Iranian nuclear negotiations

Published: February 23, 2014
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The writer has a master’s degree in conflict-resolution from the Monterey Institute of International Studies in California and blogs at http://coffeeshopdiplomat.wordpress.co

The writer has a master’s degree in conflict-resolution from the Monterey Institute of International Studies in California and blogs at http://coffeeshopdiplomat.wordpress.co

As has been highly publicised, Iran is in the midst of negotiations regarding its nuclear programme with six world powers: Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States. Catherine Ashton, the EU foreign policy chief, leads the group of the six countries, and is aiming to reach a deal within half a year. The previously agreed to interim agreement ends on July 20. Under this deal, Iran has frozen its nuclear programme in return for some sanctions relief. Meetings have been planned over the next four months; the six-month deal can also be extended if agreeable to both sides.

Conversely, stipulations from both sides might make a final settlement impossible. The US is insisting that parts of Iran’s nuclear programme will have to be dismantled in order to reach a final deal. It wants Iran’s heavy-water reactor project, nuclear military research and ballistic missile programme on the table. Last year, in Geneva, both Iran and the US had agreed upon a joint plan of action which included these issues. Iran however, has stated that only their nuclear programme is up for discussion, not their military. Iran also made it clear that dismantling of any part of its nuclear structure is not up for discussion and that it maintains the right to modernise the programme.

The ultimate goal of the deal is to allow Iran a civilian nuclear programme but prevent it from building a nuclear weapon. Hence, Iran will have to agree to certain checks and balances, such as limits to the level of enrichment and stockpiles of enriched uranium. Dismantling of centrifuges and possibly the heavy-water reactor, which produces plutonium, will also be on the list along with allowing thorough inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

A report released by the IAEA indicated that Iran was meeting the requirements agreed upon under the six-month deal. According to the report, Iran was down-blending its stockpile of enriched uranium, no new centrifuges have been set up and construction of the Arak heavy-water reactor has come to a halt.

Even if a deal easing economic sanctions in exchange for strict nuclear programme oversight is reached between Iran and the six world powers, the US oil embargo on Iran will almost certainly remain intact, since that was a result of the Iranian hostage crisis in 1981. This will leave US corporations at a disadvantage since they would still be denied access to Iranian oil and gas even if the UN and EU sanctions are lifted. For its part, Iran has stated that American oil companies are welcome to return to the country. Even though there is scepticism on all sides, the meeting in Vienna should be viewed as a positive step to establishing some guidelines for future discussion and avoiding another violent conflict. The trick will be finding a middle ground that both sides can agree upon.

Published in The Express Tribune, February 24th, 2014.

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Reader Comments (7)

  • Sexton Blake
    Feb 23, 2014 - 11:20PM

    There is no middle-ground. Iran is possibly the most peaceful country in the world, but it does not fit into the Western world economic system, and threatens Israeli dominance. . The US/Israel combo will continually find fault until they bring Iran down the way they have in Libya, Iraq and Syria, not to mention several African states. Fortunately for Iran they are proving to be a tough nut to crack and America only likes to attack 2nd or 3rd world countries.

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  • Rex Minor
    Feb 24, 2014 - 5:07AM

    Madam,

    Iran is not negotiating its Nuclear Program, never will and this has been the line of Ali Khameni and its former and current President. With regard to the P5 plus one negotiations with Iran, they relate to lifting of sanctions in exchange for Iran providing assurances by a series of steps that Iran nuclear programme is a peaceful one and not intended for a weapon, Iran has not frozen its nuclear programme as you write, but stopped its enrichment activity in the interim.
    The European Nations are the victims who are suffering billions of dollars potential business with Iran.

    Rex Minor

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  • Feb 24, 2014 - 7:04AM

    Israel is right on Iranian nuclear talks and Iranian regime’s true objectives

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  • Nikki
    Feb 24, 2014 - 2:01PM

    Iran has compromised its nuclear program with Obama’s administartion.Recommend

  • Feb 24, 2014 - 3:23PM

    Roohani & his team could manipulate the situation for future of their country as hard-liners had already been tested & keeping in view changing geo political scenarios they will go ahead with US Recommend

  • Feb 25, 2014 - 10:34PM

    @ali:

    The sectarian animosity is unfortunate. While I’m no fan of Iran’s regime, Israel is dangerously paranoid (not totally unfounded) willing to use threat of force and violent aggression, as seen with their war lobbying for a US invasion on Iraq.

    But sure, you can go ahead and bat for their own nuclear power hypocrisy, regional hegemony and true objectives of Palestinian cleansing for a one state solution.Recommend

  • amoghavarsha.ii
    Feb 26, 2014 - 3:51PM

    I as Indian think that Iran should have its way which is good for its economy. If it wants nuclear weapons, I think they should go for that without getting into trouble. The only trouble is that Iran keeps threatening which has raised the fear and temperature.
    If it had quietly done it and tested it one day, these sanctions would have been still there, later they should have just maintained good rapport with its friends and neutral countries, then they would have come out of the woods with little bruises.

    For India even though Iranian Nuclear weapons would be threat we could and should plan for that kind of scenario too.

    In Future Iran will definitely get nuclear weapons, I don’t think anybody can stop it.
    Near future may be 10 ~20years from now you can expect a Nuclear Iran.

    Still you should appreciate how they have survived the sanctions and also how they have kept there heads high with honour.Recommend

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