As discussed in the earlier articles, those that have been left behind economically and socially are mostly in the south, those that are relatively better off are mainly from the districts in the province’s centre and a couple in the north. Given what we know and what I have discussed before, raises an important issue concerning public policy. What can the provincial government do to close the yawning gap between the province’s backward areas and those that have done well?
A comparison of the overall development ranking of the districts with the three sets of indicators used for this purpose (income and wealth, social development, and development of economic infrastructure) yields a number of interesting results. It should be expected that the top districts would do well in terms of income and wealth. That, surprisingly, is not the case. There is more than a five-point difference between district ranking on the development scale compared with the ranking on the scale of income and wealth for 17 out of the 35 districts. In other words, almost one-half of the districts do well even when their wealth and income indicators are not very high. To take two extreme examples: Gujrat ranks 16th on the development scale but is 33rd on the scale of income and wealth. This means that there are factors other than wealth and income that have contributed to the district’s better performance. Long-distance migration that results in large flow of remittances may be one of them.
The other extreme is the district of Bhakkar, which is 22nd on the development scale but sixth on the income and wealth scale. By and large, the less developed districts in the south do better in terms of income and wealth. This may well be because averages used for wealth and income hide the extremes in their distribution. However, since distribution data are not available at the district level this conclusion will remain in the realm of speculation.
The relative backwardness of the south is largely because of poor social development and poorly-developed economic infrastructure. These, as indicated above, are the other two indicators of overall development used by the Institute of Public Policy in its recent work on Punjab. It is, therefore, in these two areas that public policy needs to focus on to reduce the development gap between the more and less developed districts of the province. In these two broad areas, the provincial government should pay particular attention to four things: education, in particular at the tertiary level; health care; improvement of the irrigation system; and inter-district transport. I will say a few words about each of these four areas of public policy focus.
The need for getting all children educated has long been recognised as an important development objective. It is one of the Millennium Development Goals (MDG) to which Pakistan has subscribed. However, while this MDG is to be met by 2015, Pakistan remains way behind. This is particularly the case for the country’s backward areas, including the less developed districts of Punjab. While the realisation of this goal must receive the attention of all governments, Punjab should give special attention to improving the levels of skills of the youth in the province. A public-private sector partnership should be developed where the government could provide land grants and supporting infrastructure to private operators who have demonstrated their ability to provide quality higher education. These seasoned educational entrepreneurs should be encouraged to establish vocational institutions in the areas where the region could establish new industrial and service sector enterprises.
In the health sector as well, the government, while focusing on providing primary care, could work with private parties to build hospitals in all the less developed districts. These medical establishments should be part of an integrated chain with different district centres specialising in different areas of medical expertise. This way patients will not need to go to the more developed cities in the province to get the medical attention they need.
There is now a realisation that Pakistan has not given as much attention to maintaining and further developing the rich irrigation infrastructure it inherited from the British period. It is a water-scarce country, which needs to properly husband this precious resource. The Punjab government needs to formulate an action plan aimed at providing the neglected infrastructure the maintenance it needs.
Developing a road network linking the districts is the fourth priority for the government’s focus. Such a network is needed so that south Punjab can move towards developing agro-processing industry. The new retail chains that have arrived in the country and set up shop in some of the major cities have indicated that they would be able to increase their processing activity if they can quickly move perishable commodities from the production areas to processing centres.
I will conclude this series of articles with the suggestion that the policymakers operating from Lahore may consider developing a special plan for the development of the backward districts. The plan should be formulated by involving the private sector and by consulting the citizens of the districts. And it should indicate the source of the required funding including the possibility of levying a ‘backward areas development tax’ on consumption in the relatively better-to-do parts of the province.
Published in The Express Tribune, June 4th, 2012.
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@Max Ji : . You stated Nothing will change whatever the government may do unless the population growth is brought to a rate 1.6 percent. . Please refer to : . http://www.thenews.com.pk/Todays-News-13-13514-Population-shoots-up-by-47-percent-since-1998 . Population shoots up by 47 percent since 1998 . As compared to a Population of 134,714,017 in 1998 Pakistan’s Population, according to the 2011 Census the Population is 197,361,691 i.e. an Overall Increase of 46.5 Per Cent which should be slightly more than 3.0 Per Cent Annually. . Do you think that it is possible for the Government to reduce the Annual Growth Rate from over 3.0 Per Cent down to 1.6 Per Cent? . If so, then in your opinion how long will it take to reduce Pakistan’s Population growth to 1.6 Per Cent Annually? . Cheers
@Qaisrani: I completely disagree. Just visit Gujrat, Gujranwala and Upper Punjab regions and you will be amazed to see that many projects are run by the people not by the government and they are funded by the ordinary people. Unless South Punjab will not end the Wadaira Shahi and Peeri system nothing can change. The success of Upper Punjab lies in the fact that Wadaira system ended there. My family lives in Sillaan Vaali as well and i recently visited them and I have seen that local Rich people dont invest anything on poor. They never set up any hospital or any school. So unless the Rich people of South Punjab will not be sincere to their own people and unless people will end the Wadaira and Peeri system nothing can be changed.
Nothing will chnage for South Punjab and people will stay backward and poor until a separate entity called saraikistan is created.
Nothing will change whatever the government may do unless the population growth is brought to a rate 1.6 percent. Second, Mr. Burki's suggestions well taken, but does the governments at the federal or provincial levels have sufficient tools to tailor a rational policy and measure the policy outcomes. Third, if the income distributions are measured by bi-annual gardawari reports or a factious survey conducted through village level state functionaries of agriculture, education, revenue departments, or local governments, I will be little careful in drawing conclusions. The anchor of change will be small scale cottage industry in the textile, oil-extraction, and grain process, development of rural infrastructure like primary healthcare, prenatal care (including maternity services, family planning education etc.), public health, and education.
Sir i live in Gujrat. The reason of development of Gujrat district including Kharian is not the government spending but infact every second person from this district is in Europe, America or in the Middle east. You are absolutely wrong that they contribute less in terms of income. They have the highest share of the people who send Billions in Pakistan and as a result your forex reserves shot up. You will see more Range Rovers and even Ferarris in this region than in Lahore so obviously they have more spending power. Also the same people spend so much money from their own Pockets to build schools, hospitals and many dispensaries and this leads to increase in development indicator as well. Even they set up child caring and old age centers from their own pockets . Gujrat, Kharian and Gujranwala have one of the highest Population of Kashmiris after Lahore and mostly Kashmiris of Gujrat district contribute widely to the development as their majority live in UK. So keep in mind these factors as well in development scenario.