The second implied facet of this historical baggage was our inclusion into the big league. Though we were but a part of an international balance of power that was keen to include and add to its own bloc nations that could serve as the frontline in their battle for influence, we assumed an arrogated role and influence that was, in essence, borrowed.
Old habits die hard. Even after the Cold War was over, we continued with our old ways. We were introduced to the notion that intelligence agencies could actually be used to affect international events — courtesy of our American brothers; the role that was to be subsequently played in the 1979 Afghan War. We sought to internationalise the Kashmir dispute by using the leftover potential of the Afghan War and attempted to bring the issue back into international focus; then we sought extended lien over Afghanistan simply because we had been a conduit to another American adventure in that country. In playing that role, we assumed ‘we’ had shaped history.
Simply, we were playing in the wrong league. We failed to understand the expediency that was in play by a superpower. Do we recognise this today and accept the irony of our misplaced import? By what goes on, clearly we do not. Our new fascination is humbling America! Do we wish to ‘humiliate America’ in Afghanistan, or ‘save Pakistan’ from becoming the epicentre of an expanded war? We need to make clear choices between primeval sensibilities and rational and objective reasoning.
Our acquired ‘processes’ of statecraft obfuscate the need to envision policy and its intellectualised implications. We are a hands-on nation, always on-the-job; our masters taught us that. Since we were only used as handymen, we never learnt to reflect. If we can’t create, we will destroy — action always. This is why we don’t produce thinkers or philosophers or visionaries. This is why we remain a nation without a vision or knowledge of its destiny.
In a recent TV debate on a reputed Indian channel, a participant opined that “Pakistan was down and out” and, hence, not a factor of any consideration in the revised dynamics of India’s own way forward. It may only be partially correct — Pakistan’s catastrophic slide could, for one, be of immense concern to India (always the negative, unfortunately) — but it remains a popular perception. We have become the epicentre of too many things vile. Is it of concern to the Pakistanis too? There is still too much good to be wasted in this country. A thought has repeatedly occurred in the last few days — it is time to rethink and recreate Pakistan. Without the thinkers and without the visionaries who will bring us around?
Perhaps, the best resort is that fabled dictum: when weak, regroup; collapse your flanks from beyond to within your physical capacity. It is time to regroup and rethink. Let’s accept we were wrong; that we are weak too. That, we have extended ourselves in our interests and in imagining our influence far beyond our real capacity. That it is not our nuclear status that will bring us respect and influence in the eyes of the global community but the number of scientists, inventors and thinkers that we will produce.
Pakistan’s brief hiatus in its relations with America may just be that moment to review and reconsider. We have returned from the brink. Our priorities must be in the following order: facilitate an end to the war and from then on only focus inside; shun the grand illusions of an extended influence — geography can wait, it’s not going anywhere; recreate the pride in being a nation that we can through a breed of thinkers, scientists, philosophers, inventors and sportsmen. Let the world see the positive in us. Let religion not be our only recognition.
Let’s reimagine Pakistan. For that, we need to love Pakistan more than we hate America.
Published in The Express Tribune, May 22nd, 2012.
COMMENTS (48)
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I fully agree with the AVM's views but as pointed out by a few is that Pakistan is on brink and time for introspection has already passed. Moreover, it would require hurriculin effort by some dynamic leader in Pakistan to change the mindset of majority polluted by religous and jihadi fanatics. Moderates are also in minority to bring much desired changes in the country. Unfortunately, the two major establishments ie civil and military who could have made the major difference in guiding the destiny of Pakistan by formulating a joint action plan are totally split and following their own agendas, which gives little hope of any revival in the near future.
Ayesha_khan
You are exceptionally clear-headed and articulate.
Words will remain words unless followed up by actions. Today's Headline summed it up pretty well as to where Pakistan is and where it is probably heading: Bin Laden informant: Dr Shakil Afridi sentenced to 33 years for treason
In addition to his jail sentence, he was fined Rs320,000.
Pakistan should be giving him a medal instead of locking him up. Just for kickers: If he wins the Nobel (for peace), what is Pakistan going to do ?
Air Vice Marshall: Stop acting like we are nothing and the US is the king. The fact is that the US does not have the resources or the guts to outright confront Pakistan. Its the scared people like yourselves who will cause destruction of Pakistan. Be brave like Iran is or Turkey was in face on US insistence for the Northern invasion route of Iraq in 2003 and you will see US bluster crumble.
too late now for this.
@Ayesha Khan
Sticking it to them again, you don't even spare your own countrymen. But then again, Agnivesh sounds like a fake name used by someone posing as an Indian.
@ayesha_khan: Yup, summed it up very well Ayesha.
@Agnivesh: Economically India is just marginally better than Pakistan - I agree. But there are key differences between the 2 countries that affects perception: 1) key social indicators (literacy, out of school kids, infant mortality rate ) etc are much better. 2) While India does have some internal insurgency, India has never had a policy of training militants who create problems in other countries. 3) India also did not proliferate its nuclear technology. 4) India also has a no first use policy with regards to nuclear weapons that Pakistan does not. 5) Indian diaspora in other countries does not create the type of problems as Pakistani diaspora does in Britain. 6) Bollywood and IPL provide soft power and a different lens through which the world views India 7) India is a BRIC country and also part of G20. This has to do with the absolute size of the economy as compared to per capita GDP 8) India's tax to GDP ratio is almost double that of Pakistan, thereby reducing its aid dependency. In turn this gives India much greater flexibility with respect to its foreign policy. 9) India is a democracy whereas for 30 years Pakistan has been ruled by dictators. Even currently the security and foreign policy are owned by their army. 10) Minorities in India have not been stamped out and while there maybe individual issues the law does not discriminate against minorities in India - be they linguistic or religious.
AVM, we are way past the brink. An absolute paradigm change could - would & should bring sanity. Masses and rulers have lost the fine sense of civility in the society. All cards religious or ethnic are exhausted. No more short or sweet talk would work under current state of affairs Ground reality is hopless - such pep write-up was needed when you were in blues. Lets be honest & call "SPADE A SPADE" A Revolution with total cleansing is THE SOLUTION.
"We have returned from the brink." : This assumption may not be correct.
Bravo! Never have I read so much sense in so few right words. Wish there were more like him-- let us pull them down from the stars.
Strategic depth in reverse ! Afghan Taliban now look upon TTP (Pakistan Taliban/LeT ) as proving 'strategic depth' to it. So the strategic depth of Pakistan, a product of brillian minds, has now become a all consuming strategic hole.
@Indian: why don't you quantify your statements with proof ? Is govt of India trying contain China ? Did you notice there were 500 border violations by China in the northeast?Honey there are no friends at international level...... moreover do your realize in all our wars against Pakistan Iran actively supported Pakistan during shah of Iran days, so much for your friend Iran.Get your facts rights sir or you might considering reading modern history.It is all about Interests, if my countries interests dictate we should contain china so be it.
@ashvinn: It applies to India in the sense that our focus too is very unclear. We too think we are in the big league, when we are not. We think we are a big power, when our economy is still fragile. We think we are an IT superpower, when all we have is sweat shops where guys work to do low end jobs. We earn around 50 billion dollars on IT when the world spend on IT is in trillions of dollars. The Americans treat us better because we are a big market, and not because we are a superpower. Our manufacturing is a pittance compared to China. On the per capita scale we are not too far away from Pakistan. So in a sense, we also need some introspection.
Let's take the AVM at face value (i.e. a suspension of disbelief that this new strand of thinking coming from him, Ejaz Haider etc., who normally bleat the establishment's line, is actually, for tactical reasons, the new public face of that very same establishment). Then he is right. Special historical circumstances, such as the Cold War, made some countries like Vietnam, Afghanistan, Nicaragua, Cuba, Pakistan and yes, even India, poor in resources otherwise, important players in international geopolitical relations. At the end of the Cold War, a different set of variables came into play, that tested the capacities of countries to manage globalization, for example. The Cold War had glossed over poor institutions, subsidized weak economies, overlooked human rights violations. There was now a different set of values and challenges. A number of countries proved adept at adapting to a post-Cold War environment. Vietnam, countries in East Europe, and in its own way (one step forward, two steps backwards) India. So let us give the AVM the benefit of the doubt and hope that Pakistan too will finally, put its delusions of the past behind it, and move on.
@s shah: Change in thinking of the GHQ ?
No, probably just change in tactics.
Nice opinion piece - but too little too late. I suspect that most Pakistanis would rather continue the anti American blather and continue the decent down the toilet bowl. Heck your police just filed a FIR against Facebook - that tells you the final gurgle can't be that far away.
@ashvinn: It is valid. India should not play in the hands of America in its design to contain china. It should also not sacrifice its friendship with Iran in order to fulfill the interests of USA. We must take care of our own interests.
Bravo
Its too late, now.. Pakistan is too committed and I cannot see all this happen.
I am glad we have people like Shazad Chowdary ! His thoughts are just what we need now.
The AVM's Jerry McGuire moment! sadly a little too late.
@Shahzad Choudhry
For that, we need to love Pakistan more than we hate America.
Sir,
Allow me to paraphrase the above to, " we need to love Pakistan AND ALL PAKISTANIS more...".
Gives the poor minorities and liberal fascists a chance of being loved, for once.
It appears that this new approach is becoming increasingly pervasive - most of the ex-military thinkers on this forum are singing a new (and welcome) tune. I don't want to rain on this future parade (pun intended), but the stage of incremental change to bring Pakistan back to normalcy may be past - civil society is increasingly radicalized or just plain misguided. The next generation may be salvagable, but any steps taken now would need to be truly disruptive - a public disavowal of past policies by existing govt and army top brass, for instance (possibly including Kashmir and Afghanistan). This is as good as signing their death warrants, so I don't see anything of that sort happening - so we can keep inching further towards the brink.
@vasan: do you mind explaining how this applies to India. Are we training terrorists to attack other countries?sometimes our people become emotional and say stupid and regertable things.We do breed hatred as a state Policy mate
@Vasan Will you please tell how does it apply to India?
Dear Sir, There are scores of commentaries on limited capabilities, a new normal, but none proceed beyond a shallow paragraph on how to execute it.
Is that an indication that exploring the envelope of the possible is where Pakistani thought leadership is stuck at the moment, or is it that there is no doable way forward?
The doable way seems to be to focus on soft engagement with India, and indeed elsewhere. http://rumbledom.blogspot.in/2010/03/how-about-virtuous-cycles-for-change.html
Hopefully, this gives the 'establishment' stuck in its own jingoism plausible deniability while the rest of the society moves on. Real change of course (education, rapprochement) is best left to the next generation. Regards.
This is a lesson taught by one of my former bosses: Which is the strongest piece on the chess board. Wrong. Wrong again. The strongest piece is decided by the hand that moves the piece. Even a humble pawn can kill the opposite mighty queen. But it is still a pawn.
Normal is boring.
Kudos to the Author. I have watched you on TV and have always appreciated the manner in which you put your point across (even tho sometimes 3 people are talking at the same time!) This write up shows the way forward towards a progressive Pakistan. The entire world will begin to see Pakistan in a different light Only If.......
I do not normally agree with the author, whether this retreat is tactical or strategic I do not know. A country must first decide decide what is in its interest - to hurt others and in the process destroy itself OR focus on welfare of the people rather than love its Arms. The nation has no hope of slaying its demons without confronting the criminals who have taken shelter under the umbrella provided by Religion.
@Rajendra Kalkhande: "Very positive and practical thoughts. Few days back Ejaz Haider also wrote along the similar lines."
Both are reciting from the army playbook. The army wants to retreat from the corner it has painted itself in and is using these gentlemen to make their case.
This case is the right case and in Pakistan's national interest. But implementation is going to be difficult because the army itself deliberately inflamed people's passions and is now not able to push genie of inflamed passions back into the bottle.
Fantastic. Applies to India as well.
Welcome your leaving the club of flat-earth society.
I commend your courage in self-reflection and introspection. The question is "Do the establishment or deep state or Kayani and Jehadis share your changed views based on the reality? Do Hamid Gul party and religious parties would come down from the lion they are riding on?
Would the army agree to dismantle the terrorist network (good, bad and ugly all) sheltered in Pakistan? Would Pakistan change the hate-based curriculum in schools and madrasa text books? Will ISI be dismantled? Would ISI/FC release abducted persons in Pakistan?
I doubt if anything among the above list will be done by the establishment.
Excellent analysis ! But probably a little late in the day; why don't the generals see all this while still in service ?
Who says Pakistan does not have great thinkers and visionaries ? Professor Hafeez, Prof AQ Khan and Dr Hamid Gul are brilliant products of this land.
With due respect to author , his analysis of what and where Pakistan is heading to make no sence. I don't know what he wants to say and he seems to be confused . An follow up on this, making it rather more clear of his preception of where Pakistan will be in future will help in understanding his thoughts.
@Author:
Sir, I don't know where you derive this optimism but I think that it might be too late already to change direction for Pakistan. To begin with, How do you plan on disposing of the huge number of hate mongers who are willing to spill innocent blood at the drop of a hat? Still, good thoughts in article. Good luck.
A very thought provoking article by a retired Air Vice-Marshal in Pakistan Air Force. Unfortunately it will not be given any serious consideration by the current Establishment, Mullahs, DPC and so called leaders of internationally banned terrorist organisations, many of whom believe that nuclear bombs have made Pakistan a superpower!
TWO steps first for this to happen -- drop the "bleeding India with a thousand cuts and 1000 year war with India". This is help you concentrate resources and efforts inwards. Secondly, stop imagining yourself as the 'Citadel of Islam' - a view that causes you to see everything through green-tinted glasses and gets you involved in wars and issues that have nothing to do with you!!
Change in thinking of the GHQ ?
'we need to love Pakistan more than we hate America."
love it!
WOW , WOW !, indeed.
Let religion not be our only recognition. Let’s reimagine Pakistan. For that, we need to love Pakistan more than we hate America.
Our priorities must be in the following order: facilitate an end to the war and from then on only focus inside; shun the grand illusions of an extended influence — geography can wait, it’s not going anywhere; recreate the pride in being a nation that we can through a breed of thinkers, scientists, philosophers, inventors and sportsmen. Let the world see the positive in us.
Excellent words - but I am afraid the Mullahs and the corrupt politicians will not care so long as they are fed by the successive governments of Pakistan.
Its time Pakistanis grew up!
Mr Marshal, don't you think you have spelled out 'Charge Sheet' against your former institution. Because all Miscalculations and Failings mentioned above are still being hatched in Pindi and Aabpara.
Very positive and practical thoughts. Few days back Ejaz Haider also wrote along the similar lines. Let us hope the hardliners and fanatics also start thinking along the same line before its too late. Personally I am not very optimistic about hardliners though because they in in the business of selling grand dreams. I am not sure if they will like to go out of business.
For once I strongly agree with the thoughts expressed by an ex serviceman. Dear author I am afraid you are an exception to the general rule in the @land of the pure'