making as sin? Businesses and industries are established not to loose money but to make money. This is how it is done all over the world. Defence industries all over the world, for instance, manufacture not simply for the love of country but to keep their machines running, pay their workforce and put money in their pockets. This does not mean that they compromise on issues on which there is a general consensus that these are vital for their national interest. Arguably, the defence industry benefits from war so it would stand on the right side of a military establishment. In Pakistan’s case, the fear is that trade, once started in the realm of legal economy, would generate greater links that would eventually make the military redundant. The fact is that in Pakistan, the expectation of a peace dividend is higher than in India. This is despite that many military cronies have been busy projecting lately that Pakistan’s military expenditure is no burden on the economy or the state.
A larger issue is why consider these business people or ordinary Pakistanis as traitors if they ask for improving trade relations? We have obsessed about Kashmir for a very long time and even indulged in adventurism that we found out was not affordable. The simple idea behind trade is to normalise ties to an extent that we may begin to understand each other’s perspective and think of solutions, even to long-term disputes, without going to war. Surely, this is also a gamble but a less costly gamble than launching various forms of war or burdening the society with proxies to attain state objectives. Why can’t we be confident about our own people that in case there is actually a matter of the country’s survival, people will support the state even though they may have economic ties? Nevertheless, we have to let ourselves go for a change. A senior retired army officer recently talked about how trade was a good idea but the government ought to be careful. His statement reflected a confusion not regarding trade as such but about how far the GHQ would want to go with India. To the military, trade will only lead to providing India opportunities in Afghanistan that it doesn’t want happening.
So, if it is not Kashmir it is Afghanistan. Notwithstanding that we must insist on Modi working in good faith, the fact is it is time Pakistan sympathetically thought of itself, its world view and its priorities. We need a lease on life.
Published in The Express Tribune, June 5th, 2014.
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COMMENTS (35)
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It's a sin when it's in the form of kickbacks transferred thru paypal
@Dr Yousaf: Well Dr. Yousaf, business is always quid pro quo. While Pakistan can not sell anything to China except raw material, this won't be the case with India. Pakistan would be able to sell manufacturing goods to India beside raw materials. This may rejuvenate the manufacturing in Pakistan. Of course some industries in Pakistan may face tough times with some competition from India, but Indian industries would face the same thing.
Pakistan is an economic basket case. There is no way they can compete with India militarily simply because India has a much larger budget and the disparity will only grow in the years to come. It is time to count your blessings and move on before complete collapse ensues.
.....the biggest problem with defence industries is that they have NO INDEPENDENT ACCOUNTABILITY PROCESS.......its all one big happy family AND THAT IS WRONG.
Thought process in Karachi is toward liberalization and plural. Islamabad is behind in thought process due to composition of different Pakistanis. There is difference in North and Southern part like Karachi. What I have observed is Islamabad is Provincial and Karachi is not. There is a down play to keep Karachi under Islamabad heal by not developing. Look at the Looks of M.A. Jinnah Road, its pathetic. Sindhi MNA and MPA do not use the road. M.A. Jinnah Road is of no concern to Islamabad, Taxation from Karachi is. Let Karachi become Biggest Slum on planet Earth. Islamabad I add, just shameless people.
@Alann: That's just ridiculous. Chinese goods are awesome for the value they offer. You are not much better than the Pakistanis who don't want trade with India on nationalistic grounds. Putting down China does not make India great.
@Simpleton and 29 who recommended his/her statement.... Do you have any idea what you just said? Are you saying there is nothing in Pakistan that can be sold in India. Really? Do you understand concept of marginal price vs average price? Do you know distance between Lahore and Delhi vs Delhi and Kolkata, do you understand transportation costs.
I don't think any thing I say here will make you think since you starting point is at depth of ignorance but for sake of yourself and for our country, open up your brain. There is a life beyond India being our enemy and that life is greener, peaceful and healthy for us and our children. See what we have accomplished in last 67 years with current policies. What worse can happen if we change the course, its not like we will have half the country taken away, lose Siachen and Kargill.
Our respected forces are good people, they are not at fault, it is the greed of Army generals that is similar to Politicians that has fueled this senseless India is enemy strategy. Lets change it now or try a different one.
@Zarar Bahadar: I think state honour could be a foremost priority
Then
Stop begging for aid Stop selling your army for money, eg. to Bahrain, US etc Stop the Saudis from killing your endangered birds Stop foreign terrorists from ruling areas of your country Stop using words like sweeter then the sweetest honey Stop TTP from killing your people Stop the Chinese from destroying your industry. Stop thinking of Afghanistan as your own imperial colony (strategic Depth)
Military does not want to lose the power and wealth it amassed over the past half century. Trade with India is a threat to its omnipotence and to its wealth. For this reason alone, I am in favaor of trade with India - even though many economic and political dividends will also accrue from it.
There is no shame in making money, but fingers will be raised when the PM will make an official tour his business tour as well. Its conflict of interest and u cant use ur position to further ur economic interest. With regard to army, they r nt angels but they dont go to india for official visit and try to sell some steel at the sametime. Shameful act :(.
Yes, nothing wrong with making a profit. But when the military makes a profit from their black budgets and DHA housing schemes, you manage to write a whole book on it. Military Inc, rings any bells?
Dr Ayesha forgets that the business community incluse many other entities than just traders/merchants. Traders/merchants would want nothing more than an unbridled trade agreement with India but then what happens to the whatever little manufacturing industry we have. As an example Imagine what will happen if rubber chappals from India make it to pakistan. It will immediately kill the SMEs in pakistan that is making such chappals. Now think of this scenario for other small mundane items and you will relaize the havoc it will play with our industrial base. Already the unbridled trad with China is hurting the Paksitan manhufacturing industry, and the millions of livlihood associated with it. Makign money is defintiely not a sin, but what matters is how one makes money and through whom and by what means. Every one having an occupation earns money, be that a professor or a dancing girl...
Very well written! Trade and peace is the ultimate solution!
The economy cannot be developed without sorting out security issues, which in turn need better Policing and rule of Law and Order. Firstly the terror infrastructure needs to be dismantled, without which terrorists from around the world will continue to arrive, for training, rest and recuperation. Already most countries have issues with the way the Government is conducting its business. Except China no one else wants to risk their money by investing in large projects, now even China prefers to invest in India. The task ahead is to restore confidence of Investors and attract FDI. Trade with India cannot be seen as a panacea for resolving all issues, at best it will provide a small financial fillip to businessmen and improve atmospherics. Ideological baggage under the above circumstances is too heavy an additional burden for any poor country to carry. A lot can be done if there is will.
For most Pakistanis, the honour of Pakistan (which they willingly sold to US, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Japan, UK) suddenly takes a center stage when it comes to India. For them, it is bettter to eat grass than have trade relations with India. For such people, all I can say is, enjoy your cheap, low quality Made-in-China goods that have infiltrated every sector of Pakistan. Forever remain stuck to using Chinese goods that have destroyed Pakistan's industries, but keep opposing India, even if it meant having access to better quality goods and a revival of your industries through increased trade. Live and die for your 'honour', your all-weather friend China will keep you alive for quite a while by dumping their goods onto you.
I think state honour could be a foremost priority although the economic ties are in country's larger interest without protection of the realm how can we step forward to boost our economy if there is no consensus among the state's institutions and political stakeholders. Remember that destpite political stability economic growth is inessential length of hopes.
I think state honour could be a foremost priority although the economic ties are in country's larger interest without protection of the realm how can we step forward to boost our economy if there is no consensus among the state's institutions and political stakeholders. Remember that destpite political stability economic growth is impossible length of hopes.
Being rich is glorious . Trade should be focused .
If someone has played age of mythology or age of empires , then they know how a superior economy defeats others .
"When goods don't cross borders, soldiers will." Federic Bastiat,
@Nadir: You are right ! It is said More Tears are Shed for the Answered Prayers !
@simpleton: They are already profiting. India Pakistan direct trade is just a fraction of the total India Pakistan relationship. Indirect trade via Dubai makes up the bulk of our trade relationship:
http://tribune.com.pk/story/548768/trade-between-india-and-pakistan-surges-21-to-2-4-billion/
Now the idea is that we cut out the middlemen and do more direct trade. This will save everyone money. That means exporters and consumers in both countries.
The trade relationship is in India's favour but we do have exports worth half a billion US to India. So it's not a case of "we have nothing to offer them".
@simpleton: my dear simpleton, clearly you have not done your homework right in the name of mohib-ul-watani and a healthy dosage of Naseem Hijazi to make you sleep better at night.
Pakistan's leather goods, sporting goods, cement etc will be in high demand in India. Sialkot will immensely benefit from Indian markets. On the other hand India's cheap automobiles from Tata etc will be better than Suzuki Mehran and cheaper too for Pakistanis. Regional and neighbourly trade is the first foundation of economic prosperity.
Kindly understand that trade ties should be liberalised so that necessary goodwill can be done to resolve all pending bilateral disputes amicably. After all, France and Germany went to far worse wars against each other than what all Indo-Pak wars COMBINED! Yet now they are close economic partners and their bilateral trade is tremendous.
How can you strengthen your economy if your internal security has been collapsed? 70% revenue is collected from Karachi and it is paralyzed from last 2 days.Did Federal govt do anything to open it? ANd one thing more Pak Army is our proud The ultimate goal of Modi sarkar is to weaken our armed forces. Unfortunately Prime minister is busy to fulfill his wishes. We dont want a single penny by selling blood of Kashmirs.
Good piece. Thanks Ayesha Ji.
Free trade and peace between India and Pakistan definitely favours the ordinary people on both sides. But it will raise questions about the existence of military establishment ,especially at our end, at that is the core issue. That is why you are hearing such deafening noise from pro military and banned organizations.
Dear Ayesha, imagine the day when we Pakistanis can claim India to be their friend, brother, neighboring country with no border restrictions! Everything is possible, how we get there, not sure but very much possible. Good piece.
Thing is that your policy of army bashing shadows all your views. When ever i see ur article i know that it would b completely biased against forces, so sadly even your logical arguments do not have that effect. Similarly retired officers are invited in programs because of their favorable views of our defense forces so naturally their arguments are also influenced. I have rarely read an article which is balanced and shows both sides.
It seems an article written by a fixated personality. how she would narrate position of nwaz shrif there who readily listen to his master modi but could not utter a single word as representative of Pakistan ( though this position he snatched with rigging as he used to do)
An excellent and statesmanlike article. Would not have expected anything less from Ms Siddiqa.
Excellent article! I hope the masses consider the economy of peace and power of strong economy. It has been about 70 years, we are crying wolf on kashmir, India and in process have lost 4 wars, overthrown several governments and what is the result? ZERO. Let's look at the rise of middle class in India and China. They have achieved so much by focusing on economy, trade, education, etc while we have been feeding a military industrial complex that is waging proxy wars and overrunning governments.
madam, i will not hold your anti military rhetoric against you since you are making a profit out of it but tell us how pakistan is going to make profit in doing trade with india? pakistan has nothing to export other than cotton,rice and mango and india itself is an exporter of these items.india has other stuff that it can export to pakistan and make profit.....why would a thinking person allow its enemy to make profit at his cost?
Perhaps an inverse analysis will help the nay Sayers to think differently.
What happens if PAK does not improve the ties with India in trade. Status quo in strategic and trades interests and perhaps a regression in trade. Is it good for PAK ?
Alternatively, with whom can PAK compensate her loss in trade with India and simultaneously strengthen their strategic interests ? China, Afghanistan, US, UK, central Asia?
Contiguous nations cannot isolate themselves from trade, security, and people exchange.
PAK can export a lot of halal beef to India and India will voraciously consume everything that PAK produces from onions to textiles. Is it not good for PAK labor force-improving the lives of many?
As the author nailed it, normal relations with India makes the military irrelevant in PAK and that is the fear for the establishment, and for the mullahs it is a question of repugnance since it goes against everything that they are teaching to the masses. How can the land of the pure that separated from Hindudushman can have normal relations with the infidel nation?
Well, I am sure when right money opportunity is presented to them, PAK will even make India's rockets cheaply and mullah's will be raising money for their causes in India ! but then again, it gies against all the two nation theory nonsense. That is the dilemma the nay Sayers cannot comprehend.
It is time for PAK to move on -there is plenty of money in India for PAK to harvest -for good one can only hope.
Starting building you opinion with Paracha's comment? How many people in 180 million population takes such people seriously? And ending comment with an officers comment and which you think reflects approach of GHQ? Are you seriously justifying the failed and embarrassing visit of Sharif? Sigh
We must sacrifice everything for the sake of Indian Held Kashmir! We will then welcome our Kashmiri brothers into a land of poverty, strife and hunger! They are awaiting that day I tell you!