Changing Pakistan

Don’t forget the youth, recent political awakening and trust in the political process — signs of a changing Pakistan.


Rasul Bakhsh Rais May 20, 2013
The writer is professor of political science at LUMS

This is a subject I have written about several times, and I find more evidence to say that Pakistan has changed positively and will continue to change in many respects. Last time I wrote a piece with the same title, I got a lot of negative comments. I know the reason for cynicism. A part of the media and cynical columnists, some with an agenda to sap our energies, know only the failures, not the successes.

The cynical brigade in the media may not recognise the change in Pakistan through the ballot box. They are already questioning its legitimacy and the capacity of those whom the people of Pakistan have elected to serve the country. It is a big change and a real political revolution with much energy in it to redefine Pakistan.

Let us look at the very powerful forces that the people of Pakistan have defeated. First among them are the terrorists who threatened voters, parties and leaders to attack on election day. In the words of Lyse Doucet, a BBC correspondent covering the elections, “it was a contest between fear and defiance, and defiance defeated the fear”. The terrorists failed to prevent people from voting and the people voted in record numbers. The ANP took the full brunt of the terrorists, suffering a big loss of its workers and leaders. How much that played a role in its routing is a question that is not easy to answer, but my view is that it failed to deliver and proved to be corrupt to the core. The real change in this region is that the ideology of Pashtun nationalism has run its historical cycle, as has its proponent, the ANP. Either the party will have to reinvent itself or find something else to stage a comeback, which looks very unlikely.



The elections have demystified the myth that the PPP is a grass-roots party with poor sections of the country supporting it. One thing we must note is that the poor person is as rational as the rich person and the uneducated person is as much interested in protecting his or her interest as an educated person. The PPP leaders making the poor eat grass shouldn’t have expected the old constituency to stay intact or behind them. The greatest change is that the Pakistani voter has come out of the emotional frame of mind; he looks at performance. This is a significant message for the PML-N. What about Sindh where the PPP has retained it numbers? Two things work there — the feudal lord and the emotional attachment of ordinary Sindhis to the Bhutto family. The question is how long will this part of Sindh be ruled by the armed feudals holding such high emotions regarding the Bhuttos’ sacrifices?

The biggest change is in the rejection of the religious political parties. We have seen so many comments and argument saying that the religious parties have captured the soul of Pakistani society and they were not too far away from capturing its body, the polity. Nonsense. Their popular vote percentage is the lowest in any elections in Pakistan and their cumulative representation in the representative bodies has shrunk.

What is the essence of this change? Pakistani society is pragmatic. It wants solutions to its problems. It trusts the parties that it has voted for but this mandate is based on an unwritten contract — which says to solve the problems of Pakistan. Failure would mean a national surge of support for the Kaptaan, the PTI and a replacement.

Finally, the birth of a new national party with such wide support from Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa to Karachi is the real revolution of Pakistan. Don’t forget the youth, the recent political awakening and the trust in the political process — the signs of a changing Pakistan.

Published in The Express Tribune, May 21st, 2013.

COMMENTS (6)

truthbetold | 11 years ago | Reply

I am afraid the author is suffering from Stockholm Syndrome. For people who don't know what it is, it is a psychological condition where abducted captive women, as in the case of Patty Hearst, start looking at their captors as benign and nice after a while, when the captors lessen their physical abuse of the women over time. The women even start falling in love with the captors.

The author, as are most Pakistanis, have developed a very low reference point what what it means in terms of human rights, religious freedom, equality and a progressive society. There is no truly secular party in Pakistan. Wasn't it PPP's Bhutto who passed the anti-Ahmedi law? Pakistan remains a hotbed of Islamist religiosity based on the polls that show that over 80% of Pakistanis want strict 7th century Sharia enforced.

What difference does it make which part is voted to power? Will any party change the law or constitution that condemns Ahmedis as non-muslims and makes non-Muslims second class citizen for ever? Will any party take Islam out of the constitution? Will any party dare to take control of the foreign policy, critical domestic policies from the military?

Like I said, the euphoria we see is just the manifestation of the Stockholm Syndrome. The truth that Pakistan as a country that exists for its army hasn't changed a bit.

M Saleem Usmani | 11 years ago | Reply

So true. The nation has proved that it is alive and kicking and can and will take to task those who take it for granted. Very well written piece. This election is an eye opener for nay sayers, who said that democracy is not for Pakistan.

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