The potential US intervention in Syria is not aimed at occupation. It has been clearly stated and reiterated that there will be no boots on the ground. Its primary aim, judging from US President Barack Obama’s recent interview and Secretary John Kerry’s testimony in Congress, is to change regime behaviour, not regime replacement. The Obama Administration and the international community seem to acknowledge, or at least grasp the idea that there are no immediate alternatives to the Bashar al-Assad regime at this time.
The rebels and the Free Syria Movement remain immature and much infighting is yet to come within them, as is most often the case with revolutionary movements. In addition, the al Qaeda and extremist threat looms over as the Syrian crisis unfolds and the international community would be uneasy to see such elements filling the power vacuum.
Assad, on the other hand, seems to be walking down the same path as Saddam Hussein in his stubbornness to yield and stop the senseless violence and atrocities he is committing against his citizens.
The recent switch from military action to diplomacy, however, was a pathetic cop-out by the Obama Administration, which will only embolden rogue states like Syria, Iran and their Russian backers. Forming a framework to seize and destroy Assad’s chemical stockpile by mid-2014 will only buy his regime more time to conceal and stash some of the weapons while giving up others. The Russians cannot be fully trusted to making good on their word either.
Use of chemical weapons warrants military action to re-establish a ‘red line’ that no state will be allowed to employ such deadly weapons of mass destruction (WMD) with impunity. Action is warranted not out of choice, but out of necessity.
As for those arguing that a strike on Assad is aimed at addressing Israel’s insecurity, this may be more of a secondary concern. The primary aim is to counter the threat from WMDs. Unlike Iraq, where intelligence was manipulated and politicised as a vehicle for invasion, evidence exists this time around on the use of chemical weapons in Syria and has been corroborated by the UN Secretary General.
US air strikes against Assad’s regime will most certainly be geared towards influencing Iran, however, the US, with or without its allies, will impart similar treatment against Iran if it continues to pursue its ambition of acquiring nuclear weapons.
There are no guarantees that the expected outcome will be achieved. There can never be. That is just the nature of international security. But President Obama’s decision to gain congressional approval for air strikes has complicated and delayed the necessary action. It has also surely sparked a constitutional debate on the separation of powers between the executive and the legislature and over the US president’s authority to declare war. Obama is realising that he won’t find any friends among the Republican leadership or liberal Democrats even on national security issues.
The public must not only consider the costs and fallout of an aggressive action, but also the consequences of inaction.
Published in The Express Tribune, September 19th, 2013.
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COMMENTS (33)
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@Zain Ally: "...That’s one of the most horrid article I have read on etribune in recent times. ..." . Why are you all that shocked? We have people like Hamid Gul, Zaid Hamid, IK and many more belonging to that category. Have you abandoned reading Mad Magazine when you left high school, now you know not everyone has. . He can always claim. I was only kidding.
@AK: Spot on.
What mostly people do not realize is that whatever military adventures the US and NATO has undertaken in the Middle East had one basic theme... the overthrow of unfriendly regimes and threats to Israel.
The American presence in Afghanistan, ostensibly as a result of 9/11, seems to have a far more sinister motive - the destabilization of Pakistan and Iran plus control of the Central Asian crossroads.
Unfortunately for the Americans, the locals put a juggernaut in the plans for total domination of the region.
An article which displays not only ignorance of the issue, but undying support for the actions of the United States. Lets roll back to recent history shall we?
Iraq - The world's ACTUAL policeman, The United Nations Security Council, PROHIBITED action against Iraq on the grounds that it would be illegal and was unjustified. The US went regardless. 10 years and over 1.3 million innocent lives later, nothing was achieved for the legislative system. However, millions of barrels of oil were stolen, women and children were raped, men were murdered, and the US taxpayers spent a lot of money for what was in short, low gas prices.
Libya - Foreign rebels entered the country to overthrow Qadhhafi. Why? Because he refused to accept Petro-Dollars for oil. Result? He's dead, the country has gone to sh*ts.
Egypt - Mobarek the Dictator was overthrown because his support for Israel and USA wasn't what they wanted it to be. Result? Al-Qaeda comes into power. Thankfully the army overthrew the crazy terrorists.
What I don't get is, that despite what seems like an excellent education from a highly-reputed college, the writer seems to be echoing complete buffoons like John Kerry and McCain instead of using his mind to think. Its like we're seeing a representative of F*x News rather than an individual who has the power and capability to think rationally and over informed opinions.
Today, my country has lost. I'm utterly disappointed. The last hope of Pakistan, the educated youth, refuses to think rationally.
@Anon: Agreed. ET didnt post my comments either. Apparently they dont want people to get any diverse opinions on this issue.
The ET certainly has a healthy appetite for censorship! Where are my comments?
The old Shia Sunni problem has again surfaced in Syria, Let the majority rule in all the countries of the region then only we can see a lasting peace in the middle east
So May One which is a true democracy cast the first stone on syria
PAkistan may be the only truly democratic ( no pun intended) set up in the entire muslim world , it should take the lead............
You are such a confused person and such posts of yours are only good for confusing others..
@Sajjad Ashraf: Did you support US intervention in Bosnia and Kosovo to stop genocide
I found that somewhat confusing and rather one dimensional, almost a ' the good has a duty to punish the bad ' a thought process that is simplistic. The situation is more complex, it is being played on more than one level with each having ramifications on the other.
still this kinda people...........................?
Interesting change of attitude. Wonder what brought that on? Could it be the fleet of Russian warships sitting in the Med? Effective Russian diplomacy stopping a massive strike? World opinion turning against them? The US haven't gotten their way - but they still have to appear to have called the shots.
Totally biased view
There is no evidence asad regime used the weapons. Infact evidence to the contrary has emerged.
The WMD is a pretext. Main effort is for regime change. Why doesnt the US attack anyone else who used Chemical weapons like the terrorist group in Japan who used Sarin gas and killed 14 people. The USA is not the world's policeman.
Asad is strong and supported by his people otherwise he wouldnt make it through this 2.5 years. Victory will be on the people's side.
Dear Sheikha Sahab, Very nice to meet you. Was waiting to meet someone like you for a long long time. Lets not waste time, and lets go to Pittsburgh and devise plan on some new countries for USA to invade and drop 50kg bombs on. Syria, you are right, is slipping out of hands. We need some other goats. What say about Egypt? Or Iran? As you said, 'rogue' states like Iran need to be punished for they, as we all know, threaten the greater Israel plan (which you, me and many like us made in Pittsburgh and Pentagon). Best, Ofama from Oklahoma
Very well written! Our prejudice has put a veil in front of us. Lets not forget that every action done by USA is wrong its the US who protected Chechen from the Russian massacre and same goes with Syria, millions of Muslim women and children have been massacred by the ruthless savages in the Syrian government.
@csmann: Every time anybody puts forward a logical explanation of why America has implemented some horrendous attack you defend America or attack the person with your conspiracy theory nonsense. You have to realize that the Conspiracy Theory putdown is becoming old hat.
Dear writer,
I want to ask only one question. Is this the right of USA only to have WMD and use them on any country and no one else is allowed to have WMD???
This is surely a joke.....deserves to be published in a mainstream US paper
@Strategic Asset: I only care about Muslim countries... Let's others worry about whether the USA should meddle in their affairs.
Go read up on what Paul Wolfowitz is all about.
@csmann: When you are not in academe, you won't know what I am talking about.. Go read up on it.
@SM: I reject all forms of foreign interference in the affairs of any Muslim country. The USA just needs to leave our region. . Which region? Arabia, the Middle East? Why only Muslim countries? . Even Paul Wolfowitz, the architect of the Iraq invasion, conceded that Iraq was important to be destroyed as it remained the only major Arab power strong enough to potentially threaten Israel. . Strange Wolfowitz said that as Syria, with the help of Iran, funds the Hezbollah whereas Saudia Arabia funds Hamas. Iraq under Saddam was not a major player.
@SM: You sure have a right to reject,but who cares. The other countries and even your country will decide what is best for them.The attack on Iraq was wrong,but not because of your conspiracy theory.
I believe the author is deluded and is not keeping up with current affairs. The american people are not with the govt as the stats have shown that 70% are against the strike. Who has given America the right to teach everybody a lesson? The UN report has not confirmed the party responsible for using chemical weapons. How are you so sure that Assad did it?
@Ishrat Salim: @Raza: Even Paul Wolfowitz, the architect of the Iraq invasion, conceded that Iraq was important to be destroyed as it remained the only major Arab power strong enough to potentially threaten Israel.
I reject all forms of foreign interference in the affairs of any Muslim country. The USA just needs to leave our region.
Fortunately,for guys who will bad-mouth USA for doing and not doing something either way, American people don't want the USA government involved in the mess that Syria is.Congress so far doesn't want it,and Obama will follow people's wishes. Let Saudia Arabia,and Iran handle this problem;Let Russia help bring peace to the region.Nobody has even false hopes of this conflict which is a continuation of a millennium of Shia-Sunni distrust,and tendency to settle that with blood shed,end any time soon ,if at all.America has achieved what it wanted.Assad will turn over his chemical weapons to UN.Now Russia will have a free hand selling Syrians whatever weapons it would like to.Without some deterrence of chemical weapons Assad will need more powerful weapons to control rebels,and Russia will gladly oblige.The massacre will continue.
I cant believe I'm reading this on a Pakistani website from a Pakistani writer. It is not Obama's job to teach Assad a lesson, especially not after the debacle of Iraq. Let Syria deal with its own issues; the US is not under threat from it. This is all just strategic geo-politics aimed to protect Israel's interests. And did you just call Iran a 'rogue state'? Why; because they have a functioning democracy and their regime doesnt want to appease the West like the Saudis do?
@SM: What punishment is meant for USA to kill innocent people of Hiroshima and Nagasaki and napalm bomb in Vietnam..and what punishment is meant for Israel who used Uranium tipped (still even today many of those deadly ammunition remain unexploded over large areas in Gaza and children are the main victims ) artillery ammunitions and phosphorous bomb on poor people of Gaza.....so think before justifying that America should intervene in Syria...they have no proof of who did it except that Sarin was used....the only plausible reason for American intervention in Syria is to contain Iran and protect Israel.....not the rest of ME region....
Why should American taxpayers spend hundreds of millions of dollars in high tech missile strikes to protect people who wouldn't lift a finger to help America? Many would argue that it's past time that common sense prevail - this conflict is based on religion with Arab/Iranian animosity fueling the problem. Assad was a bad guy before Chemical Weapons and the Muslim World shrugged it's shoulders - maybe it's time for the Muslims to finally step up to the plate?
That's one of the most horrid article I have read on etribune in recent times. The author needs to read news articles from respected journalists and know the ground realities before diving into this topic. I suggest he should start reading Robert Fisk for a start.
Young man - before you get fooled by the US propaganda do you know how many times has US used or acquiesced in the use of chemical weapons? Don't think you have read history.
The USA is not the policeman of the world. First action should be taken for the innocent Iraqis and Afghanis killed in American military interference over the past decade.
The USA has no moral right to try to teach a lesson, specially when it is one of the largest perpetrators of violence of civilians on earth, perhaps the largest.